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3Q08 Pakistan Mobile Forecast, 2008 ? 2010
IE Market Research Corp., July 2008
The level of competition is increasing as Paktel grows in Pakistan’s mobile operator space
This Mobile Forecast on Pakistan provides operational and financial metrics for the Pakistan wireless market. We cover quarterly historical data starting in 1Q2004 and ending in 1Q2008. We also provide four-year forecasts at the operator level going out to 2010. Operators covered for Pakistan include: Mobilink, Ufone, Paktel, Instaphone, Telenor, and Warid Telecom. Our Mobile Forecasts are updated quarterly and are available for one-time delivery or through regular updates.
Notable highlights of the 3Q08 Pakistan Mobile Forecast include:
- We think that Pakistan will continue to see reductions in ARPUs over the forecast period of 2008 - 2010. In 2010, we forecast that Pakistan will have the average ARPU level of US$ 2.83 which is the lowest ARPU in our coverage list of countries.
- Pakistan will see its wireless penetration level increase from a projected 58.8% in 2008 to a forecasted 71.5% in 2010. This would make Pakistan the most highly penetrated market in South Asia.
- The largest operators in Pakistan are Mobilink, Ufone, Telenor and Warid Telecom; they will have market shares (by subscribers) of 36.0%, 19.4%, 21.0% and 17.0% respectively in 2010 according to our model.
- In addition, a smaller operator, Paktel, is growing rapidly. Its market share will increase from our projected 3.9% in 2008 to a forecasted 6.3% in 2010.
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