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China's Raw Milk & Dairy Market Analysis and Forecast Report 2011-2012 Product Image

China's Raw Milk & Dairy Market Analysis and Forecast Report 2011-2012

  • ID: 2387314
  • February 2012
  • Region: China
  • 86 Pages
  • BGAgri

The main development trends of milk and dairy market in 2012 will be as the follows: the proportion of scaled & mechanized cattle farming will further expand; farming benefit will be good compare with last year and the supply of domestic raw milk will increase; the total dairy imports will continue to climb up slightly; the dairy producing capacity will continue to expand; milk shortage will be alleviated and dairy supply and demand almost will be balance.

Supported by detailed and accurate data, as well as brief words, this annual report will fully and systematically analyze the trends and changes of dairy market in 2011, and also forecast the trends of market in 2012.

In 2011, China’s milk and dairy industry mainly showed the following characteristics and changes:

(1) In China, the proportion of scaled dairy cattle farming has been further expanded. But China still mainly relies on free-range farming (1-4 heads), dairy cattle inventory of which account for about 25% of the total;

(2) New cattle farming models, such as farming-park and cooperative farming, promote scaled & standardize farming in China;

(3) China’s relevant authorities READ MORE >

RESEARCH BACKGROUND

PART ONE: ANALYSIS OF 2011 DAIRY INDUSTRY POLICIES AND CHANGES

1.1 Implementation of Fine-breed Cattle Subsidy in China

1.2 Support of Reconstruction and Expansion of Standardize and Scale Cattle Farms

1.3 Strengthening the Regulation on Quality & Safety of Raw Milk Purchasing

1.4 Carrying out Government’s Guiding Price for Raw Milk in Main Farming Regions

1.5 Heilongjiang Formally Launched the Work of the 3rd-party Testing of Raw Milk

1.6 Carrying out the Re-checking of Production License for Dairy Products & Infant/Young Child’s Formula Milk Powder

1.7 Bureau of Industry and Commerce: Dairy Products Become Independent Operation Permission Item

1.8 Taxation Bureau Published “Public Notice on VAT Rates for Some Varieties of Liquid Milk”

PART TWO: 2011 CHINA’S DAIRY CATTLE FARMING AND COSTS ANALYSIS

2.1 Features of Dairy Cattle Farming

2.1.1 Cattle Farming Distribution was Concentrated

2.1.2 Dairy Cattle Farming mainly relied on free-range Farmers

2.1.3 Dairy Cattle Farming Scale was Small

2.1.4 Some New Dairy Cattle Farming Models Appeared

2.2 Changes of Dairy Cattle Inventory and Milk Production

2.2.1 Dairy Cattle Inventory Increased Slightly

2.2.2 Dairy Cattle Yield Increased Slightly

2.2.3 Milk Production Rose a Little
2.3 Large Dairy Cattle Farming Enterprises & Milk Production

2.3.1 Distribution of Large Dairy Cattle Farming Enterprises

2.3.2 Milk Production of Large Cattle Farming Enterprises

2.3.3 Analysis of Main Dairy Cattle Farming Enterprises

2.4 Problem and Countermeasure of Milk Production

2.4.1 Irrational Structure of Dairy Cattle Feed, low Dairy Cattle Yield

2.4.2 Low Level of Dairy Cattle Farming Integration

