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United States Real Estate Report Q2 2013

Business Monitor International, February 2013, Pages: 93

The US real estate report examines the commercial office, retail, industrial and construction sectors in the country in the context of a gradual return to growth.

With a focus on the principal cities of New York, Los Angeles, Chicago, Dallas and Philadelphia, the report covers the rental market performance in terms of rates and yields over the past 24 months and examines how best to maximise returns in the commercial real estate market, while minimising investment risk and exploring the impact of economic on a market that can dictate regional performance. Despite the bleak horizon outlined at the beginning of 2012, the US commercial real estate market is continuing to exhibit signs of a recovery in 2013, albeit a cautious one. Positive consumer sentiment has gone some way to keeping real estate investment afloat. The overriding view seems to be that the outlook for commercial real estate is improving, but that ongoing vulnerability in the market is leading to continued caution among real estate players. This indicates that while the recovery is under way, it will continue to be slow.

BMI Industry View 7

SWOT 9

Political 11

Economic 12

Business Environment 13

Industry Forecast 14

Office 14
Table: Forecast Rents - (USD per m2/month) 14
Table: Forecast Net Yield, 2010-2017 (%) 14

Retail 15
Table: Forecast Rents - (USD per m2/month) 15
Table: Forecast Net Yield, 2010-2017 (%) 15

Industrial 16
Table: Forecast Rents - (USD per m2/month) 16
Table: Forecast Net Yield, 2008-2017 (%) 16

Construction And Infrastructure Forecast Scenario 17
Table: US Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data, 2010-2016 17
Table: US Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data, 2015 - 2021 18

Macroeconomic Forecasts 26

Economic Outlook 26

Weakness In Most Categories of GDP 30
Table: United States - GDP By Expenditure, Real Growth % 30

Risks To Outlook 37

Industry Risk Reward Ratings 38

Developed States Risk/Reward Ratings 38
Table: Real Estate Risk/Reward Ratings 38

Business Environment Outlook 38
Table: BMI Business And Operation Risk Ratings 38
Table: BMI Legal Framework Rating 41
Table: Labour Force Quality 43
Table: Trade And Investment Ratings 44
Table: Top Export Destinations, US$mn 46

Market Overview 48

Office 56
Table: Net Yield, 2011-2012 (%) 59
Table: Terms of Rental Contract/ Leases - H212 59

Retail 59
Table: Historic Rents - 2011-2012 (USD per m2/month) 63
Table: Net Yield, 2011-2012 (%) 63
Table: Terms of Rental Contract/ Leases - H212 64

Industrial 64
Table: Historic Rents-2011-2012 (USD per m2/month) 66
Table: Net Yield, 2011-2012 (%) 66
Table: Terms of Rental Contract/ Leases-H212 67

Competitive Landscape 68
Table: EQS Data 71

Company Profile 72

Bechtel 72

Fluor Corporation 78

KBR 80

Turner Construction Company 82

Demographic Forecast 84
Table: The United States' Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) 85
Table: The United States' Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) 86
Table: The United States' Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 87
Table: The United States' Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 87

Methodology 88

How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts 88

Construction Industry 89

Bank Lending 90

Real Estate/Construction Business Environment Rating 90
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 91

Sources 93

Bechtel
Fluor Corporation
KBR
Turner Construction Company

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