"‘Buy and hold’ makes sense for the average investor in stocks. Even better, say Stein and DeMuth, is to buy only when prices are low and hold when prices are high, keeping accumulating savings in Treasuries while waiting for ‘low’ prices. They define ‘low’ and ‘high’ prices by historical experience. An interesting and thoughtful analysis."
Professor Milton Friedman
University of Chicago, Hoover Center
Nobel Prize Winner in Economics, 1976
"Wall Street, prepare yourself. Ben and Phil hit the nail on the head with their insightful guide to investing. No gimmicks, no games, just tapping the true power of economics to make sensible investment decisions. Add to that the authors’ dry wit, and this handbook is a must–read for investors small and large."
Diane C. Swonk
Director of Economics, Chief Economist
Senior Vice President, Bank One Corporation
" The logic and reasoning are persuasive. Stein and DeMuth buttress them with evidence, lots of it. The term ‘valuable’ properly applies to the guidance of the conclusions."
C. Lowell Harriss
Professor Emeritus of Economics
"How refreshing to read commonsense advice about the stock market! Stein and DeMuth’s findings are both verifiable and free of quantitative trickery. What’s more, their writing is as clear and straightforward as the methods they recommend."
author, It Was a Very Good Year:
Extraordinary Moments in Stock Market History
Chapter OneThe Impossibility of Market Timing 1
Chapter TwoThe Power of Price 9
Chapter ThreeThe Price/Earnings Ratio 29
Chapter FourDividend Yields and Market Timing 51
Chapter FiveFundamental Value 69
Chapter SixBonds, Price–to–Cash Flow, Price–to–Sales 87
Chapter SevenCombining Factors for Superior Returns 103
Chapter EightUsing Market Timing 135
Chapter NineLooking Forward: A Note of Caution 165
Stein may be known for the droll sense of humor he exhibits on his Comedy Central show, Win Ben Stein′s Money, but it is hardly evident in this straightforward investment guide. Writing with coauthor DeMuth, an investment adviser, the former Nixon speechwriter counters the "conventional wisdom" that investors cannot time (or predict) their investment decisions to maximize profits. The authors cite a number of technical factors – e.g., Tobin′s Q, price/earnings, dividend yield, price to cash flow, and price to sale – to show that careful study of these metrics demonstrates that some times are better than others for going into the market or buying a particular stock. They also show that protestations to the contrary, the "street" frequently times the market. Eighty tables and graphs are used to buttress their case. Stein′s popularity and the use of his face on the book′s cover may draw readers beyond the usual investment crowd, though some may find this joke–free treatment a bit too technical. Still, it is a competently written, well–argued case for a sensible investment approach and is quite suitable for academic and larger public libraries. Patrick J. Brunet, Western Wisconsin Technology Coll., La Crosse. (Library Journal, May 1, 2003)
"...it′s readable, coherent, sensible, good–natured..." (Barron′s, May 26, 2003)