2.4.3 Poor Raw Milk Quality

2.5 Dairy Cattle Costs and Benefits

2.5.1 Larger Pressure on Dairy Cattle Costs

2.5.2 Dairy Cattle Farming Benefits Increased Slightly

PART THREE: ANALYSIS OF 2011 CHINA’S MILK DISTRIBUTION MODES

3.1 Analysis of Milk Distribution Entities

3.1.1 Free-range Farming Households

3.1.2 Scaled Farms (Including farming parks, independent farming, cooperative farming etc.)

3.1.3 Milk Station

3.1.4 Dairy Processing Enterprise

3.2 Analysis of Milk Distribution Modes

3.2.1 Free-range Farming Household- Milk Station - Dairy Processing Enterprise

3.2.2 Scaled Farm - Dairy Processing Enterprise

3.3 Proportion of Milk for Different Distribution Channels

PART FOUR: ANALYSIS OF 2011 CHINA’S DAIRY PROCESSING INDUSTRY

4.1 Dairy Production Analysis

4.1.1 Dairy Production Increased Significantly

4.1.2 Liquid Milk, Milk Powder and Other Solid Dairy Production all Rose

4.2 Dairy Production Distribution

4.2.1 Dairy Production Distribution by Province

4.2.2 Liquid Dairy Products Distribution by Province

4.2.3 Milk Powder Distribution by Province

4.3 Main Dairy Enterprises and Processing Capacity

4.3.1 Main Dairy Manufacturers Distribution

4.3.2 Dairy Processing Capacity by Province

4.3.3 Proportion of Processing Capacity for Scaled Dairy Enterprises

4.3.4 Large Dairy Enterprises Processing Capacity & Distribution

4.4 Some New Changes Appeared in Dairy Production

4.4.1 Concentration Level of Dairy Industry to Rise Further

4.4.2 Controlling Milk Supply is growth for Dairy Enterprises

4.4.3 More Dairy Enterprises Focus on Development of Top Liquid Milk

PART FIVE: 2011 DAIRY PRODUCTS TRADE ANALYSIS

5.1 General Status of Dairy Trade

5.1.1 Analysis of Dairy Products Import Volume and Variety in 2011

5.1.2 Analysis of Dairy Products Export Volume and Variety in 2011

5.2 Liquid Dairy Products Trade Analysis

5.2.1 Imported and Exported Liquid Dairy Products Varieties

5.2.2 Different Liquid Dairy Products Import&Export

5.2.3 Source of Different Liquid Dairy Products Import

5.2.4 Destinations of Exported Fresh Milk

5.3 Milk Powder Trade Analysis

5.3.1 Imported and Exported Milk Powder Volume

5.3.2 Analysis of Milk Powder Import Varieties & Import Price

5.3.3 Analysis of Milk Powder Import Price

5.3.4 Source and Destinations of Imported Milk Powder

5.3.5 Analysis of Milk Powder Export Varieties

5.4 Whey Powder Import Analysis

5.4.1 Analysis of Whey Powder Import Volume

5.4.2 Source and Destinations of Whey Powder Import

5.4.3 Analysis of Whey Powder Import Price

5.5 Cheese Import Analysis

5.5.1 Analysis of Cheese Import Volume

5.5.2 Source of Cheese Import

PART SIX: 2011 CHINA’S DAIRY CONSUMPTION ANALYSIS

6.1 General Status of China’s Dairy Consumption

6.1.1 Low Dairy Consumption per Capita, Unitary Structure

6.1.2 Expenditure and Amount of Dairy Consumption Both Increased

6.2 China’s Dairy Consumption Characteristics

6.2.1 Regional Differences in Dairy Consumption,Urban Areas as Main Dairy Consumption Markets

6.2.2 UHT Milk Consumption Hit Highest Market Share

6.2.3 Quick Development of Top Liquid Milk Consumption Market

