Sub-Saharan Africa Telecoms Market: Interim Forecast Update 2016-2021

  • ID: 4109840
  • Report
  • Region: Africa, Sub-Saharan Africa
  • 23 pages
  • Analysys Mason Group
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Mobile Services Will Account for 86.2% of the Telecoms Service Revenue in Sub-Saharan Africa in 2021

Sub-Saharan Africa's (SSA's) telecoms service market will be worth USD54.1 billion in 2021, up from USD45.5 billion in 2016. Retail revenue will account for 92.7% of this (USD50.2 billion), while wholesale revenue will account for the remaining share of telecoms service revenue.

This report and associated data annex provide:

  • an interim update of our 5-year forecast (Sub-Saharan Africa telecoms market: trends and forecasts 2016-2021, published in October 2016) of more than 175 mobile and fixed KPIs for SSA as a whole and for 11 key countries
  • an explanation of the significant changes in this edition, compared with our previous forecasts.
  • Revisions to our previous forecasts occurred mainly for the following reasons:
  • market developments - based on recent market events and latest reported operator and regulator data (2Q 2016)
  • changes to the competitive and regulatory environment
  • changes to the macroeconomic outlook and exchange rates used to derive revenue in constant US dollars
  • changes to historical data because of newly available information.

Key performance indicators:

Connections

Mobile

  •     Handset, mobile broadband, IoT
  •     Prepaid, contract
  •     2G, 3G, 4G, 5G
  •     Smartphone, non-smartphone

Fixed

  •     Voice, broadband, IPTV, dial-up
  •     Narrowband voice, VoBB
  •     DSL, FTTP/B, cable, BFWA, other

Fixed and mobile voice traffic

  •     Outgoing minutes, MoU

Revenue

Mobile

  •     Service, retail
  •     Prepaid, contract
  •     Handset, mobile broadband, IoT
  •     Handset voice, messaging, data

Fixed

  •     Service, retail
  •     Voice, broadband, IPTV, dial-up, BNS
  •     DSL, FTTP/B, cable, BFWA, other

Mobile ARPU

  •     SIMs, handset
  •     Prepaid, contract
  •     Handset voice, data
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Countries modelled individually

  • Cameroon
  • Côte d’Ivoire
  • Ghana
  • Kenya
  • Nigeria
  • Rwanda
  • South Africa
  • Sudan
  • Tanzania
  • Uganda
  • Zambia

Countries not modelled individually, but modelled as part of the region as a whole

  • Angola
  • Benin
  • Botswana
  • Burkina Faso
  • Burundi
  • Cape Verde
  • Central African Republic
  • Chad
  • Comoros
  • Congo (Brazzaville)
  • Democratic Republic of Congo
  • Djibouti
  • Equatorial Guinea
  • Eritrea
  • Ethiopia
  • Gabon
  • The Gambia
  • Guinea
  • Guinea-Bissau
  • Lesotho
  • Liberia
  • Madagascar
  • Malawi
  • Mali
  • Mauritania
  • Mauritius
  • Mayotte
  • Mozambique
  • Namibia
  • Niger
  • Réunion
  • Rwanda
  • São Tomé and Principe
  • Senegal
  • Seychelles
  • Sierra Leone
  • Somalia
  • Saint Helena
  • South Sudan
  • Swaziland
  • Togo
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