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3Q08 Morocco Mobile Forecast, 2008 ? 2010
IE Market Research Corp., July 2008
Maroc Telecom will be losing market share to Wana in Morocco’s mobile operator space
This Mobile Forecast on Morocco provides over 65 operational and financial metrics for the Morocco wireless market. We cover quarterly historical data starting in 1Q2004 and ending in 1Q2008. We also provide four-year forecasts at the operator level going out to 2010. Operators covered for Morocco include: Maroc Telecom, Medi Tel, and Wana. Our Mobile Forecasts are updated quarterly and are available for one-time delivery or through regular updates.
Notable highlights of the 3Q08 Morocco Mobile Forecast include:
- Total subscribers in Morocco will increase from our projected 22.9 million to a forecasted 26.4 million over the forecast period of 2008 - 2010. The wireless penetration level will increase from 73.6% to 83.5%.
- Our forecasts cover three major wireless operators in Morocco. In 2010, we expect that Maroc Telecom, Medi Tel and Wana will serve 65.0%, 32.5% and 2.5% of the subscriber base in Morocco. With Wana expanding the size of its operation, the leading player, Maroc Telecom, will be losing its market share slightly. We forecast that Maroc Telecom’s market share will decrease from up to 66.4% in 2008 to 65.0% in 2010.
- During the forecast period from 2008 to 2010, we think that Maroc Telecom’s share of net additions will fall from 65% to 50% while that of Wana increases from 5% to 20%.
- Maroc Telecom will continue to enjoy a high EBITDA margin at 61.3% while Medi Tel is forecasted to have a 44.9% EBITDA margin in 2010.
- In 2010, Maroc Telecom is forecasted to register ARPU of US$ 13.28 per month as opposed to US$ 7.97 for Medi Tel.
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