UCAV- Market Outlook, Demand Drivers and Advanced Weapon Technologies

  • ID: 3641954
  • Report
  • 44 pages
  • Strategic Defence Intelligence
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FEATURED COMPANIES

  • AAI Corporation
  • ADS Inc.
  • AeroVironment Inc.
  • BAE Systems
  • General Atomics
  • Hankuk Carbon
  • MORE
Unmanned Combat Aerial Vehicles (UCAV) will acquire greater market share and receive higher funding than manned fighter jets over the next five years. Supported by the ability to operate in high risk and complex target environments, and their intelligence gathering and reconnaissance capabilities, demand for UCAVs will increase over the next five years in spite of anticipated defense budget cuts. Demand for next-generation precision-guided weapons and low cost autonomous attack systems, along with advanced weapons technologies such as low power jamming systems and micro-munitions, will be high over the next five years. Geographically, investment on UCAVs will be higher in North America and Asia-Pacific, resulting in significant demand opportunities in the US and China during the next five years.

According to survey results, 60% of defense industry executives expect unmanned combat aerial vehicles (UCAVs) to attain greater share within the defense industry as compared to manned fighter jets over the next five years. In addition, 37% of survey respondents do not anticipate UCAVs to occupy a major share in comparison to manned fighter jets during the next five years. The expectations of a greater share are attributed to growing use of UCAVs in countering internal and external threats such as terrorism, insurgency and drug trafficking, and the need for network centric warfare capabilities, higher precision and less causality.

In total, 64%, 59%, and 52% of survey respondents from small, large, and medium-sized companies, respectively, anticipate UCAVs to reach major share within the defense industry as compared to manned fighter jets during the next five years. However, 48%, 41%, and 33% of executives from medium-sized, large and small companies, respectively, do not expect UCAVs to occupy significant share within the defense industry.

The report “UCAV- Market Outlook, Demand Drivers and Advanced Weapon Technologies” is the result of an extensive survey drawn from industry executives. These respondents are drawn from an exclusive industry panel covering business professionals worldwide. These business communities are made up of highly engaged, qualified professionals who rely on our flagship media brands in their respective markets.

The research source in this report is based on the surveyed opinions and expectations of 126 global defense industry executives surveyed in February 2016. Moreover, this survey focus on examining UCAV share outlook as compared to manned fighter jets for the next five years, UCAV types with significant investment outlook, and Key factors responsible for growing UCAV prominence. In addition, the report highlights UCAV demand projections in light of defense budget cuts, major challenges expected for UCAV sector over the next five years and provides information about significant advanced weapons technologies to be used in UCAVs over the next five years.

Companies mentioned in this report: Abu Dhabi Autonomous Systems Investments Co. LLC., AAI Corporation, General Atomics, BAE Systems, Northrop Grumman Systems Corporation, Israel Aerospace Industries Ltd., Hankuk Carbon, General Atomics Aeronautical Systems, Inc., AeroVironment, Inc., ADS, Inc.
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FEATURED COMPANIES