6.3 China’s Dairy Consumption Analysis

6.3.1 Change of Dairy Consumption Volume in China

6.3.2 Change of Liquid Milk Consumption Volume in China

6.3.3 Change of Yogurt Consumption Volume in China

6.3.4 Change of Milk Powder Consumption Volume in China

6.4 Analysis of 2011 China’s Dairy Products Supply & Demand Balance

6.5 Analysis of 2011 China’s Material Milk Supply & Demand Balance

PART SEVEN: 2011 DAIRY MARKET PRICES CHANGES

7.1 Analysis on Raw Milk Market Prices Change

7.2 Analysis on Liquid Milk Market Prices Change

7.2.1 Change of Pasteurized Milk Market Prices

7.2.2 Change of UHT Milk Market Prices

7.3 Yogurt Market Prices Change

7.4 Milk Powder Prices Change

7.4.1 Change of Infant/Young Child’s Milk Powder Prices

7.4.2 Change of Adult Milk Powder Prices

PART EIGHT: 2012 CHINA’S MILK AND DAIRY SUPPLY-DEMAND FORECAST

8.1 Dairy Cattle Farming and Milk Production Forecast

8.1.1 Forecast of China’s Scaled Cattle Farming Proportion

8.1.2 Forecast of Cattle Inventory and Milk Production

8.1.3 Forecast of Raw Milk Supply-Demand

8.1.4 Forecast of Milk Prices

8.1.5 Forecast of Cattle Farming Costs

8.1.6 Forecast of Cattle Farming Benefits

8.2 2012 China’s Dairy Production Forecast

8.2.1 Forecast of Dairy Production

8.2.2 Forecast of Liquid Milk Production

8.2.3 Forecast of Milk Powder Production

8.3 2012 China’s Dairy Import and Export Forecast

8.3.1 Forecast of Dairy Imports and Exports Volumes

8.3.2 Forecast of Milk Powder Import Volumes & Prices

8.3.3 Forecast of Whey Powder Imports Volumes

8.3.4 Forecast of Cheese Imports Volumes

8.3.5 Forecast of Fresh Milk and Milk Powder Exports Volumes

8.4 2012 China’s Dairy Consumption Forecast

8.4.1 Forecast of Dairy Consumption Volumes

8.4.2 Forecast of Dairy Supply-Demand Balance

8.4.3 Forecast of Dairy Prices

8.5 2012 China’s Milk Supply-Demand Balance Forecast

MAP CONTENTS

Map 1, China’s Dairy Cattle Inventory by Province

Map 2, Distribution of Laugest Cattle Rearing Enterprises in China

Map 3, Distribution & Processing Capacity of Main Dairy Enterprises Group

FIGURE CONTENTS

Figure 1, Percentage of Dairy Cattle Farms with more 100 Inventories, 2004-2011

Figure 2, Change of Milk Price in Heilongjiang and Main Producing Provinces by Month, 2008-2011

Figure 3, Data of Re-checking of Production License for Dairy Enterprise in 2011

Figure 4, Distribution of Re-Licensed Enterprises in 2011

Figure 5, Cattle Inventory of Different Scaled in China, 2011

Figure 6, Dairy United Mode in China’s Cattle Farming, 2011

Figure 7, China’s Dairy Cattle Inventory, 1973-2011

Figure 8, 2011 Order of China’s Province by Dairy Cattle Inventory

Figure 9, China’s Dairy Cattle Yield, 1973-2011

Figure 10, China’s Adult Dairy Cattle Yield in Main Province and Nationwide, 2005-2011

Figure 11, China’s Milk Production, 1973-2011

Figure 12, 2011 Order of China’s Province by Milk Production

Figure 13, 2011 Cattle Yield of Main Milk Country of World

Figure 14, Change of Corn & Soybean Price in Main Milk Producing Provinces by Month, 2008-2011

Figure 15, Change of Milk Price & Farming Benefits in Main Milk Producing Provinces by Month, 2008-2011

