It is becoming increasingly important for environmental toxicologists and chemists to be able to forecast the fate and effects of chemicals by using existing information to predict the future.
Providing a unique and timely opportunity for active researchers and students to obtain in a single volume the ′state of the art′ in this expanding field, this text discusses how forecasts can be made by:
∗ using ecotoxicological endpoints at different levels of biological organisation
∗ measuring and modelling chemical fate in biotic and abiotic environments
∗ adopting difference quantitative frameworks
Written by an international team of scientists, this text will be essential reading for postgraduate and advance undergraduate students studying ecotoxicology, toxicology, chemistry and environmental statistics aswell as industrial and academic research scientists in environmental toxicology, environmental chemistry and those involved in risk management.
Introduction (M. Crane, et al.).
Limits to Forecasting in Environmental Toxicology and Chemistry (M. Crane).
Uncertainty in Toxicological Predictions: The Bayesian Approach to Statistics (A. O′Hagan).
Improving Inferential Strength of Exposure and Effect Forecasting: Working Outside the Box (M. Newman & M. Roberts).
Linking Pollutant Transport, Environmental Forecasting and Risk Assessment: Case Studies from the Geosphere (S. Pollard & R. Duarte–Davidson).
The EU–TGD for New and Existing Substances: Does it Predict Risk? (T. Jager & J. de Bruijn).
Can a Substance–Specific Chemical Approach Forecast the Toxicity of Effluents? (M. Tonkes).
Forecasting the Environmental Effects of Zinc, the Metal of Benign Neglect in Soil Ecotoxicology (S. Hopkin & D. Spurgeon).
Forecasting in an Uncertain World: Managing Risks or Risky Management? (D. Santillo, et al.).
Modelling of Toxicity to the Ciliate Tetrahymena pyriformis: The Aliphatic Carbonyl Domain (M. Cronin, et al.).
Application of a Transgenic Stress–Inducible Nematode to Soil Biomonitoring (R. Power & D. de Pomerai).
Can Animal Behaviour Predict Population Level Effects? (E. Baatrup, et al.).
Forecasting Effects of Toxicants at the Community Level: Four Case Studies
Comparing Observed Community Effects of Zinc with Forecasts from a Generic
Ecotoxicological Risk Assessment Method (L. Posthuma, et al.).
Prediction of Sediment Quality in the Dutch Coastal Zone: Model Validation and Uncertainty Analysis for Cd, Cu, Pb, Zn, PCBs and PAHs (H. Sonneveldt & R. Laane).
Biomonitoring of Spatial and Temporal Patterns of Trace Metal Bioavailabilities in Tolo Harbour, Hong Kong, Using Barnacles and Mussels (G. Blackmore & P. Rainbow).