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The Smart Grid Business 2012 to 2017 Product Image

The Smart Grid Business 2012 to 2017

  • ID: 2497389
  • March 2013
  • 239 Pages
  • Memoori Business Intelligence Ltd

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This report is the definitive resource for Smart Grid Research, combining clearly defined Market Sizing Statistics with Financial Analysis of Merger, Acquisition and Investment. Within its 239 pages and over 30 charts and tables, the report establishes the facts and draws conclusions as to what is shaping the future of the Smart Grid industry;

In the last 3 years we estimate that the world investment in Smart Grid has doubled from $16.2 billion in 2010 to $36.5 in 2012. However, it is rather unbalanced because the current share taken by smart meters is running at around 40% of the market, whilst its potential market value over the full 20 year program will be no more than 9%.

The structure of the business is currently skewed heavily towards the major international suppliers where 26 companies shared sales of $81.9 billion in 2012 giving an average revenue of $3.125 billion but only accounting for 1% of the population of suppliers.

Supply side Business Models and Routes to Market will change to exploit the opportunities of Smart Grid as applied to the Industrial and Commercial market, the interface with Smart Buildings and the Electrical Utility market.

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Preface

Executive Summary

1. Introduction

2. Size, Structure & Shape of the Electrical Transmission, Distribution & Smart Grid Business
2.1 Structure & Shape of the Business
2.2 State of the Business

3. Market Size – Electrical Generation, Transmission & Distribution Equipment
3.1 A Global Market
3.1.1 World Generation Capacity – Identifying the Largest Potential Markets
3.1.2 World Renewable Power Capacity – Identifying the Best Potential Markets
3.1.3 World Power Transmission & Distribution Equipment Sales 2012

4. Pure Smart Grid World Market Size 2012 & Potential Size to 2030
4.1 Setting the Parameters & Rationale
4.2 Smart Grid Market Size by Product 2012 & Forecast to 2017
4.2.1 Market Size Smart Meters & AMI
4.2.2 Market Size Transmission Systems
4.2.3 Market Size Distribution Systems
4.2.4 Market Size Consumer Interfaces HANS, EMS, Distributed & Micro-energy, Storage & EV’s
4.2.5 Market Size Communication Networks
4.2.6 Smart Grid Cyber Security Expenditure
4.2.7 Market Size Analytics, Enterprise & Security Software
4.3 Total Potential World Investment at Full Penetration
4.3.1 Potential Size of Smart Grid World Market by Country
4.3.2 Potential Size of the Smart Grid Market by Country & Product Grouping
4.4 Market Size by Product & Country & Forecast to 2030
4.4.1 Market Size – Transmission Systems
4.4.2 Market Size – Distribution Systems
4.4.3 Market Size – Advanced Metering & Infrastructure Networks
4.4.4 Market Size – Consumer Interfaces, HAN, EMS, Storage & EV’s

5. Strategy – Business Models & Routes to Market
5.1 Factors that will Shape Strategy
5.2 Strategy & Business Models
5.3 Routes to Market – Expect Changes to Traditional Trading Practices & Channels of Distribution
5.4 Innovation is Key to Smart Grid Growth
5.5 Government Support Initiatives – Carrot or Stick?

6. Drivers, Barriers and the Implementation of New Technologies
6.1 Smart Grid Drivers
6.1.1 Now must be the Time to Focus on Bringing it all Together
6.1.2 Is Base Load Power Needed? Distributed Power is Certainly a Must
6.1.3 Can Current Technology Deliver a Smart Grid?
6.1.4 Regional Variations
6.2 Road Blocks that may slow down Smart Grid Development
6.2.1 Stuck between a Financial Rock and an Economic Hard Place
6.2.2 Smart Grid Strategy needs better Balance and a Rethink on Priorities
6.3 Regulatory Bodies & Policy Frameworks
6.4 Smart Grid Communications – Analytical & Security Software
6.4.1 Communications
6.4.2 Securing the Grid
6.5 Accommodating Renewables - The Importance of Storage & Distributed Power
6.6 Distributed Energy – Micro-Grids & Micro-Generation
6.7 Interfacing Smart Grid & Micro-Grid with Energy Management Systems & HAN
6.7.1 Home Area Networks (HAN)
6.7.2 Energy Management Systems (EMS)
6.8 Smart Buildings – Smart Grid Interface Systems Market Size

7. M&A Performance & Valuations in 2012 – Forecast to 2017
7.1 The Progress of Consolidation & Outlook to 2017
7.1.1 Consolidation in 2012 was Unprecedented
7.1.2 Forecast of Merger & Acquisition Business to 2017
7.2 Valuation – Exit Multiples & Drivers
7.2.1 Performance of Exit Multiples 2005 to 2012

8. Analyzing M&A Strategy
8.1 The New Industry Model Will Determine the Future Shape of Consolidation
8.2 How Did Consolidation Shape Up in 2012?
8.2.1 The Top 5 Acquisitions in 2012
8.2.2 The Top 5 Acquisitive Companies During 2010 to 2012
8.2.3 M&A Analyzed by Business Segment 2010 to 2012
8.2.4 Internal Strategic Buys
8.2.5 External Strategic Buys
8.2.6 IPO’s & Private Equity

