- Extensive exploration of what it means to 'shape our futures' rather than having our future shaped for us
- Valuable techniques for understanding futures and creating different scenarios
- Practical applications are illustrated through examples and real life experience
List of figures, table and case studies
About the authors
Chapter 1: What are scenarios?
The future is not linear
What is the value of scenarios?
The future impacting on libraries
What is the future and does science fiction predict the future?
An initial view of the Internet
Change of attitudes toward the future
Development of scenarios as a discipline
Chapter 2: The complexities of our informational environment
What is the environment?
Libraries and their environments
Broad disruptive technological impact on libraries
Issues in the wider environment
Open source implications
Digital content implications
The author-publisher-library relationship
The future of work
Implications for the future of work
Chapter 3: The future and the past: models are changing
The mirror as a powerful tool
Library models in transition
Consortia in our corporate lives
Changing roles of and pressures on consortia
What are we doing, or what is our business model?
Future business models
Chapter 4: Understanding choices
What are choices?
Beginning to construct scenarios through choices
Keeping options open
Chapter 5: Toward a new way of thinking
How to organise for decisions
Is it all straightforward?
Research as a group
Chapter 6: Designing your process
Not every process is the same
Scenario construction beginnings
The suggested process
Chapter 7: Scenarios and implementation
Preferred Library Scenario
Keeping the scenario alive
The staff in the implementation of the Preferred Scenario
Chapter 8: Choice, chance and (less than) certainty
Chance and randomness
Adoption of risk
Issue 1: abundance of data
Issue 2: search engine capability
Issue 3: avoid group thinking
Issue 4: learn to take risks
Issue 5: continue to build a trust metric for the library
Issue 6: so what is your future?
Chapter 9: Case studies
Case study 1: A major Hong Kong university library
Case study 2: A major Australian university library
Case study 3: CAVAL Ltd, Melbourne, Australia
Case study 4: SOLINET scenarios
Case study 5: Public library
Case study 6: The possible world of library consortia
Chapter 10: Implementation and the impact of change
Change, demolition and reconstruction
The human side of change
Getting involved and involvement
Following through and embedding the change
Change and scenario planning
Sidorko, PeterPeter Sidorko is the Deputy University Librarian at the University of Hong Kong. He has extensive senior management experience in academic libraries in Australia and Hong Kong. In addition to initiating, directing and managing change, from incremental to transformational, in the libraries in which he has worked, Peter has also provided consultancies on organisational change for other libraries. He has written extensively, and speaks regularly, on management issues in libraries with particular emphasis on organisational change. Peter also lectures on topics such as organisational change, contemporary library management, information in organisations and information policy in the information science courses taught at the University of Hong Kong.