Mega Trends in Russia

  • ID: 3672806
  • Report
  • Region: Russia
  • 120 Pages
  • Frost & Sullivan
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Russia's Growth Story Post the Ruble-Oil Crisis
20 years after the fall of the Soviet Union, Russia remains burdened with economic, social, and political crises. The recent ruble-oil crisis further weakened the economy. By examining the key Mega Trends in Russia, along with other factors that will impact and shape the country’s economy, this presentation discusses how the economic, political, and social environment of the country will change in the coming years. Further, the study provides insights on future demographic trends, growing levels of foreign investment, infrastructure development, growing digital trends, and mobile connectivity, from Russia's perspective.

Key Findings

- By 2025, every Russian will possess connected devices. Russia will have the highest Internet penetration among the CIS and the BRICS nations.

- Russia’s Internet Economy (as measured by total ICT spending) will reach $X billion in 2025 and account for X% of the country’s GDP.

- Over the next decade, Russia will see the transformation from SMS banking to mobile banking. The mobile banking segment will reach $X billion in 2025 and account for X% of the mobile payment turnover.

- By 2020, Russia will launch civilian satellites. Its space industry has the potential to reach $X billion by 2020.

- Online retail in Russia will reach $X billion in 2025 and account for X% of the total retail sales.

- Gen Y in Russia constitutes one-fourth of the total population. It comprises the working-age group of X to X-year olds and will account for about X% of the total population by 2025.

- Russia’s ageing population (above 65 years) will account for X% of the total population by 2025. The ageing population will boost the healthcare, leisure, and insurance industries.

- The Middle Bulge will include million middle-class individuals who will account for X% of Russia’s total population in 2025.

- Russia will enter long-term stagnation with its economy returning to 2013-2014 peak levels post 2020.

- Over the next X years, China will become the key strategic partner in Russia’s diversification of oil and gas supplies, import substitution, and Far East development projects.

- By 2025, Moscow will be the only Mega City in Russia; it will account for X% of the national population.

- In 2016-2020, Russia will spend more than $X billion on infrastructure; approximately $X billion will be invested in high-speed rails until 2030.

- At $X billion in 2016-2020, roads is Russia’s largest infrastructure investment; an annual average investment of $X billion will be made on building highways through 2030.

- The private healthcare services market will grow by X% and reach $X billion in 2019.

- By 2020, the Russian pharmaceutical market will register substantial growth as X% of all the drugs sold in the country will be produced locally.

- By 2020, major smart city projects will lead to the creation of more than X thousand jobs and will create a sustainable economy and a high quality of life

- By 2020, the Kazan Smart City Project will lead to the creation of X thousand jobs, resulting in a sustainable economy and a X-% reduction in carbon emission.

- Energy consumption in Russia will reach MTOE by 2025 and natural gas will account for X% of the total consumption. The industry sector will account for X% of the total consumption by 2025.

- The share of the energy sector in terms of GDP will diminish to X% in 2025 from X% in 2010.

- Reduction of energy intensity by X% and greenhouse gas emissions by X million tonnes of CO2 are some of the core targets of Russia’s energy policy 2020.

- By 2030, gas production will reach X billion cubic metres and oil production will reach X million tonnes.

- Russia’s power sector is expected to generate X billion KWH by 2030.

- Investments in Russia’s power sector will increase from $X billion in 2015 to $X billion in 2030.

