Lessons from the Financial Crisis is an essential and comprehensive resource for market participants, researchers, regulators, academics and governments worldwide.
Containing both academic analysis and practical insights from renowned researchers and leading authorities such as John Hull and Stuart Turnbull, all aspects of the crisis which has defined a generation are rigorously examined.
The ongoing credit crisis is perhaps the biggest economic calamity we have experienced since the 1930s, and has dramatically and fundamentally changed the financial, economic and social landscape of the world.
Immediate reactions to the crisis lay in the identification, treatment and management of its symptoms with some strong medicine. However, like in most chronic illnesses, the suppression of symptoms may not cure the illness but rather shift it elsewhere. This book will provide the reader with analysis on the roots of the credit crisis for understanding what went wrong and what will help avoid repeating this in the future.
The book's six sections focus on:
- The Roots of the Crisis
- The Impact on the Markets
- Risk Management and Regulation
- Quantitative Modelling
- Market Efficiency and Stability
- Lessons for Investors
“This book has an extraordinary range of well organized chapters from highly distinguished financial academics and practitioners. Given the poor historical record of learning “lessons” from financial crises, this book provides an invaluable opportunity to gain multiple important perspectives from people in a position to share substantial wisdom that should not be missed.”
Bennett W. Golub, Chief Risk Officer, BlackRock, Inc.
"This very useful book makes two important contributions. First, it will deepen the reader's understanding of how problems in certain derivatives markets contributed to the crisis. Second, it will inform the reader about how practitioners are now adapting their analysis tools to address pricing and risk measurement issues that were highlighted by the crisis. This volume is made even more useful and satisfying by being didactic while avoiding polemics."
Barry Schachter, Founder, GloriaMundi
"An extensive, rigorous book about the financial crisis, written by a star cast of quants. This collection of research articles digs deep into the origins of the crisis, and provides an analytical road map for a better financial system."
Sanjiv R. Das, Professor of Finance, Santa Clara University
"This book has an extraordinary range of well organized chapters from highly distinguished financial academics and practitioners. Given the poor historical record of learning from financial crises, this book provides an invaluable opportunity to gain multiple important perspectives from people in a position to share substantial wisdom that should not be missed."
Bennett W. Golub, Chief Risk Officer, BlackRock, Inc.
"A by-quants, for-quants reflection on the financial crisis. Eschewing a monolithic 'big story' interpretation of the crisis, this book explores the multiple causes and consequences of the crisis. Most importantly, it extracts lessons for model-building, risk management and regulation."
Michael Gordy, Risk Magazine Quant of the Year 2004
Arthur M. Berd
Arthur M. Berd
The Roots of the Crisis
1. The Credit Crunch of 2007: What Went Wrong? Why? What Lessons Can be Learned?
John C. Hull [University of Toronto]
2. Underwriting versus Economy: A New Approach to Decomposing Mortgage Losses
Ashish Das, Roger M. Stein [Moody's Research Labs]
3. Credit Expansion, Leverage and the Shadow Banking System
Paul McCulley [PIMCO]
4. The Collapse of the Icelandic Banking System
David Lando, Rene Kallestrup [Copenhagen Business School]
5. The Quant Crunch Experience and the Future of Quantitative Investing
Robert Litterman [GSAM, retired]
The Impact on the Markets
6. The Impact of the Crisis on the OTC Derivatives Markets
Jeff Rosenberg [Bank of America Merrill Lynch]
7. The Re-Emergence of Distressed Exchanges in Corporate Restructurings
Edward I. Altman, Brenda Karlin [NYU]
Risk Management and Regulation
8. Modeling Systemic and Sovereign Risks
Dale F. Gray, Andreas A. Jobst [IMF]
9. Measuring and Managing Risk in Innovative Financial Instruments
Stuart M. Turnbull [University of Houston]
10. Forecasting Extreme Risk of Equity Portfolios with Fundamental Factors
Vladislav Dubikovsky, Michael Y. Hayes, Lisa R. Goldberg, Ming Liu [MSCI Barra]
11. Limits of Implied Credit Correlation Metrics Before and During the Crisis
Damiano Brigo [King's College], Andrea Pallavicini [Banca Leonardo], Roberto Torre-setti [QCM]
12. Another View on the Pricing of MBS, CMOs, CDOs of ABS
Jean-David Fermanian [CREST-ENSAE]
13. Pricing of Credit Derivatives with or without Counterparty and Collateral Adjustments
Alexander Lipton, David Shelton [Bank of America Merrill Lynch]
14. A Practical Guide to Monte Carlo CVA
Alexander Sokol [CompatibL]
Market Efficiency and (In)Stability
15. The Endogenous Dynamics of Markets: Price Impact, Feedback Loops and Instabilities
Jean-Philippe Bouchaud [CFM]
16. Market Panics: Correlation Dynamics, Dispersion, and Tails
Lisa Borland [Evnine and Assoc.]
17. Financial Complexity and Systemic Stability in Trading Markets
Matteo Marsili, Kartik Anand [ICTP]
18. The Martingale Theory of Bubbles: Implication for the Valuation of Derivatives and Detecting Bubbles
Robert A. Jarrow, Philip Protter [Cornell University]
Lessons for Investors
19. Managing through a Crisis: Practical Insights and Lessons Learned for Quantitatively Managed Equity Portfolios
Peter J. Zangari [GSAM]
20. Active Risk Management: a Credit Investor's Perspective
Vineer Bhansali [PIMCO]
21. Investment Strategy Returns: Volatility, Asymmetry, Fat Tails and the Nature of Alpha
Arthur M. Berd [CFM]
Arthur M. Berd is the Head of Macro Volatility Strategies at Capital Fund Management (CFM), a hedge fund specializing in systematic investment management, headquartered in Paris. He is a well known industry expert in credit modeling, quantitative investment strategies, and portfolio and risk management.
Prior to joining CFM, Arthur was the Head of Quantitative Market Strategies at BlueMountain Capital Management, a leading credit hedge fund in New York. Prior to that, he was a Senior Vice President at Lehman Brothers where he was responsible for a variety of quantitative credit models and strategies across corporate bonds and credit derivatives, and was instrumental in portfolio and risk advisory activities for the Firm's largest clients. Before joining Lehman Brothers in 2001, he was a Vice President at Goldman Sachs Asset Management, focusing on risk management and quantitative portfolio analysis.
Arthur holds a Ph.D. in physics from Stanford University. He is an author of more than 30 publications in refereed journals and industry publications, and a frequently invited speaker at major industry conferences. He is a member of the editorial board of the Journal of Credit Risk, and the coordinator of the quantitative finance (q-fin) section in www.arXiv.org, a global electronic research repository.