2016 Global Outlook of the Oil and Gas Industry

  • ID: 3643161
  • Report
  • Region: Global
  • 60 Pages
  • Frost & Sullivan
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Massive Cuts in Upstream Capex Investment Create Challenges, but Opportunities are Ripe for Those with Funds to Invest
The decline in the oil price has had a massive impact on the sector and the wider economy. Upstream capital expenditures (capex) have been significantly cut, with many exploration and production projects being put on hold. However, for the midstream and downstream, investment is continuing, as participants invest for the longer term. The decline in the oil price is causing hardships for some exploration companies, but will create opportunities for those with the financial resources to acquire value assets that become available. On the equipment side, all suppliers are under pressure to reduce costs; the oilfield service companies that enjoyed high margins in the recent boom are particularly impacted.

Predictions for 2016:

1. Oil Prices to Stay Below $X in 2016: This report agrees with the general consensus that prices will gradually recover, but will stay below $X per barrel in 2016.

2. Time of Opportunity: The low oil price provides an excellent opportunity for oil companies and private equity firms with capital to invest in either projects or assets.

3. Global Oil Production to be Stable: Increases in Iraq and Iran will be offset by declines in North America.

4. Global Operational Rig Count to Decline by X%: The majority of rigs are used for natural gas, hence the limited impact on oil production. However, the efficiency of operational rigs for both oil and gas continues to increase.

5. Greater Focus on Transportation Costs: As a percentage, transportation costs have increased and the impact is significant for rail and trucks.

6. Increasing Competition in the Gas Market: With the United States shipping liquid natural gas (LNG) to Europe, the balance of power is shifting to consumers of natural gas.

7. Refinery Margins to Stay Strong: In particular, margins in Asia will hold up. The United States will some modest declines, but a recovery is forecast for the end of the year.

8. Downstream Investment Remains Strong: Long-term demand and strategic expectations mean that storage and refinery investment will continue to be strong.
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1. Executive Summary
  • Key Predictions for 2016
  • Key 2016 Oil and Gas Industry Predictions Explained
  • Regional Trends 2016
  • Oil and Gas in Numbers
  • Associated Research and Multimedia on Oil and Gas
2. Research Scope and Segmentation

3. 2016 Oil and Gas Industry Outlook
  • Key 2016 Oil and Gas Industry Predictions
  • Key Dynamics Impacting the Oil Price in 2016
  • Winners and Losers 2016
  • Increasing versus Decreasing Oil Prices
  • Oilfield Services
4. Upstream Outlook
  • Key 2016 Upstream Market Predictions
  • Capex Forecasts
  • Oil Production Forecasts
  • Oil Production Costs versus Budget Break-even
  • Unconventional Oil Production
  • The Oil and Gas Production Conundrum
  • Rig Production Forecasts
  • Unconventional Gas Production
5. Midstream Outlook
  • Key 2016 Midstream Market Predications
  • Oil Transportation Costs
  • Transportation - Shipping
  • LNG Investment
  • Coal-fired Generation - Coal Price Trends
6. Downstream Outlook
  • Key 2016 Downstream Market Predications
  • Oil Refining
  • Refinery Capacity Construction - Asia, Middle East, and Africa
  • Oil Storage
  • Gas Storage
7. Regional Outlook
  • Africa - Key Trends for 2016
  • South America - Key Trends for 2016
  • North America - Key Trends for 2016
  • Europe - Key Trends for 2016
  • Russia and CIS - Key Trends for 2016
  • The Middle East - Key Trends for 2016
  • APAC - Key Trends for 2016
  • China - Key Trends for 2016
8. Key Conclusions
  • Legal Disclaimer
9. Appendix
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