9. The Investment Market
9.1 The State of the Investment Business & Exposure to the Smart Grid Industry
9.1.1 Impact on the Smart Grid Industry
9.2 Investors in the Smart Grid Industry & Recipients
9.3 Government Assistance & Stimulus Grants
9.3.1 Government Funding – An Important Driver of Growth
Identifying Potential Merger & Acquisition Targets & Entry through Alliance
10.1 Potential Acquisition Targets
10.2 Alliance – The Precursor of Merger & Acquisition

APPENDIX

A 1.1 - Venture Capital Investment in Smart Grid Companies (2011-2012)
A 1.2 - M&A Activity & Deals Involving Smart Grid Companies (2011-2012)
A 1.3 - Potential Acquisition Targets 2013
A 1.4 - The World’s Major Smart Grid Companies by Size and Category
A 1.5 - Listing of Venture Capitalists Active in the Smart Grid Market

LIST OF CHARTS AND FIGURES

Fig 2.1 – Average Revenue for Group A, B & C Companies ($m)
Fig 2.2 – Distribution of Sales by Major Grouping by Value
Fig 2.3 – Distribution of Sales by Major Grouping by Number of Companies

Fig 3.1 – Electrical Power Generating Capacity by Country (Gigawatts) 2010
Fig 3.2 – Worlds Largest Producers of Electricity through Wind Power 2009 / 2010
Fig 3.2 – World Electric Power Transmission & Distribution Equipment 2010 / 2012 ($b)

Fig 4.1 – World Smart Grid Sales for AMI from 2010 to 2017 ($b)
Fig 4.2 - World Smart Grid Sales for the Transmission Network from 2010 to 2017 ($b)
Fig 4.3 - World Smart Grid Sales for the Distribution Network from 2010 to 2017 ($b)
Fig 4.4 - World Smart Grid Sales for Consumer Interfaces from 2010 to 2017 ($b)
Fig 4.5 – Smart Grid World Investment at Full Potential ($b)
Fig 4.6 – Total World Smart Grid Sales from 2010 to 2030
Fig 4.7 – Smart Grid Investment Potential by Country and Product Sectors at Installed Prices ($m)
Fig 4.8 – Pure Smart Grid Sales by Country from 2010 to 2030
Fig 4.9 – World Smart Grid Sales for the Transmission Network 2010 and Forecast to 2030
Fig 4.10 – World Smart Grid Sales for the Distribution Network 2010 and Forecast to 2030
Fig 4.11 – World Smart Grid Sales for AMI 2010 and Forecast to 2030
Fig 4.12 – World Smart Meter Installations by Region 2011 & Forecasts to 2020
Fig 4.13 – World Smart Grid Sales for Consumer Interfaces 2010 & Forecasts to 2020

Fig 6.1 – Total World Market Size for Smart Building Smart Grid Interface Products & Systems 2010 – 2030

Fig 7.1 – Smart Grid Deals Completed from 2007 to 2012
Fig 7.2a – Smart Grid Deals by Value & Forecast to 2017
Fig 7.2b – Smart Grid Deals by Volume & Forecast to 2017
Fig 7.3 – Acquisition Valuation Benchmarks 2006 – 2012 & Forecast 2013

Fig 8.1 – Acquisitions by Product Group 2010 / 2011 / 2012

Fig 9.1 – VC Funding in Smart Grid in 2012

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China takes the Initiative as World Smart Grid Sales Climbed 30% in 2012

World Smart Grid sales at installed prices climbed to $36.5 billion in 2012 a growth of 30% on 2011, as China took the lead, according to Memoori's latest report. However, the market is rather unbalanced because the share taken by AMI was around 40%; whilst its potential market value over the full 20 year program to deliver a complete Smart Grid, will be no more than 9%.

M&A activity reached $19.5 billion almost doubling the value of deals in the previous year. Both the growth and now scale of M&A activity show the supply side is gearing up to meet the requirements for new technology and the forecast demand for pure Smart Grid products and systems worth approximately $2,000 billion over the next 20 years.

Total new VC investment in Smart Grid for 2012 was $779 million based on 41 transactions, which is a fall of 37% on 2011. So along with Clean Tech VC investment, it suffered a general decline which we don't expect to continue.

Solid progress in the Smart Grid Industry has been made in the last 3 years but there is still much work to be done. The regulators and policy makers in the developed markets of the world are struggling to find the framework on which Smart Grid can be effectively built. In some cases they are losing sight of the most important reason for developing a Smart Grid and that is to build a system that will accept as much Variable Renewable Energy that is practical to meet the needs of a low carbon economy in the 21st century.

About the Report

At 239 pages with 31 charts and tables, The Smart Grid Business 2012 to 2017 report filters out important conclusions, supported with facts, as to what is shaping the future of the Smart Grid industry.

- ABB
- Areva
- Cooper Industries
- Eaton
- Efacec Group
- Elster Group
- Emerson
- General Electric
- Hager Group
- Hitachi Group
- Itron
- Landis+Gyr
- LeGrand
- Mitsubishi
- Rockwell Automation
- Schneider Electric
- SEL
- Siemens
- Toshiba
- 4Home
- Abertis Telecoms
- Accent
- Active Power
- ADICA
- Advanced Control Systems
- Cisco
- Honeywell
- Accenture
- SAP
- Oracle
- EMC
- CapGemini

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