South Asia Smart Grid: Market Forecast (2016-2026)

  • ID: 3829331
  • Report
  • Region: Asia
  • 67 Pages
  • Northeast Group, LLC
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The South Asian region is poised for a decade of strong, continuous economic growth. However, South Asian countries’ power sectors face a diversity of challenges that could limit overall economic growth potential. These countries’ utilities must invest in new sources of generation as well as transmission and distribution (T&D) infrastructure to ensure reliability, but many utilities are financially unsustainable. Smart grid and advanced metering (both prepaid and AMI) infrastructure will be critical for utilities to ensure revenue protection in the region with the highest T&D losses in the world, while simultaneously allowing utilities to address generation and reliability issues. Advanced metering plans are now already in place and by 2026, 79% of all meters in South Asia (excluding India) will be either AMI or non-communicating prepaid meters.

At the same time, smart grid in South Asia faces many challenges, and actual deployments to-date have been limited. Most notably, per-capita electricity consumption (excluding India) is the lowest in the world. In per-capita consumption terms, the cost of advanced meters may be prohibitively high in some areas. Additionally, political and security risk concerns may limit large-scale investments. Multilateral funding is helping to address these concerns, providing financing and improving confidence that projects will be carried out. Once projects begin, South Asia’s current low installed base of advanced meters means that there will be rapid growth opportunities throughout the next decade. 

Key questions answered in this study:

- How large will the electricity metering and smart grid markets in South Asia be over the next ten years?
- Which countries and utilities have large-scale prepaid metering plans and electrification goals?
- Who is receiving funding for smart grid from multilateral lending agencies and how will this affect the market?
- Where are the largest opportunities for commercial and industrial meters?
- Who are the leading vendors and which ones are well placed to compete for this growing market?
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i. Executive summary      
ii. Methodology

1. Introduction  

2. South Asia smart grid snapshot 
2.1 Regional comparison     
2.2 Market drivers      
2.3 Market barriers

3. Market forecast

4. Pakistan
4.1 Utilities in Pakistan
4.2 Pakistan drivers and barriers
4.3 Metering activity in Pakistan
4.4 Pakistan metering and smart grid market forecasts

5. Sri Lanka
5.1 Utilities in Sri Lanka
5.2 Sri Lanka drivers and barriers
5.3 Metering activity in Sri Lanka
5.4 Sri Lanka metering and smart grid market forecasts

6. Bangladesh
6.1 Utilities in Bangladesh
6.2 Bangladesh drivers and barriers
6.3 Metering activity in Bangladesh
6.4 Bangladesh metering and smart grid market forecasts

7. Nepal
7.1 Utilities in Nepal
7.2 Nepal drivers and barriers
7.3 Metering activity in Nepal
7.4 Nepal metering and smart grid market forecasts

8. Other countries

9. Vendors

10. Appendix
10.1 Companies covered in this report
10.2 List of abbreviations and acronyms

List of Figures, Boxes, and Tables
South Asia smart grid: Key takeaways
Key metering and smart grid drivers and barriers in South Asia
Metering market forecast by segment in South Asia
Metering market forecast by South Asian country
Smart grid market forecast by segment in South Asia
Smart grid market forecast by South Asian country
Figure 1.1: Smart grid value chain
Table 1.1: Metering segments
Table 1.2: Benefits of AMI in South Asia
Figure 2.1: Electricity consumption by region
Figure 2.2: GDP growth by region (2016 - 2020)
Figure 2.3: Smart meter potential in South Asia
Figure 2.4: Main regional drivers
Figure 2.5: GDP growth rates (2016 - 2020)
Figure 2.6: T&D loss rates in South Asia
Table 2.1: Examples of external funding for smart grid in South Asia
Figure 2.7: Electricity consumption per capita
Figure 2.13: Corruption Perceptions Index scores in South Asia
Figure 3.1: Penetration rate by meter market segment in South Asia
Table 3.1: Average meter costs by segment
Figure 3.2: Metering market forecast by segment in South Asia
Figure 3.3: Metering market forecast by country in South Asia
Table 3.2: Meter forecast data by segment
Table 3.3: Meter forecast data by country
Figure 3.4: Value of future metering shipments in South Asia
Table 3.4: Value data of future metering shipments in South Asia
Figure 3.2: Smart grid market forecast by segment in South Asia
Figure 3.3: Smart grid market forecast by country in South Asia
Table 3.2: Smart grid forecast data by segment
Table 3.3: Smart grid forecast data by country
Table 4.1: Pakistan key stats
Table 4.2: Leading utilities in Pakistan
Figure 4.1: Customer growth and T&D loss rates in Pakistan
Figure 4.2: Collection rates at select utilities in Pakistan
Figure 4.3: Delayed power projects in Pakistan
Table 4.3: Planned renewable energy projects in Pakistan
Table 4.4: Smart grid projects in Pakistan
Figure 4.4: Metering market forecast by segment in Pakistan
Table 4.5: Pakistan meter forecast data
Figure 4.5: Smart grid market forecast by segment in Pakistan
Table 4.6: Pakistan smart grid forecast data
Table 5.1: Sri Lanka key stats
Table 5.2: Leading utilities in Sri Lanka
Figure 5.1: Revenue by market segment ($M)
Figure 5.2: Electricity prices in Sri Lanka
Figure 5.3: Electricity indicators in Sri Lanka
Figure 5.4: Metering market forecast by segment in Sri Lanka
Table 5.3: Sri Lanka meter forecast data
Figure 5.5: Smart grid market forecast by segment in Sri Lanka
Table 5.4: Sri Lanka smart grid forecast data
Table 6.1: Bangladesh key stats
Table 6.2: Leading utilities in Bangladesh 
Figure 6.1: Generation capacity in Bangladesh (MW)
Figure 6.2: Rural and urban electricity customers in Bangladesh
Table 6.3: Prepaid meter deployment in Bangladesh
Figure 6.3: Metering market forecast by segment in Bangladesh
Table 6.4: Bangladesh meter forecast data
Figure 6.4: Smart grid market forecast by segment in Bangladesh
Table 6.5: Bangladesh smart grid forecast data
Table 7.1: Nepal key stats
Table 7.2: Leading utilities in Nepal
Figure 7.1: Electricity supply in Nepal
Figure 7.2: Customer and sales growth at NEA
Figure 7.3: Metering market forecast by segment in Nepal
Table 7.3: Nepal meter forecast data
Figure 7.4: Smart grid market forecast by segment in Nepal
Table 7.4: Nepal smart grid forecast data
Figure 8.1: Other countries in South Asia
Table 9.1: Leading international and local vendors in South Asia
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