Praise for The Commercial Real Estate Tsunami
"A clear and concise analysis of the current commercial real estate crisis." –Bill Hoffman, CEO, Trigild Incorporated
"The book offers a wealth of critical views, engaging reportage, and hard–hitting data from leading professionals at the front lines. [Wood includes] timely advice, perspectives, and pragmatic techniques for coping with and capitalizing on this massive debt dislocation." –David J. Lynn, PhD, Managing Director, ING Clarion Partners
"The Commercial Real Estate Tsunami should have a lasting place on any commercial real estate professional′s bookshelf." –Michael Gottlieb, Editor, California Real Estate Journal
"Those directly engaged in commercial property markets on any level will find many practical suggestions in this book to cope with these dire future events." –Anthony Downs, Senior Fellow, Metropolitan Policy Department, Brookings Institution, author of Real Estate and the Financial Crisis
"What makes this book stand out is that it is more than just a warning of a challenging market, but an invaluable road map that offers specific strategies to guide brokers, clients, and others through this crisis." –Doug Frye, President and CEO, Colliers International
An in–depth look at why a commercial real estate collapse is inevitable–and how to survive it
The Commercial Real Estate Tsunami is the first book to address the phenomenon of the pending wave of commercial debt maturities coming in the next five years, and the impact those maturities will have on the commercial real estate markets when combined with the historic economic crisis the world is experiencing at this time.
Drawing on the knowledge of recognized experts in the commercial real estate industry and financial markets, this vital guide not only explores the causes of this crisis, but offers concrete solutions and ways to mitigate the hazards that lie ahead.
Introduction: A Tsunami Warning: Between Fear and Desperation.
Part I Phases of the Tsunami.
Chapter 1 Phase One: Initiation (2005 2007).
Observing a Wave of Crisis.
A View from Higher Ground Charles A. Mac McClure, President CCIM Institute.
Chapter 2 Phase Two: Amplification (2007 2008).
Setting the Stage for Drawdown.
Learning to Stay Afloat – Cynthia Shelton, 2009 President of the Florida. Association of Realtors.
PART II Showing up on Radar.
Chapter 3 Phase Three: Drawdown (2009).
Watching the Water Recede.
Major Metro Market Data Surveys from CoStar Realty Information, Inc.
Chapter 4 Phase Four: The Run–Up (2010 2013).
Recognizing the Potential Havoc in the Market.
Excerpts from Congressional Testimony.
Chapter 5 Bailing Out a Sea of Debt Sam Chandan PhD FRICS.
Commercial Real Estate Mortgage Markets and Policy Interventions.
The CMBS Market.
The Case of Peter Cooper Village and Stuyvesant Town.
The Next Year.
Part III Mitigation of Risks and Hazards: Survival Guide For Lenders, Owners, Buyers, & Commercial Real Estate Brokers.
Chapter 6 Lenders Prepare for Impact.
When the Wave Hits.
Survival Skills Eric Von Berg, Newmark Realty Capital, Inc.
Motivations of the Special Servicer.
Commercial Loan Workouts from the Lender′s Perspective – Maura O′Connor, Seyfarth Shaw LLP.
Chapter 7 Owners and Borrowers Learn to Swim with the Sharks.
Pride of Ownership and Property Management Responsibilities.
Loan Workouts and Loan Modifications.
Commercial Loan Workouts from the Borrower′s Perspective – Maura O′Connor, Seyfarth Shaw LLP.
Chapter 8 Buyers Beware of Hidden Debris.
Buyers in the Tsunami Marketplace.
Be a Smart Buyer Do Your Homework First.
Cash is King.
Hair on the Deal The Importance of Due Diligence.
Chapter 9 Commercial Real Estate Brokers Charting a New Course in a Paradigm Shift Marketplace.
Perspective and Strategy for Brokerage Firms and Brokers: A Coach s View – Tom Loeswick, Shirlaws.
The First Step.
Chapter 10 How to Ride a Tsunami Wave with Expertise.
Chapter 11 A Life Preserver for Your Family Therapeutic Strategies for Family Survival in a Tough Economy – Donna Wood, MA, MFT.
Open the Lines of Communication.
Work as a Team.
Be Truthful about Finances.
Shift your Perspective.
Open Yourself to the Idea of Change.
Define Success in the Context of Life.
Nurture the Whole Person.
Conclusion From Despondency to Optimism.
About the Author.