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Forecasting Financial Markets. Exchange Rates, Interest Rates and Asset Management. Edition No. 1. Financial Economics and Quantitative Analysis Series

  • ID: 2210688
  • Book
  • August 1996
  • 324 Pages
  • John Wiley and Sons Ltd
Today s financial markets are characterised by a large number ofparticipants, with different appetites for risk, different timehorizons, different motivations and reactions to unexpected news.The mathematical techniques and models used in the forecasting offinancial markets have therefore grown ever more sophisticated astraders, analysts and investors seek to gain an edge on theircompetitors. Written by leading international researchers andpractitioners, this book focuses on three major themes of today sstate of the art financial research: modelling with high frequencydata, the information content of volatility markets, andapplications of neural networks and genetic algorithms to financialtime series. Forecasting Financial Markets includes empiricalapplications to present the very latest thinking on these complextechniques, including:

High frequency exchange rates

Intraday volatility

Autocorrelation and variance ratio tests

Conditional volatility

GARCH processes

Chaotic systems

Nonlinearity

Stochastic and EXPAR models

Artificial neural networks

Genetic algorithms
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Partial table of contents:

MODELLING WITH HIGH FREQUENCY DATA.

Forecasting Foreign Exchange Rates Subject to De-Volatilization (B.Zhou).

Dynamic Strategies: A Correlation Study (E. Acar & P.Lequeux).

THE INFORMATIONAL CONTENT OF VOLATILITY MARKETS.

Using Option Prices to Estimate Realignment Probabilities in theEuropean Monetary System (A. Malz).

Efficiency Test with Overlapping Data: An Application to theCurrency Options Market (C. Dunis & A. Keller).

APPLICATIONS OF NEURAL NETWORKS AND GENETIC ALGORITHMS.

The Use of Error Feedback Terms in Neural Network Modelling ofFinancial Time Series ( A. Burgess & A. Refenes).

An Evolutionary Algorithm for Portfolio Selection within a DownsideFramework ( A. Loraschi & A. Tettamanzi).

Index.
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Christian L. Dunis Chemical Bank, London.
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