- Major Russian oil and gas participants expect oil prices to fall in the range of $X - $X/bbl by 2018.
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1. Executive Summary
  • Key Findings
  • Digital Diffusion in Russia
  • Internet Economy in Russia
  • Online Retail Landscape in Russia
  • GenY Population in Russia
  • Ageing Russia
  • Russia’s Economic Prospects
  • Russia - Focus on China
  • Urbanisation in Russia - Mega Cities and Mega Regions
  • Future Infrastructure Development Trends - Infrastructure Spending
  • Future Infrastructure Development Trends - Private Investments
  • Health, Wellness, and Well-being - Healthcare Trends
  • Health, Wellness, and Well-beingPrivate Healthcare Services Market
  • Smart City Projects in Russia
  • Energy Mix in Russia
  • Energy Efficiency in Russia - Targets of the Energy Policy 2020
  • Taxi Hailing in Russia
2. Research Scope, Objective, and Methodology
  • Research Scope
  • Research Aims and Objectives
  • Research Background
  • Research Methodology - From Macro to Micro
  • Definitions Used in the Study
3. Mega Trend 1 - Connectivity and Convergence
  • Digital Diffusion in Russia
  • Internet Economy in Russia
  • Russian Digital Game Market
  • Mobile Payment Revolution in Russia
  • Space Jam
4. Mega Trend 2 - Bricks and Clicks
  • Online Retail Landscape in Russia
  • Russia’s Online Retail Audience
  • China’s Presence in Russia’s eCommerce
  • Trends in Russian Online Shopping Preferences
5. Mega Trend 3 - Social Trends
  • Social Trends in Russia
  • Demographic Trends in Russia
  • GenY Population in Russia
  • Ageing Russia
  • Social Trends - Women Empowerment
  • Social Trends - Income Pyramid
6. Mega Trend 4 - Economic Trends
  • Russia’s Economic Prospects
  • Russia in Global Trade
  • Russia’s FDI Prospects
  • Future of the Ruble
  • Russia - Focus on China
  • Russia’s Import Substitution Policy
  • Russia’s Big Bets in Innovation
7. Mega Trend 5 - Urbanisation Trends
  • Urbanisation in Russia - Mega Cities and Mega Regions
  • Mega City Moscow - Investment Strategy 2025
  • Case Study - Moscow
  • Transport Corridors in Russia
8. Mega Trend 6 - Future Infrastructure Development Trends
  • Future Infrastructure Development Trends - Infrastructure Spending
  • Future Infrastructure Development Trends - Private Investments
  • Future Infrastructure Development Trends - Future High-speed Rail
  • Future Infrastructure Development Trends - Expansion of Aviation
  • Future Infrastructure Development Trends - Expansion of
  • Future Infrastructure Development Trends - Expansion of Seaports
  • Future Infrastructure Development Trends - Development of Crimea
  • Future Infrastructure Development Trends - Development of the Far East and Baikal Regions
  • Future Infrastructure Development Trends - Development of the North Caucasian Region
9. Mega Trend 7 - Health, Wellness, and Wellbeing
  • Health, Wellness, and Well-being - Healthcare Trends
  • Health, Wellness, and Well-being - Public Spending on Healthcare
  • Health, Wellness, and Well-being - Private Healthcare Services Market
  • Health, Wellness, and Well-being - Public-Private Partnerships
  • Health, Wellness, and Well-being - Pharmaceutical Market
  • Health, Wellness, and Well-being - EEU Pharmaceutical Market.
  • Health, Wellness, and Well-being - Medical Technologies Market
  • Health, Wellness, and Well-being - Medical Clusters
  • Health, Wellness, and Well-being - Healthcare IT
10. Mega Trend 8 - Smart Cities
  • Smart City Projects in Russia
  • Case StudyKazan Smart City
  • Moscow City Smart Initiatives
11. Mega Trend 9 - Energy and Resources
  • Energy Mix in Russia
  • Fuel Economy of Russia
  • Energy Efficiency in Russia - Targets of the Energy Policy 2020
  • Russia's Energy Trade
  • Oil and Gas Sector - Development Strategy 2030
  • Oil and Gas Sector - Production and Investment
  • Power Sector of Russia - Expected to Generate 2237 Billion KWH by 2030
  • Investment in Russia’s Power Sector
  • Oil Price Volatility in Russia
12. Mega Trend 10 - Future of Mobility
  • Russian Urban Mobility Landscape
  • Taxi Hailing in Russia
  • Ridesharing is Dominated by CarpoolWorld and BlaBlaCar
  • Urban Mobility in Russia
13. Future of Russia - In Summary
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