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Thailand Country Analysis: 2012-2017 An Evaluation of Political, Social, Economic, and Business Risk

  • ID: 2545320
  • Country Profile
  • December 2012
  • Region: Thailand
  • 65 Pages
  • Lucintel
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Thailand experienced considerable growth in GDP during 2007-2011. The country is expected to continue its growth momentum and grow with a CAGR of 7.5% over the next five years. The opportunities for doing business here are immense with a huge domestic market along with low cost manufacturing process, cheaper work force etc. Industries are having immeasurable opportunities in organized retail sector, healthcare sector, education, residential housing, banking and financial sector in Thailand.

Thailand registered a remarkable economic performance during past 30 years. Thailand’s moves towards economic development includes — Adapting local initiative and interregional competition; integrating with the world; adjusting to new technologies; building world-class infrastructure; and investing heavily in its people.

Lucintel’s research indicates that the economic performance of Thailand seems slowing down in 2011 and the slowdown is likely to continue in 2012 as well, however, both government and central bank have already taken steps to increase domestic consumption. International scenario is likely to have negative impact on overall Thailand economic performance in 2012. With government of Thailand stepping up on accelerator of disinvestment, government fiscal deficit is likely to fall down in 2012-13. The year 2014 is expected to be the general election year and new government may continue with reform process.

Research by Lucintel indicates that Thailand has a multi-party political system where government is moderately stable. Risk is political structure of Thailand due to conflicting situation causing delay in decision making process. Apart from that social risk in Thailand includes the youth bulge problems, rising unemployment levels, rising Income inequalities and corruption of high level prevailing in the country.

This research report provides annual trends for past ten years and forecasts of GDP and population; outlines political, social, economic and business risk analysis of Thailand and recent economic policies analysis of Thailand and more.

The data and analysis found in this report can be utilized for a variety of functional business reasons, including business development, strategic planning, determination of market size and trends, competitive analysis, investment decisions, and joint product development.

This unique report from Lucintel will provide you with valuable information, insights, and tools needed to identify new growth opportunities and operate your business successfully in this market. This report will save hundreds of hours of your own personal research time and will significantly benefit you in expanding your business in this market. In today’s stringent economy, you need every advantage that you can find.

Features of This Report:

To make business, investment, and strategic decisions, you need timely, useful information. This market report fulfills this core need and is an indispensable reference guide for multinational materials suppliers, product manufacturers, investors, executives, distributors, and many more that operate in this market.

Some of the features of “Thailand Country Analysis 2012-2017: An Evaluation of Political, Social, Economic and Business Risk” include:
- Trend and forecast of real GDP growth rate of Thailand
- Trend of savings and investments as well as consumption expenditure in percentage of GDP of Thailand
- Trend of consumption expenditure as percentage of GDP in Thailand
- Trend of growth of population and unemployment rate in Thailand
- R&D and technological factor of Thailand 2012
- Business risk of Thailand

Who Can Benefit From This Report?

This study is intended for material suppliers, parts fabricators, OEMs, investors, executives, and consultants. This multi-client market study from Lucintel is used by small to multi-national Fortune 500 companies and utilized for a variety of reasons as follows.

- Business development
- Strategic planning
- Business presentation
- Determination of market size and trend
- Competitive analysis
- Personnel training
- Budgeting
- Investment decision
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1. Executive Summary

2. Country Overview

3. Thailand’s Economic Performance
3.1: Sectoral contribution to GDP and GDP growth rate
3.2: Consumption, saving, and investment trends
3.3: Foreign direct investment (FDI) by industry

4. Political and Social Risk Analysis of Thailand
4.1: Structure and stability of government
4.2: Government policy agenda
4.2.1: Policy agenda
4.3: Risk in international relations
4.4: Social risk analysis
4.4.1: Social development index risk analysis
4.4.2: Labor market

5. Economic risk of Thailand
5.1: Pricing trends - inflation and interest rates
5.2: Risk in financial sector
5.2.1: Risk in current account balance
5.2.2: Risk in balance of payment (BOP)
5.2.3: Risk in fiscal balance
5.3: Risk in external sector
5.3.1: International trade and its contribution to GDP
5.3.2: Risk in foreign exchange reserves and exchange rate
5.3.3: External debt and default risk
5.3.4: Economic factors impact on business

6. Business Risk of Thailand
6.1: Business risk
6.2: Doing business in Thailand 2012
6.3: Credit rating of countries
6.4: R&D expenditure and technological risk
6.5: Business Risk factors and its Impact

List of Figures

Chapter 2. Country Snapshot / Overview
Figure 2.1: Geographical location of Thailand

Chapter 3. Thailand’s Economic Performance
Figure 3.1: Trend of real GDP growth rate
Figure 3.2: Forecast of real GDP growth rate
Figure 3.3: GDP sectoral contribution
Figure 3.4: Share of different sectors to GDP

Business Risk
Figure 3.5: Quarterly index of industrial production and GDP growth
Figure 3.6: Trend of consumption expenditure as percentage of GDP
Figure 3.7: Trend of savings and investments as percentage of GDP
Figure 3.8: Foreign direct investment by industry

Chapter 4. Political and Social Risk Analysis of Thailand
Figure 4.1: Trend of population and population growth rate
Figure 4.2: Population age structure
Figure 4.3: Trend of per capita income
Figure 4.4: Trend and forecast of working age population
Figure 4.5: Trend of corruption perception index of Thailand
Figure 4.6: Trend of unemployment rate in Thailand

Chapter 5. Economic Risk of Thailand
Figure 5.1: Trend of inflation and interest rate
Figure 5.2: Trend of current account balance and share in GDP
Figure 5.3: Terms of trade for Thailand
Figure 5.4: Trend of balance of payment
Figure 5.5: Trend of fiscal deficit and revenue deficit as percent of GDP
Figure 5.6: Trend of budget deficit as percentage of GDP
Figure 5.7: Thailand’s international trade structure
Figure 5.8: Trend of exports and imports as percentage of GDP
Figure 5.9: Trend of foreign exchange reserves and exchange rate
Figure 5.10: Trend of debt as percentage of GDP
Figure 5.11: Trend of gross government debt position of Thailand
Figure 5.12: Mixed prospects of debts in Thailand

Chapter 6 Business Risk of Thailand
Figure 6.1: Trend of R&D expenditure in Thailand

List of Tables

Chapter 2. Country Snapshot / Overview
Table 2.1: Demographic and political overview

Chapter 4. Political and Social Risk Analysis of Thailand
Table 4.1: Homicide rate of Thailand
Table 4.2: GINI index of Thailand
Table 4.3: Corruption perception index

Chapter 6. Business Risk of Thailand
Table 5.1: Economic factors impacting business
Table 6.1: FDI limits by industry
Table 6.2: Indicators for starting business
Table 6.3: Ranking in 2011 for procedures of starting a business
Table 6.4: Credit rating of countries by Moody, Fitch, and S&P
Table 6.5: Business risk factors and its impact
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