The Chinese market will be dominated by domestic vendors but there are select opportunities for international vendors in certain smart grid market segments.
China will invest more in smart grid infrastructure than any other country over the next ten years. But, contrary to many reports, it is not already the largest smart grid market and in cumulative value will likely continue to trail the US throughout the next ten years. This is because most of the existing investment in China does not fall into the category of true “smart grid” infrastructure with two-way communications. Of the future investment, just more than one third will realistically be open to international vendors. Viewed through this lens, the market opportunity in China’s smart grid is significantly more limited than the figures stated by many reports.
But there are still many opportunities for international vendors and the smart grid market conditions in China are strong. There is risk involved in the AMI segment due to low T&D losses, low percapita electricity consumption, and a soon-to-be completed AMR rollout. But government policies are now pushing for large-scale investment in grid segments such as wide area measurement and distribution automation. These are also the segments where international vendors are most competitive due to long-standing relationships in the country and capacity to carry out these capital-intensive projects. This study of smart grid market opportunities in China therefore shows that while many China smart grid forecasts are exaggerated, the country still represents one of the largest smart grid opportunities in the world and current policies are only pointing towards further growth.
Key questions answered in this study:
- Which smart grid market segments will be open to international vendors?
- How large will the electricity metering and smart grid markets in China be over the next ten years?
- What is the most recent smart grid policy in China and who will benefit from it?
- Who are the leading vendors and which ones are well placed to compete for this growing market?
1. China power sector industry structure
2. Smart grid policy
3. Smart grid activity
3.1 Metering activity
3.2 Grid activity
3.3 Additional smart grid activity
4.1 International vendors
4.2 Chinese vendors
5.1 List of companies covered in this study
5.2 List of acronyms and abbreviations
List of Figures, Boxes, and Tables
China smart grid: Key insights
Cumulative smart grid investment from 2016 - 2030
Cumulative smart grid investment by 2020
Annual investment in 2015
$20 billion of smart grid investment in 2015?
Value added by segment (smart grid plus all metering), 2016 - 2026
Smart grid market forecast by segment in China
Smart grid forecast data by segment
Metering market forecast by segment in China
Meter forecast data by segment
Table 1.1: Power generation groups
Table 1.2: T&D utilities in China
Table 1.3: T&D statistics in China
Table 1.4: Electricity tariffs in Beijing
Table 2.1: Key smart grid related policies
Box 2.1: Nine aspects of smart grid that China’s Ministry of Science and
Technology is promoting in 12th Five-year Specialized Plan
Table 3.1: Annual AMR procurement at SGCC
Figure 3.1: Annual meter deployments in China by type
Table 4.1: Leading international and local vendors in China
Info boxes for Wasion, Sanxing, Linyang, and Hexing