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Country Forecast United Arab Emirates Updater

  • ID: 2123765
  • Country Profile
  • Region: United Arab Emirates
  • 15 Pages
  • The Economist Intelligence Unit
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There will be little threat to domestic political stability in the UAE during the forecast period (2019-23), although regional tensions will remain elevated and a source of concern. Power will remain concentrated within the ruling families, who will resolve disputes internally and ensure that any succession passes smoothly. The authorities will clamp down on challenges to the political status quo or criticism of their allies, especially from Islamist quarters.

Popular demand for democracy will remain minimal as generous benefits and job opportunities are maintained for nationals, although the paring-back of subsidies and implementation of new taxes following the oil price slump will be maintained. The wealth gap between Abu Dhabi, Dubai and the northern emirates is a concern, but the authorities are increasing social support for them.

Relations with Iran will remain tense. The UAE, together with Saudi Arabia, Bahrain and Egypt, will continue to boycott Qatar, which the "quartet" accuses of supporting Islamists and being too close to Iran. The UAE will retain its military presence in Yemen, as prospects of peace are slim, despite international negotiation efforts.
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Country Forecast United Arab Emirates Updater

Country forecast overview: Highlights

Country forecast overview: Key indicators

Country forecast overview: Business environment rankings

Country forecast overview: United Arab Emirates' business environment at a glance
Policy towards private enterprise and competition
Policy towards foreign investment
Foreign trade and exchange controls
The labour market
Technological readiness

Fact sheet

Outlook for 2019-23: Political stability

Outlook for 2019-23: Election watch

Outlook for 2019-23: International relations

Outlook for 2019-23: Policy trends

Outlook for 2019-23: Fiscal policy

Outlook for 2019-23: Monetary policy

Outlook for 2019-23: Economic growth

Outlook for 2019-23: Inflation

Outlook for 2019-23: Exchange rates

Outlook for 2019-23: External sector

Data summary: Global outlook

Data summary: Gross domestic product, current market prices

Data summary: Gross domestic product, at constant prices

Data summary: Gross domestic product by sector of origin

Data summary: Growth and productivity

Data summary: Economic structure, income and market size

Data summary: Fiscal indicators

Data summary: Monetary indicators

Data summary: Employment, wages and prices

Data summary: Current account and terms of trade

Data summary: Foreign direct investment

Data summary: External debt

Data sources and definitions
Global data
Domestic data
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