Figure 16, Main Raw Milk Distribution Mode in China

Figure 17, Raw Milk Distribution Modes of Different Farming Modes in China

Figure 18, China’s Dairy Production and Growth Rate, 2000-2011

Figure 19, China’s Liquid Dairy Production and Growth Rate, 2000-2011

Figure 20, China’s Solid Dairy Production and Growth Rate, 2000-2011

Figure 21, China’s Milk Powder Production, 2008-2011

Figure 22, 2011 China’s Dairy Production by Province

Figure 23, 2011 China’s Liquid Dairy Production by Province

Figure 24, 2011 China’s Milk Powder Production by Province

Figure 25, Distribution of Re-Licensed Enterprises in 2011

Figure 26, 2011 Distribution of China’s Milk Processing Capacity by Province

Figure 27, China’s Dairy Imports and Growth Rate, 2004-2011

Figure 28, China’s Dairy Import Structure, 2004-2011

Figure 29, China’s Dairy Exports and Growth Rate, 2004-2011

Figure 28, China’s Dairy Export Structure, 2004-2011

Figure 31, China’s Fresh Milk Imports and Exports Volumes, 2004-2011

Figure 32, China’s Fresh Milk Imports Volumes of Different Structure, 2003-2011

Figure 33, China’s Fresh Milk Exports Volumes of Different Structure, 2003-2011

Figure 34, China’s Fresh Milk Imports Volumes by Original Country, 2003-2011

Figure 35, China’s Fresh Milk Exports Volumes to Different Country, 2003-2011

Figure 36, China’s Milk Powder Imports and Exports, 2003-2011

Figure 37, China’s Milk Powder Imports by Variety, 2003-2011

Figure 38, China’s Milk Powder Imports and Import Price by Month, 2006-2011

Figure 39, China’s Milk Powder Imports by Original Country, 2003-2011

Figure 40, China’s SMP Imports by Original Country, 2003-2011

Figure 41, China’s Milk Powder Imports by Province, 2003-2011

Figure 42, China’s Milk Powder Exports by Variety, 2003-2011

Figure 43, China’s Whey Powder Imports and Growth Rate, 2003-2011

Figure 44, 2011 Major Original Country of Whey Powder Imports

Figure 45, Whey Powder Imports by Original Country, 2008-2011

Figure 46, Whey Powder Imports by Province, 2003-2011

Figure 47, China’s Whey Powder Imports and Import Price by Month, 2007-2011

Figure 47, China’s Whey Powder Import Price by Original Country, 2007-2011

Figure 49, China’s Cheese Imports and Growth Rate, 2000-2011

Figure 50, China’s Cheese Imports by Original Country, 2004-2011

Figure 51, China’s Cheese Imports by Variety, 2003-2011

Figure 52, Per Capita Dairy Consumption of China’s Urban and Rural Residents, 2001-2011

Figure 53, Per Capita Fresh Milk, Yogurt and Milk Powder Consumption of China’s Urban Residents, 2001-2011

Figure 54, Per Capita Dairy Consumption Cost of China’s Urban Residents, 2001-2011

Figure 55, China’s Dairy Market Sales Value, 2003-2011

Figure 56, Change of China’s Fresh Milk Imports Volumes, 2003-2011

Figure 57, China’s Dairy Consumption Change, 2001-2011

Figure 58, China’s Liquid Dairy Consumption Change, 2001-2011

Figure 59, China’s Liquid Milk Consumption Change, 2001-2011

Figure 60, China’s Yogurt Consumption Change, 2001-2011

Figure 61, China’s Milk Powder Consumption Change, 2004-2011

Figure 62, China’s Change of Raw Milk Price by Month, 2006-2011

Figure 63, China’s Change of Raw Milk Price in Partial Main Producing Province by Month, 2008-2011

Figure 64, China’s Fresh Milk Retail Prices in Whole Market by Month, 2006-2011

Figure 65, China’s Fresh Milk Retail Prices in 50 Bigger City by Month, 2009-2011

Figure 66, China’s UHT Milk Retail Prices in Whole Market by Month, 2009-2011

Figure 67, China’s UHT Milk Retail Prices in 50 Bigger City by Month, 2009-2011

Figure 68, China’s Yogurt Prices in Whole Market by Month, 2009-2011

Figure 69, China’s Infant/Young Child’s Milk Powder with Overseas Brand Retail Prices in Whole Market by Month, 2009-2011

