Turkey Country Analysis: 2012-2017 An Evaluation of Political, Social, Economic, and Business Risk

  • ID: 2330029
  • June 2012
  • Region: Turkey
  • 60 Pages
  • Lucintel
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Turkey's 78.8 million citizens provide a large and growing market, well complemented by its geostrategic location. During 2001-2011, Turkey's GDP grew at a CAGR of 4%, worth $763 billion at current price in 2011. Over the next five years, Lucintel estimates the Turkish economy will grow to $1,226 billion at current price by 2017 with a 13.2% CAGR.

Lucintel, a leading global management consulting and market research firm, has analyzed Turkey's political, economic, social environment and business risk and presents its findings in “Turkey Country Analysis 2012-2017: An Evaluation of Political, Social, Economic and Business Risk.”

The Turkish economy has its own share of problems as it witnessed higher inflation in 2011 due to the depreciation of Turkish Lira, high import prices, and increasing food prices. Moreover, decreasing exports because of the ongoing Euro crisis is expected to have a negative growth impact in the coming years.

Yet, Turkey which is enriched in such natural resources as iron ores, coal, nuclear, hydro power, etc. is an attractive country for FDI. The prudent economic and developmental policies made by its stable government has accelerated READ MORE >

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1. Executive Summary
2. Country Snapshot / Overview
3. Turkey’s Economic Performance
3.1: Sectoral contribution to GDP and GDP growth rate
3.2: Consumption, saving and investment trends
3.3: Foreign direct investment by industry
4. Political and Social Risk Analysis of Turkey
4.1: Structure and stability of government
4.2: Government policy agenda
4.2.1: Policy agenda
4.2.2: Internal security risk
4.3: Risk in international relations
4.4: Social risk analysis
4.4.1: Social development index: risk analysis
4.4.2: Labor market
5. Economic Risk of Turkey
5.1: Pricing trends - inflation and interest rates
5.2: Risk in Financial Sector
5.2.1: Risk in current account balance
5.2.2: Risk in balance of payment
5.2.3: Risk in fiscal balance
5.3: Risk in external sector
5.3.1: International trade and its contribution to GDP
5.3.2: Risk in foreign exchange reserves and exchange rate
5.3.3: External debt and default risk
6. Business Risk of Turkey
6.1: Business risk
6.2: Doing business in Turkey 2012
6.3: Credit rating of countries
6.4: R& D expenditure and technological risk
6.5: Business risk and its impact

List of Figures
Chapter 2. Country Snapshot / Overview
Figure 2.1: Geographical location of Turkey
Chapter 3. Turkey’s Economic Performance
Figure 3.1: Trend of real GDP growth rate
Figure 3.2: Forecast of real GDP growth rate
Figure 3.3: GDP sectoral contribution
Figure 3.4: Share of different sectors to GDP
Figure 3.5: Quarterly trend of growth for GDP and IIP
Figure 3.6: Trend of consumption expenditure as percentage of GDP
Figure 3.7: Trend of savings and investments as percentage of GDP
Figure 3.8: Foreign direct investment by industry
Chapter 4. Political and Social Risk Analysis of Turkey
Figure 4.1: Trend of population and population growth rate
Figure 4.2: Population age structure
Figure 4.3: Trend of per capita income
Figure 4.4: Trend and forecast of working age population
Figure 4.5: Trend of corruption perception index of Turkey
Figure 4.6: Trend of unemployment rate in Turkey
Chapter 5. Economic Risk of Turkey
Figure 5.1: Annual Trend of Inflation and Interest Rate
Figure 5.2: Trend of Current Account Balance and Share in GDP
Figure 5.3: Terms of Trade for Turkey
Figure 5.4: Trend of Balance of Payment
Figure 5.5: Trend of Fiscal Deficit and Revenue Deficit as Percent of GDP
Figure 5.6: Trend of Budget Deficit as Percentage of GDP
Figure 5.7: Turkey’s International Trade Structure
Figure 5.8: Exports as Percentage of GDP
Figure 5.9: Trend of Foreign Exchange Reserves and Exchange Rate
Figure 5.10: Trend of Debt as Percentage of GDP
Figure 5.11: Trend of Gross Government Debt Position of Turkey
Figure 5.12: Mixed Prospects of Debts in Turkey
Chapter 6. Business Risk of Turkey
Figure 6.1: Trend of R&D expenditure in Turkey

List of Tables
Chapter 2. Country Snapshot/ Overview
Table 2.1: Demographic and political overview
Chapter 4. Turkey Political and Social Risk
Table 4.1: Homicide rate of Turkey
Table 4.2: GINI index of Turkey
Table 4.3: Corruption perception index
Chapter 6. Business Risk of Turkey
Table 6.1: FDI limits by industry
Table 6.2: Indicators for starting business
Table 6.3: Ranking in 2011 for procedures of starting a business
Table 6.4: Credit rating of countries by Moody, Fitch and S&P
Table 6.5: Business risk factors and its impact

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