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4Q 2008 Pakistan Mobile Operator Forecast, 2008 - 2010
IE Market Research Corp., Oct 2008, Pages: 142


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This Mobile Operator Forecast on Pakistan provides operational and financial metrics for the Pakistan wireless market. We cover quarterly historical data starting in 2Q2004 and ending in 2Q2008. We also provide four-year forecasts at the operator level going out to 2010. Operators covered for Pakistan include: Mobilink, Ufone, Paktel, Instaphone, Telenor, and Warid Telecom. Our Mobile Forecasts are updated quarterly and are available for one-time delivery or through regular updates.

Notable highlights of the 4Q08 Pakistan Mobile Forecast include:
- We think that Pakistan will continue to see reductions in ARPUs over the forecast period of 2008 - 2010. In 2010, we forecast that Pakistan will have the average ARPU level of US$ 2.66 (previously US$ 2.83) which is the lowest ARPU in our coverage list of countries.
- Pakistan will see its wireless penetration level increase from a projected 58.8% in 2008 to a forecasted 71.5% in 2010 (unchanged). This would make Pakistan the most highly penetrated market in South Asia.
- Our market share forecasts have changed significantly this quarter. We are now predicting subscriber market shares for Mobilink, Ufone, Telenor and Warid Telecom at 31.3%, 20.8%, 20.9%, and 18.3% in 2010. In addition, Paktel, is growing rapidly. Its market share will increase from our projected 5.6% in 2008 to 8.5% in 2010.



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