Energy Budgets At Risk (EBaR)®
An innovative approach to energy–efficiency investment and energy purchase decisions
Energy Budgets at Risk (EBaR)® introduces a new energy management framework that reduces energy costs and energy–efficiency investment risk by applying risk management tools developed in the financial industry.
EBaR quantitatively determines energy–efficiency investment risk and provides energy risk management investment strategies that reduce costs while meeting budget flexibility and risk tolerance requirements of individual organizations. By providing energy budget savings greater than investment costs, EBaR investments result in increased cash flows creating the same financial bottom line impact as an increase in revenues. In fact, EBaR strategies can save 30% or more of current energy bills even after paying for energy–efficiency investments.
Written for a nontechnical audience, Energy Budgets at Risk (EBar)® shows all those on the frontline who are responsible for electric, natural gas, and fuel oil budgets in commercial, industrial, government, and institutional buildings and other facilities how to develop and apply a comprehensive, consistent financial risk management framework to evaluate energy budget risk; how to make the most of alternative energy–efficiency investments; and how to integrate efficiency investment decisions with purchase decisions. An opportunity to meet environmental goals through energy–efficiency investments that reduce energy use, EBaR analysis should be a cornerstone of every organization′s carbon–reducing efforts.
Chapter 1. Energy Markets and Budgets at Risk.
Recent Price Increases.
Applying Risk Management to Energy Budgets.
Energy Budgets At Risk Workshops.
An Overview of Energy Budgets at risk (EBaR).
A Look Back At Energy Prices.
A Look Forward: Energy Demand And Supply Factors.
Energy Price Forecasts.
Going Green The Critical Role Of Efficiency Investments.
EBaR as A Policy Option.
Chapter 2. Facilities Efficiency Options.
Facility Energy Management.
Calculating Cost And Savings.
Chapter 3. The Nature Of Energy Costs And Prices.
Energy Price Overview.
Electric Costs And Rates.
Deregulated Electric Markets.
Incentives To Reduce Energy Use.
Financing Energy Efficiency Investments.
Chapter 4. Capital Budgeting: Theory and Practice.
NPV and IRR Analysis.
Real Options – When Procrastination Pays.
Capital Budgeting in Practice.
Chapter 5. Energy Facility Risk Management Foundations.
Capital Budgeting and Risk Management.
A Brief History Of Financial Risk Analysis (Var).
Applying a Var Approach to Energy Facility Risk Management.
Chapter 6. EBaR Concepts and Results.
Energy Budgets At Risk (Ebar) Overview.
Ebar Management Presentations.
Chapter 7. Beginning Empirical EBaR Analysis: Risk and Probability Distributions.
Probability Distribution Fundamentals.
Extracting Information From Probability Distributions.
Applying Distributions With Monte Carlo Analysis.
Chapter 8. EBaR Implementation – Developing Quantitative Relationships.
EBaR Analysis Steps.
Budget Variable Identification.
Budget Variable Analysis.
Chapter 9. EBaR Budget Analysis (EBaRBudget).
Monte Carlo analysis Framework.
Evaluations and Assessment.
Chapter 10. EBaR Energy Efficiency Investment (EBaRIRR).
Solving the Efficiency Investment Problem.
Case Study Efficiency Investment Options.
Representing Investment Analysis Uncertainty.
Case Study Efficiency Investment Analysis Results.
Risk Tolerance And Decision Rules.
Chapter 11. Energy Budgets at Risk in Competitive Markets.
Competitive Energy Suppliers.
Pricing/Efficiency Misconceptions in Competitive Markets.
EBaR Simultaneous Pricing and Efficiency Investment Choice.
Chapter 12. EBaR Reports.
EBaR Budget and Investment Analysis: Austin Office Building, January 20, 2008.
Executive Summary: Office Building, January 20, 2008.
Additional Report Information.