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Yes, You Can Time the Market!

  • ID: 2326401
  • Book
  • May 2003
  • 208 Pages
  • John Wiley and Sons Ltd
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Praise for Yes, You Can Time the Market!

"‘Buy and hold’ makes sense for the average investor in stocks. Even better, say Stein and DeMuth, is to buy only when prices are low and hold when prices are high, keeping accumulating savings in Treasuries while waiting for ‘low’ prices. They define ‘low’ and ‘high’ prices by historical experience. An interesting and thoughtful analysis."
Professor Milton Friedman
University of Chicago, Hoover Center
Nobel Prize Winner in Economics, 1976

"Wall Street, prepare yourself. Ben and Phil hit the nail on the head with their insightful guide to investing. No gimmicks, no games, just tapping the true power of economics to make sensible investment decisions. Add to that the authors’ dry wit, and this handbook is a must–read for investors small and large."
Diane C. Swonk
Director of Economics, Chief Economist
Senior Vice President, Bank One Corporation

" The logic and reasoning are persuasive. Stein and DeMuth buttress them with evidence, lots of it. The term ‘valuable’ properly applies to the guidance of the conclusions."
C. Lowell Harriss
Professor Emeritus of Economics
Columbia University

"How refreshing to read commonsense advice about the stock market! Stein and DeMuth’s findings are both verifiable and free of quantitative trickery. What’s more, their writing is as clear and straightforward as the methods they recommend."
Martin Fridson
author, It Was a Very Good Year:
Extraordinary Moments in Stock Market History

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Chapter One
The Impossibility of Market Timing 1

Chapter Two
The Power of Price 9

Chapter Three
The Price/Earnings Ratio 29

Chapter Four
Dividend Yields and Market Timing 51

Chapter Five
Fundamental Value 69

Chapter Six
Bonds, Price–to–Cash Flow, Price–to–Sales 87

Chapter Seven
Combining Factors for Superior Returns 103

Chapter Eight
Using Market Timing 135

Chapter Nine
Looking Forward: A Note of Caution 165

Appendix 179

Bibliography 183

Index 187

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Ben Stein
Phil DeMuth
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