Is there any truth to this idea? Or is this just scaremongering by Western commentators who have little interest in a balanced presentation of China's role in the global political economy?
In this short book Peter Nolan – one of the leading international experts on China and the global economy – probes behind the media rhetoric and shows that the idea that China is buying the world is a myth. Since the 1970s the global business revolution has resulted in an unprecedented degree of industrial concentration. Giant firms from high income countries with leading technologies and brands have greatly increased their investments in developing countries, with China at the forefront. Multinational companies account for over two–thirds of China's high technology output and over ninety percent of its high technology exports. Global firms are deep inside the Chinese business system and are pressing China hard to be permitted to increase their presence without restraints.
By contrast, Chinese firms have a negligible presence in the high–income countries – in other words, we are inside them' but they are not yet inside us'. China's 70–odd national champion' firms are protected by the government through state ownership and other support measures. They are in industries such as banking, metals, mining, oil, power, construction, transport, and telecommunications, which tend to make use of high technology products rather than produce these products themselves. Their growth has been based on the rapidly growing home market. China has been unsuccessful so far in its efforts to nurture a group of globally competitive firms with leading global technologies and brands. Whether it will be successful in the future is an open question.
This balanced analysis replaces rhetoric with evidence and argument. It provides a much–needed perspective on current debates about China's growing power and it will contribute to a constructive dialogue between China and the West.
1 Who are We? Who are They? 11
2 Who are We? 15
2.1 Globalization and industrial concentration 15
2.2 Evidence from automobiles and beverages 25
2.3 Globalization and 'going out' by global firms 38
3 Who are They? 55
3.1 China catches up 55
3.2 China is still far from 'catching up' 66
3.3 China's deepening relationship with developing countries 70
3.4 Oil companies and energy security 75
3.5 Multinational companies 'going in' to China 84
3.6 Chinese fi rms 'going out' of China into the high–income economies: 'I have you within me but you do not have me within you' 95
3.7 Constraints on China 'buying the world' 102
4 The Complexity of 'Us' and 'Them': The Case of Strategic Industries 110
4.1 Banks 110
4.2 Commercial aircraft 119
Is China buying the world? 132
Who are we? 133
Who are they? 136
The complexity of catching up 142