Commercial Sub-orbital and LEO Spaceflight Services Market Assessment

  • ID: 3629077
  • Report
  • 63 pages
  • Frost & Sullivan
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Fast-Growing Small-Satellite Industry Demanding Dedicated Segment of Launch Services

FEATURED COMPANIES

  • ARCA Space Corporation
  • CubeCab
  • Iranian Space Agency
  • Open Space Orbital
  • Reaction Engines
  • SpaceLS
  • MORE
This study covers the commercial spaceflight market that provides dedicated small-satellite launch services to small-satellite operators. The forecast data includes small-satellite, low Earth orbit (LEO) payload and revenue forecasts accounting for the price reduction due to growing competition and discussions on the fast-growing earth-observation domain. Key industry participants involved in developing LEO launch capabilities are profiled for an overview of the existing and emerging competition in this domain. Stakeholders interested in learning about multiple LEO launch capabilities under development and the market sizing for launch services for small satellites will benefit from this market insight.

Key Findings:

- Over small satellites are expected to be launched in the 2015-2023 timeline.
- About tons of small-satellite payloads are expected to be placed in low Earth orbit (LEO) in the 2014-2023 timeline.
- With multiple commercial spaceflight providers entering the small-satellite launch segment, the cumulative market size for small-satellite LEO launches for the 2014-2023 timeline will be $ billion, accounting for the reducing launch prices.
- With the current efforts targeting $ per kilogram of small-satellite payload, the price is expected to decline further. In the cubesat domain, the commercial launch providers are aiming at a target of $ per kilogram in the coming years.
- Scheduled operations covering multiple, multi-manifested operations will remain the key to long-term success in this growing spaceflight domain.
- Owing to increasing demand, participants who used to be resellers of launch services are looking to buy big rockets and schedule dedicated small-satellite launches in the 2017-2019 timeline.
- The small-satellite LEO launch revenue will be $ million in 2015 and will grow up to $ million in 2023, with the peak value being $ million in 2019. The 2019-2022 timeline will see multiple small-satellite constellations entering their replacement phase, resulting in a demand spike.

Space Launch Scene: Sub-orbital Launches

Overview
- The sub-orbital launch services segment is yet to gain a comprehensive operational format. The suborbital launch technologies are under development, in the testing and evaluation phase.
- At least operators are actively pursuing multiple sub-orbital launch capabilities. The focus is largely on air-launched systems as they stand as promising candidates for reduced operational costs by skipping the expensive booster stage.
- While sub-orbital launch services are currently focused on supporting microgravity experiments, they are also aimed at potential space tourism services that will take civilians on sub-orbital manned flights. The development is largely focused on the unmanned sub-orbital flight capabilities and reusable launch vehicles.
- While some operators are aiming to establish scheduled operation by 2016, the others are aiming at the 2017-2018 timeline.

Space Tourism Aspirations
- While the sub-orbital launch capability developers are aspiring for commercial spaceline operations, they are currently developing and/or testing their respective capabilities.
- Owing to high testing and evaluation costs, these operators/developers are looking to establish a selfsustainable business model, where one segment of the model will feed investment in the other that will cover space tourism operations.
- With this aim, the developers are hoping to meet the growing demand for small-satellite launch capabilities and re-invest revenues from that stream in their space tourism operations.
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FEATURED COMPANIES

  • ARCA Space Corporation
  • CubeCab
  • Iranian Space Agency
  • Open Space Orbital
  • Reaction Engines
  • SpaceLS
  • MORE
1. Commercial Sub-orbital and LEO Spaceflight Services Market Assessment
  • Executive Summary
  • Key Findings
2. Market Overview
  • Space Launch Scene: LEO Launches
  • Space Launch Scene: Sub-orbital Launches
  • Space Tourism: Orbital to Sub-orbital Revenue Flow
3. Demand from Small-satellite Industry
  • Small-satellite Launch Forecast
  • Small-satellite LEO Launch Payload Forecast
  • Small-sat Launch Revenue Forecast: Rideshare Services
  • Small-sat Launch Revenue Forecast: Rideshare and Dedicated Launch Services
  • Small-satellite Industry Growth Assessment
  • LEO Launch Revenue Forecast Discussion
4. Key Industry Efforts
  • Small-satellite Launch Capability Development
  • Small-satellite Launch Operations
  • Small-satellite Launch Capability Developers: Air
  • Small-satellite Launch Capability Developers: Land
  • Small-satellite Launch Capability Developers: Land
5. Key Industry Participants
  • Ventions LLC
  • CubeCab
  • XCOR Aerospace
  • Generation Orbit Launch Services Inc.
  • Celestia Aerospace
  • Boeing (Airborne Launch Assist Space Access)
  • Swiss Space Systems
  • Virgin Galactic
  • Orbital ATK
  • ZERO2INFINITY (BLOOSTAR)
  • Stofiel Aerospace
  • Tranquility Aerospace
  • Lin Industrial
  • Bagaveev Corporation
  • Garvey Spacecraft Corporation
  • Interorbital Systems
  • Open Space Orbital
  • Iranian Space Agency
  • Rocket Lab
  • Reaction Engines
  • SpaceLS
  • Payload Aerospace
  • Scorpius Space Launch Company
  • Comisión Nacional de Actividades Espaciales
  • RocketStar Inc.
  • Departamento de Ciência e Tecnologia Aeroespacial
  • Firefly Space Systems
  • ARCA Space Corporation
  • Mishaal Aerospace
6. Strategic Recommendations
  • Key Pointers for Commercial Spaceflight Companies
  • Legal Disclaimer
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- ARCA Space Corporation
- Bagaveev Corporation
- Boeing (Airborne Launch Assist Space Access)
- Celestia Aerospace
- Comisión Nacional de Actividades Espaciales
- CubeCab
- Departamento de Ciência e Tecnologia Aeroespacial
- Firefly Space Systems
- Garvey Spacecraft Corporation
- Generation Orbit Launch Services Inc.
- Interorbital Systems
- Iranian Space Agency
- Lin Industrial
- Mishaal Aerospace
- Open Space Orbital
- Orbital ATK
- Payload Aerospace
- Reaction Engines
- Rocket Lab
- RocketStar Inc.
- Scorpius Space Launch Company
- SpaceLS
- Stofiel Aerospace
- Swiss Space Systems
- Tranquility Aerospace
- Ventions LLC
- Virgin Galactic
- XCOR Aerospace
- ZERO2INFINITY (BLOOSTAR)

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