  • AAI Corporation
  • ADS Inc.
  • AeroVironment Inc.
  • BAE Systems
  • General Atomics
  • Hankuk Carbon
  • MORE
1 Introduction
1.1. Definitions and abbreviations
1.2. Methodology and sample size
1.3. Respondent profile
2 UCAV Vs. Manned fighter Jets: Market Share Outlook and Funding Projections
2.1. Anticipated change in UCAV share during the next five years as compared to manned fighter jets
2.1.1. The majority of respondents anticipate UCAVs to attain a major share within the defense industry as compared to manned fighter jets in the next five years
2.1.2. Regardless of business size classification, UCAVs are expected to acquire a significant share within the defense industry over the next five years
2.2. UCAV share outlook for the next five years
2.2.1. On average, UCAVs are expected to acquire a 13.5% share among aerial combat vehicles over the next two years
2.2.2. Over one-third of executives with business operations in Europe anticipate the market share of UCAV to range between 10-14.99% during the next two years
2.2.3. The highest percentage of executives from large companies expect UCAVs to acquire a 5-9.99% stake among aerial combat vehicles over the next two years
2.3. Projected change in funding for UCAVs as compared to manned fighters over the next five years
2.3.1. The majority of respondents anticipate an increase in funding for UCAVs as compared to manned fighters during the next five years
2.3.2. Regardless of company size classification, the highest percentage of executives expect a rise in funding towards UCAVs as compared to manned fighters
3 Investment Outlook, Key Growth Drivers, and Major Challenges: UCAV
3.1. UCAV types expected to attract largest amount of investment over the next five years
3.1.1. Armed Intelligence, Surveillance and Reconnaissance (ISR) UCAVs will attract the largest amount of investment during the next five years
3.1.2. The majority of executives who operate in North America expect the largest amount of investment on armed ISR UCAVs over the next five years
3.1.3. Medium-sized companies anticipate more investment on tactical UCAVs over the next five years as compared to small companies
3.2. Major growth drivers for UCAV
3.2.1. The ability to operate in high-risk and complex target environments and intelligence gathering and reconnaissance capabilities are driving the significance of UCAVs
3.2.2. 67% of executives with business operations in the Rest of the World indicate intelligence gathering and reconnaissance as the top demand driver for UCAVs
3.2.3. High endurance with long-range or extended loitering capabilities is highlighted as a more prominent growth boosting factor by large companies as compared to medium-sized companies
3.3. Projected change in demand for UCAV over the next five years amidst expected defense budget cuts
3.3.1. Overall, 60% of executives foresee an increase of more than 10% in demand for UCAVs during the next five years
3.3.2. Two-thirds of executives from medium-sized companies anticipate the demand for UCAVs to surge by 5-14.99% over the next five years
3.4. Major barriers expected for UCAV sector over the next five years
3.4.1. 48% of executives expect the inability to deal with ambiguity in the same way as manned aircraft to emerge as the top challenge for the UCAV sector over the next five years
3.4.2. Over one-third of executives who operate in Europe and Asia-Pacific view the huge demand of bandwidth for data transfer as a major potential obstacle for the UCAV sector
3.4.3. The inability to deal with ambiguity in the same way as manned aircraft is rated as a bigger future concern by large companies compared to small companies
4 Weapons Demand Projections and Technological Innovation Areas: UCAV
4.1. Demand projections for weapons carried by UCAV
4.1.1. Demand for next-generation precision-guided weapons and low cost autonomous attack systems will increase significantly over the next five years
4.1.2. The majority of executives with business operations in North America foresee a sizeable demand for low cost autonomous attack systems in the next five years
4.1.3. Demand for next-generation precision-guided weapons is indicated more by large companies rather than small companies
4.2. Significant advanced weapons technologies to be used in UCAVs over the next five years
4.2.1. Low power jamming systems used in UCAVs will record very high or high demand during the next five years
4.2.2. Executives who operate in North America and Europe expect significant increases in demand for low jamming power systems and micro-munitions over the next five years
4.2.3. Regardless of business size classification, respondents anticipate a high increase in demand for low power jamming systems during the next five years
4.3. Areas for technological advancement for future UCAV growth
4.3.1. Technological advancements in command, control and communication and life cycle cost will drive UCAVs growth
4.3.2. 59% of respondents operating in Europe and Asia-Pacific expect technological upgrades in mission specific payloads to lead UCAVs forward
4.3.3. Over three-quarters of executives from large and medium-sized companies anticipate technological development in command, control and communication to boost UCAVs growth
5 Regional Investment Expectations, and Prominent Markets: UCAV
5.1. Regional investment forecast for the UCAV industry over the next five years
5.1.1. Investment allocation towards the UCAV industry will be highest in the North American region as compared to other regions over the next five years
5.1.2. Over three-quarters of respondents operating in the Asia-Pacific foresee significant investment inflow towards the UCAV industry in their region during the next five years
5.1.3. Investment allocation towards the North American UCAV industry is indicated more by medium-sized companies as compared to large and small companies
5.2. Key potential markets for UCAVs over the next five years
5.2.1. Demand for UCAVs will be very high or high in the US, China, and the UK over the next five years
5.2.2. Regardless of region, the majority of executives expect the US to record significant demand for UCAVs during the next five years
5.2.3. Demand prospects for UCAVs in the next five years in the UK are highlighted more by medium-sized companies as compared to small and large companies
6 Appendix
6.1. About
6.2. Disclaimer

