Latin America Telecoms Market: Interim Forecast Update 2016-2021

  • ID: 4109836
  • Report
  • Region: America, America (exc North), Latin America
  • 23 pages
  • Analysys Mason Group
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"We expect low revenue growth in Latin America as macroeconomic conditions there improve in comparison with the last couple of years, but economic uncertainty looms, particularly over Mexico."

Fixed and mobile data will be the main sources of revenue growth in Latin America (LATAM) as next-generation access (NGA) coverage increases and 4G take-up accelerates. Mobile virtual network operators (MVNOs) will have an impact primarily at the low end of the market as mobile network operators (MNOs) leverage their financial position to provide better mobile data services. However, the future of the region hinges on the potential extent of isolationist trade policies proposed by the new US president Donald Trump.

This report and associated data annex provide:

  •     an interim update of our 5-year forecast (Latin America telecoms market: trends and forecasts 2016-2021, published in September 2016) of more than 175 mobile and fixed KPIs for LATAM as a whole and for six key countries
  •     an explanation of the significant changes in this edition, compared with our previous forecasts.

Revisions to our previous forecasts occurred mainly for the following reasons:

  •     market developments – based on recent market events and latest reported operator and regulator data (3Q 2016)
  •     changes to the competitive and regulatory environment
  •     changes to the macroeconomic outlook and exchange rates used to derive revenue in constant US dollars
  •     changes to historical data because of newly available information

Key performance indicators

Connections

Mobile

  • Handset, mobile broadband, IoT
  • Prepaid, contract
  • 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G
  • Smartphone,
  • non-smartphone

Fixed

  • Voice, broadband, IPTV, dial-up
  • Narrowband voice, VoBB
  • DSL, FTTP/B, cable, BFWA, other

Fixed and mobile voice traffic

  • Outgoing minutes, MoU

Revenue

Mobile

  • Service, retail
  • Prepaid, contract
  • Handset, mobile broadband, IoT
  • Handset voice, messaging, data

Fixed

  • Service, retail
  • Voice, broadband, IPTV, dial-up, BNS
  • DSL, FTTP/B, cable, BFWA, other

Mobile ARPU

  • SIMs, handset
  • Prepaid, contract
  • Handset voice, data

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Countries modelled individually

  • Argentina
  • Brazil
  • Chile
  • Colombia
  • Mexico
  • Peru

Countries not modelled individually, but modelled as part of the region as a whole

  • Anguilla
  • Antigua and Barbuda
  • Netherlands Antilles
  • Aruba
  • Bahamas
  • Barbados
  • Belize
  • Bermuda
  • Bolivia
  • Cayman Islands
  • Costa Rica
  • Cuba
  • Dominica
  • Dominican Republic
  • Ecuador
  • El Salvador
  • French Guiana
  • Grenada
  • Guadeloupe
  • Guatemala
  • Guyana
  • Haiti
  • Honduras
  • Jamaica
  • Martinique
  • Monsterrat
  • Nicaragua
  • Panama
  • Paraguay
  • Puerto Rico
  • St Kitts and Nevis
  • St Lucia
  • St Vincent and the Grenadines
  • Suriname
  • Trinidad and Tobago
  • Turks and Caicos Islands
  • Uruguay
  • Venezuela
  • British Virgin Islands
  • US Virgin Islands
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