Wireless Network Data Traffic in the Middle East and North Africa: Trends and Forecasts 2016–2021

  • ID: 4196173
  • Report
  • Region: Africa, Middle East, North Africa
  • 33 pages
  • Analysys Mason Group
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Cellular data traffic in the Middle East and North Africa will be 484% higher in 2021 than in 2016 – mobile operators must monetise this growth

Mobile network operators in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) hope that cellular data traffic growth will drive increases in their revenue.  This report analyses traffic growth over the period until 2021 and the constraints on this growth.

This report provides:

  • 5-year forecasts of wireless data traffic for MENA as a whole, and for selected countries
  • worldwide context and specific country commentary for four key countries: Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and UAE
  • analysis of the key trends in, and drivers and inhibitors of, data traffic
  • a discussion of the enablers of future capacity on wireless networks and the cost of supplying that capacity
  • analysis of the trends in private and public usage, and their effect on the use of mobile and Wi-Fi connectivity.
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Executive summary
Worldwide trends
Worldwide: The rate of growth for cellular data traffic will slow considerably during the forecast period
Worldwide: Rapid 4G adoption in India and China is driving cellular data traffic growth
Worldwide: Even in 2021 there will still be some correlation between income levels and monthly handset usage
Worldwide: Dongle and router traffic is not set to account for a large proportion of traffic across most emerging markets
Worldwide: Public Wi-Fi traffic's share of total out-of-home traffic is declining in developed markets
Worldwide: There continues to be little correlation between cellular data traffic growth and operator revenue
Worldwide: Removing unlimited throttled speed prepaid data quotas can significantly reduce traffic, but its commercial impact has been mixed
Worldwide: Offering unlimited throttled speed video traffic need not increase video traffic and could be a significant differentiator
Regional trends
Middle East and North Africa: GCC markets are showing solid rates of growth
Middle East and North Africa: There is still significant potential for traffic growth in the region
Country-level trends
Oman: Stable market dynamics limit dramatic data traffic growth
Qatar: Data usage is low compared to average income levels
Saudi Arabia: Traffic from dongles and routers will becomeless important
UAE: Data traffic growth is restricted by the affordability of prepaid data to immigrant groups
Forecast methodology and assumptions
Definition of geographical regions [1]
Definition of geographical regions [2]
Forecast methodology and assumptions
About the author

List of figures
Figure 1: Cellular data traffic by market and 4G device share, Middle East and North Africa, 2014-2021
Figure 2: Cellular data traffic by region, 2014-2021
Figure 3: Share of traffic over 2G/3G and 4G and higher devices, worldwide, emerging and developed economies, 2014-2021
Figure 4: Cellular data traffic, worldwide, developed economies and emerging economies, 2014-2021, Analysys Mason 201and 201forecasts
Figure 5: Monthly data traffic per handset against GDP per capita, 2021, selected countries worldwide
Figure 6: Dongle and router share of total cellular data traffic, selected countries, 201and 2021
Figure 7: South Korea's public Wi-Fi traffic carried through operators' networks, year-on-year growth, 1Q 2014-3Q 2016
Figure 8: Year-on-year mobile data traffic growth, overall retail revenue growth and data revenue growth, worldwide, 2014-2016
Figure 9: Year-on-year mobile data revenue and cellular data traffic by developed market region, 201and 2016
Figure 10: Telefonica Brasil data traffic and net mobile service revenue year-on-year growth, 1Q 2014-4Q 2015
Figure 11: Ratio of data consumption by video resolution format (144p = 1)
Figure 12: Annual rate of growth, cellular data traffic, selected MENA markets, 2014-2017
Figure 13: Cellular data traffic per head of population per month, selected MENA markets, 201and 2016
Figure 14: Cellular data traffic by market and 4G device share, Middle East and North Africa, 2014-2021
Figure 15: Cellular data traffic by device type, Oman, 2016-2021
Figure 16: Cellular data traffic by device type, Qatar, 2016-2021
Figure 17: Cellular data traffic by device type, Saudi Arabia, 2016-2021
Figure 18: Cellular data traffic by device type, UAE, 2016-2021
Figure 19a: Regional breakdown used in this report
Figure 19b: Regional breakdown used in this report

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  • Oman
  • Qatar
  • Saudi Arabia
  • UAE
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