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Country Report Bahrain

  • ID: 2101498
  • Country Profile
  • September 2020
  • Region: Bahrain
  • 25 Pages
  • The Economist Intelligence Unit
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The Economist Intelligence Unit expects the Al Khalifa family to remain in power in 2020-24, owing to a tight and effective security environment and a weakened opposition. However, as the economy worsens, social unrest will intensify, with mass protests likely.

Bahrain will depend heavily on larger Gulf economies (particularly Saudi Arabia) for financial support during the economic shock and aftershock of the coronavirus (Covid-19) pandemic. Bahrain's foreign policy will therefore closely track that of Saudi Arabia.

In 2020 we expect the budget deficit to balloon as oil income-a pillar of the fiscal revenue base-plummets and coronavirus-related spending rises. However, this will be followed by a refocusing on fiscal austerity in 2022-24, gradually narrowing the deficit.
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Country Report Bahrain

Briefing sheet
Political and economic outlook
Key changes since July 23rd
The month ahead
Major risks to our forecast

Outlook for 2020-24: Political stability

Outlook for 2020-24: Election watch

Outlook for 2020-24: International relations

Outlook for 2020-24: Policy trends

Outlook for 2020-24: Fiscal policy

Outlook for 2020-24: Monetary policy

Outlook for 2020-24: International assumptions

Outlook for 2020-24: Economic growth

Outlook for 2020-24: Inflation

Outlook for 2020-24: Exchange rates

Outlook for 2020-24: External sector

Outlook for 2020-24: Forecast summary

Data and charts: Annual data and forecast

Data and charts: Quarterly data

Data and charts: Monthly data

Data and charts: Annual trends charts

Data and charts: Monthly trends charts

Data and charts: Comparative economic indicators

Basic data
Land area
Main towns
Weather in Manama (altitude 5 metres)
Fiscal year
Public holidays

Political structure
Official name
Form of state
Legal system
National elections
Head of state
Main political parties
The government
Key ministers
Head of the Royal Court
Central bank governor
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