Figure 70, China’s Infant/Young Child’s Milk Powder with Domestic Brand Retail Prices in Whole Market by Month, 2009-2011

Figure 71, China’s Adult Milk Powder Retail Prices in Whole Market by Month, 2009-2011

Figure 72, Forecast of 2012 China’s Dairy Cattle Inventory and Milk Production

Figure 73, Forecast of 2012 China’s Raw Milk Price Change

Figure 74, Forecast of 2012 China’s Dairy Production

Figure 75, Forecast of 2012 China’s Liquid Dairy Production

Figure 76, Forecast of 2012 China’s Dairy Import and Export Volume

Figure 77, Forecast of 2012 China’s Milk Powder Import Volume

Figure 79, Forecast of 2012 China’s Whey Powder Import Volume

Figure 80, Forecast of 2012 China’s Cheese Import Volume

Figure 81, Forecast of 2012 China’s Liquid Milk, Yogurt and Milk Powder Consumption

ATTACHED TABLES

Table 1, Fine-breed Dairy Cattle Subsidy in China, 2005-2011

Table 2, Central Government’s Subsidy for Different Scaled Cattle Farms, 2010-2011

Table 3, The Distinction of Different Modes of Cattle Farming in China

Table 4, China’s Largest Cattle Rearing Enterprises

Table 5, China’s Feed Price & Farming Cost in Main Producing Provinces, 2008-2011

Table 6, China’s Milk Price & Cattle Farming Benefit in Main Producing Provinces, 2008-2011

Table 7, Milk Delivery Channels & Proportion of Farms of Different Scale

Table 8, China’s Dairy New, Building& Operated Enterprises, 2011

Table 9, 2011 Enterprises Entering China High-end Liquid Dairy Market

Table 10, 2011 Enterprises Entering China Infant’s Milk Powder Market

Table 11, China’s Milk Powder Imports and Import Price by Variety, 2010-2011

Table 12, China’s Whey Powder Imports and Import Price by Variety, 2010-2011

Table 13, Per Capita Dairy &Fresh Milk Consumption of China’s Urban and Rural Residents, 2005-2011

Table 14, Proportion of Pasteurized Milk and UHT Milk in Difference Country or Area

Table 15, Occupancy of China’s Yogurt by Variety, 2004-2011

Table 16, Occupancy of China’s Milk Powder by Variety, 2004-2011

Table 17, Liquid Milk& Milk Powder Supply-Demand Balance in China, 2008-2011

Table 18, Material Milk Supply-Demand Balance in China, 2008-2011

Table 19, Raw Milk Supply-Demand Balance in China, 2008-2011

Table 20, Forecast of 2012 Dairy Supply-Demand Balance in China

Table 21, Forecast of 2012 Material Milk Supply-Demand Balance in China

Attached Table 1, China’s Dairy Cattle Inventory by Province, 2006-2011

Attached Table 2, China’s Dairy Cattle Yield by Province, 2006-2011

Attached Table 3, China’s Adult Dairy Cattle Yield by Province, 2005-2011

Attached Table 4, China’s Milk Production by Province, 2006-2011

Attached Table 5, Raw Milk Price of Partial Main Produciong Province in China, 2005-2011

Attached Table 6, China’s Dairy Production by Province, 2005-2011

Attached Table 7, China’s Liquid Milk Production by Province, 2005-2011

Attached Table 8, China’s Solid Dairy Production by Province, 2005-2011

Attached Table 9, 2010 China’s Milk Processing Capacity by Province, 2008-2011

Attached Table 10, China Dairy Enterprises of Processing Capability over 300MT/d

Attached Table 11, China’s Milk Processing Capacity and Supply-Demand Balance by Province, 2009-2011

Attached Table 12, China’s Dairy Import Volume by Tariffline, 2005-2011

Attached Table 13, China’s Dairy Export Volume by Tariffline, 2005-2011

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