Present-day stratigraphic forward modelling follows two principle lines: 1) the deterministic process-based approach, ideally with resolution of the fundamental equations of fluid and sediment motion at all scales, and 2) the stochastic approach. The process-based approach leads to improved understanding of the dynamics (physics) of the system, increasing our predictive power of how systems evolve under various forcing conditions unless the system is highly non-linear and hence difficult or perhaps even impossible to predict. The stochastic approach is more direct, relatively simple, and useful for study of more complicated or less-well understood systems. Process-based models, more than stochastic ones, are directly limited by the diversity of temporal and spatial scales and the very incomplete knowledge of how processes operate and interact on the various scales.
The papers included in this book demonstrate how cross-fertilization between traditional field studies and analogue and numerical forward modelling expands our understanding of Earth-surface systems.
Numerical simulation of the syn- to post-depositional history of a prograding carbonate platform: the Rosengarten, Middle Triassic, Dolomites, Italy (Axel Emmerich, Robert Tscherny, Thilo Bechstädt, Carsten Büker, Ullrich A. Glasmacher, Ralf Littke and Rainer Zühlke).
Fine-scale forward modelling of a Devonian patch reef, Canning Basin, Western Australia (Claude-Alain Hasler, Erwin W. Adams, Rachel A. Wood and Tony Dickson).
Structural, reverse-basin and forward stratigraphic modelling of the Southern Cantabrian Basin, northwest Spain (Zbynek Veselovský, Thilo Bechstädt and Rainer Zühlke).
Numerical modelling of alluvial deposits: recent developments (John Bridge).
Process-based stochastic modelling: meandering channelized reservoirs (Simon Lopez, Isabelle Cojan, Jacques Rivoirard and Alain Galli).
Simulation of tidal flow and circulation patterns in the Early Miocene (Upper Marine Molasse) of the Alpine foreland basin (Ulrich Bieg, Michael Peter Süss and Joachim Kuhlemann).
Predicting discharge and sediment flux of the Po River, Italy since the Last Glacial Maximum (Albert J. Kettner and James P.M. Syvitski).
Impact of discharge, sediment flux and sea-level change on stratigraphic architecture of river–delta–shelf systems (George Postma and Aart Peter van den Berg van Saparoea).
Grain-size sorting of river–shelf–slope sediments during glacial–interglacial cycles: modelling grain-size distribution and interconnectedness of coarse-grained bodies (Xander D. Meijer0.
Modelling the preservation of sedimentary deposits on passive continental margins during glacial–interglacial cycles (Xander D. Meijer, George Postma, Peter A. Burrough and Poppe L. de Boer).
Modelling source-rock distribution and quality variations: the organic facies modelling approach (Ute Mann and Janine Zweigel).
Spatial data templates: combining simple models of physical processes with stochastic noise to yield stable, archetypal landforms (Peter A. Burrough).
Models that talk back (John C. Tipper).