List of Figures

Figure 1: Profile of Respondents - By Company Type and Turnover
Figure 2: Profile of Respondents - By Designation and Region
Figure 3: UCAV share outlook as compared to manned fighter jets for the next five years - Overall and region
Figure 4: UCAV share outlook as compared to manned fighter jets for the next five years - Company type
Figure 5: Anticipated change in UCAV share during the next five years - Overall
Figure 6: Anticipated change in UCAV share during the next five years - Region
Figure 7: Anticipated change in UCAV share during the next five years - Company type
Figure 8: Funding projections for UCAVs as compared to manned fighters in the next five years - Overall and region
Figure 9: Funding projections for UCAVs as compared to manned fighters in the next five years - Company type
Figure 10: UCAV types with significant investment outlook - Overall
Figure 11: UCAV types with significant investment outlook - Top four responses by region
Figure 12: UCAV types with significant investment outlook - Top four responses by company type
Figure 13: Key factors responsible for growing UCAV prominence - Overall
Figure 14: Key factors responsible for growing UCAV prominence - Top four responses by region
Figure 15: Key factors responsible for growing UCAV prominence - Top four responses by company type
Figure 16: Projected change in demand for UCAV over the next five years amidst expected defense budget cuts - Overall and region
Figure 17: Projected change in demand for UCAV over the next five years amidst expected defense budget cuts - Company type
Figure 18: Major challenges expected for UCAV sector over the next five years - Overall
Figure 19: Major challenges expected for UCAV sector over the next five years - Top four responses by region
Figure 20: Major challenges expected for UCAV sector over the next five years - Top four responses by company type
Figure 21: Weapon types with prominent demand prospects and carried by UCAV - Overall
Figure 22: Weapon types with prominent demand prospects and carried by UCAV - Top four responses by region
Figure 23: Weapon types with prominent demand prospects and carried by UCAV - Top four responses by company type
Figure 24: Projected change in demand for UCAVs advanced weapons technologies over the next five years - Overall
Figure 25: Projected change in demand for UCAVs advanced weapons technologies over the next five years - Top four responses by region
Figure 26: Projected change in demand for UCAVs advanced weapons technologies over the next five years - Top four responses by company type
Figure 27: Technological innovation areas influencing UCAV growth - Overall
Figure 28: Technological innovation areas influencing UCAV growth - Top four responses by region
Figure 29: Technological innovation areas influencing UCAV growth - Top four responses by company type
Figure 30: New or emerging areas of UCAV applications in military
Figure 31: Region wise investment outlook for UCAV industry during the next five years - Overall
Figure 32: Region wise investment outlook for UCAV industry during the next five years - Region
Figure 33: Region wise investment outlook for UCAV industry during the next five years - Company type
Figure 34: Prominent markets for UCAV over the next five years - Overall
Figure 35: Prominent markets for UCAV over the next five years - Top five responses by region
Figure 36: Prominent markets for UCAV over the next five years - Top five responses by company type
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- AAI Corporation
- ADS Inc.
- Abu Dhabi Autonomous Systems Investments Co. LLC.
- AeroVironment Inc.
- BAE Systems
- General Atomics
- General Atomics Aeronautical Systems Inc.
- Hankuk Carbon
- Israel Aerospace Industries Ltd.
- Northrop Grumman Systems Corporation
Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown
5 of 4
Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown
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