Thailand Tourism Report Q1 2013

  • ID: 2355059
  • December 2012
  • Region: Thailand
  • 70 pages
  • Business Monitor International
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The Thailand Tourism Report examines the enormous long-term potential of the country's tourism market, but raises short-term concerns about the impact of slowing tourist arrivals as a result of the deteriorating economic environment in Europe and North America.

The report examines how best to maximise returns in the Thai tourism market, while minimising investment risk and also explores the impact of the increasingly precarious-looking external macroeconomic environment on the Thai hospitality sector, which has proven particularly resilient so far.

The report also analyses the growth and risk management strategies being employed by the leading players in the Thai tourism sector, as they seek to maximise the tremendous growth opportunities offered by the local market.

Key Findings

Thailand's tourist industry is on target to perform well in 2012. Between January and September, tourist arrivals totalled 15.96mn, representing growth of 8.7% year-on-year (y-o-y). The rate of arrivals growth has picked up from the first half of the year, indicating that Thailand remains an attractive destination even in a deteriorating global economic environment. With the final READ MORE >

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Executive Summary 5

SWOT Analysis 7

Thailand Tourism SWOT 7

Thailand Political SWOT 8

Thailand Economic SWOT 9

Thailand Business Environment SWOT 10

Industry Forecast Scenario 11

Arrivals 11
Table: Arrivals, 2010-2017 12

Accommodation 12
Table: Hotels Data, 2010-2017 12

Expenditure 13
Table: Tourism Expenditure And Economic Impact, 2010-2017 13

Inbound Tourism 13
Table: Inbound Tourism, 2010-2017 13

Outbound Tourism 14
Table: Outbound Tourism, 2010-2017 14

Market Overview – Travel 16

Commercial Airlines 16

Global Oil Products Price Outlook 19
Table: BMI's Oil Price Forecasts And Bloomberg Consensus, Average Price (US$/bbl) 19

Market Overview – Hospitality 28

Tourism Infrastructure 28

Accommodation 29

Ecotourism 31

H1N1 And H5N1 Update 32

Risk/Reward Ratings 34
Table: Asia Pacific Tourism Risk/Reward Ratings 34

BMI Security Ratings 34
Table: Asia Pacific Regional Security Ratings 35
Table: Asia Pacific State Vulnerability To Terrorism Index 35

Thailand's Security Risk Ratings 36

South East Asia Security Overview 37

Strategic Outlook For The 2010s 37

South East Asia In A Global Context 37

Challenges And Threats To Stability And Security 38

Main Islamist Militant Groups In South East Asia 40

Other Regional Threats 45

China-US Rivalry In South East Asia 47

Outlook For South East Asia 49

Global Assumptions 50
Table: Global Assumptions, 2011-2017 50
Table: Global & Regional Real GDP Growth, % chg y-o-y 52
Table: Developed Market Exchange Rates, 2011-2014 52
Table: Emerging Market Exchange Rates, 2011-2014 53

Developed States 53
Table: Developed States Real GDP Growth Forecasts, 2011-2014 (%) 54

Emerging Markets 55
Table: Emerging Markets Real GDP Growth Forecasts, 2011-2014 (%) 55
Table: BMI v Bloomberg Consensus Real GDP Growth Forecast, 2012-2013 (%) 56

Company Profiles 57

Centara Hotels & Resorts 57

Dusit Thani Hotels & Resorts 59

Thai Airways International 60

Demographic Outlook 62
Table: Thailand's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) 63
Table: Thailand's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) 64
Table: Thailand's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 65
Table: Thailand's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 65

BMI Methodology 66

How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts 66

Tourism Industry 67

Tourism Ratings – Methodology 67
Table: Tourism Risk/Reward Rating Indicators 68
Table: Weighting of Components 69

Sources 69

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Company Profiles
Centara Hotels & Resorts
Dusit Thani Hotels & Resorts
Thai Airways International

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Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown


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Our Clients

  • InterContinental Hotel Group Plc.
  • Hilton Worldwide
  • Marriott International, Inc.
  • Invest Northern Ireland
  • Jumeirah Group
  • Starwood Hotels and Resorts Worldwide