Growth Opportunities in the Southern Africa Diesel Generator Market, Forecast to 2019

  • ID: 4211564
  • Report
  • Region: Africa
  • 86 Pages
  • Frost & Sullivan
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Mozambique Exhibits the Greatest Opportunity for Growth at 13.1 Per cent until 2019 in Revenue Terms

Diesel generators, ranging from a few kilowatts to a few thousand kilowatts are common in many countries in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). In this report, the market opportunity for diesel generators in five selected Southern African countries is analysed from 2013 up to 2019.

One of the major reasons for diesel generators in the developed world is for backup purposes. When a problem strikes the national utility and the power cuts, many businesses may find themselves using a backup generator to continue operations. This is especially true for hospitals and other vital components of society. This is known as backup purpose. While many homes and companies may incorporate backup generators in the developing world, the primary reason for purchasing a backup generator is for base load or prime use. The reason behind this is that SSA, excluding the island states, does not have a single country that is 100% electrified. This is true for the major business hubs as the power supply is infrequent and especially true for rural Africa. The residential, commercial, and industrial sectors commonly purchase one or two generators to keep their operations on-going and do not trust the government to perform this duty.

South Africa is different in that it is relatively electrified. The high level of generation capacity means that South Africa exports reasonable amount of power to its neighbouring countries to add to their low capacity. In 2015, however, South Africa experienced widespread power outages which resulted in all Southern African states mentioned in this report experiencing subsequent outages of their own. This boosted the diesel generator market in 2015 as homes, businesses, and industries quickly made alternative arrangement for electrification. The following year, the expected stabilisation of the South Africa grid witnessed the import of generator fall dramatically. While the market in South Africa will be low, the other markets are forecast to keep their demand high while they struggle to increase electrification rates.

Leading up to 2015, diesel generator volumes peaked at 14,123 units bringing in USD 344.8 million into the region. This was a 40% increase in sales compared to the previous year. However, as the region is expected to witness stability over the next 4 years, revenue will register a decrease of 31% to USD 199.1 million. It must be noted that this drop is due to the extreme outlier that is 2015. The market will continue to experience favourable growth in South Africa’s neighbouring countries until 2019.

Key Questions this Study will Answer:

  • What market in Southern Africa has the biggest opportunity considering size, macro, and micro-economics?
  • What are the sizes of the diesel generator markets in the 5 countries of interest in both unit shipment and revenue terms?
  • What are growth rates expected until 2019 in both unit shipment and revenue terms?
  • What is the overview of the energy market in the respective countries?
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1. Executive Summary
CEO 360 Degree Perspectives on the Southern Africa Diesel Generator Market
Summary of Key Findings
3 Big Predictions
Associated Research and Multimedia on Diesel Generator Market

2. Project Assumptions and Methodology
Definitions and Scope
Assumptions and Methodology

3. Southern Africa Market Overview
Diesel Generator Market Opportunities
Diesel Generator Market Drivers and Restraints
Overview of the Diesel Generator Market
Mozambique in Summary
Zimbabwe in Summary
South Africa in Summary
Namibia in Summary
Botswana in Summary
Market Engineering Measurements
Identified Key Market Participants
Trade in Southern Africa

4. Mozambique
Macro-economic and Market Overview
Unit Shipment and Revenue Forecast
Unit Shipment Forecast by Generator Size
Revenue Forecast by Generator Size
Market Share Analysis

5. Zimbabwe
Macro-economic and Market Overview
Unit Shipment and Revenue Forecast
Unit Shipment Forecast by Generator Size
Revenue Forecast by Generator Size
Market Share Analysis

6. South Africa
Macro-economic and Market Overview
Unit Shipment and Revenue Forecast
Unit Shipment Forecast by Generator Size
Revenue Forecast by Generator Size
Market Share Analysis

7. Namibia
Macro-economic and Market Overview
Unit Shipment and Revenue Forecast
Unit Shipment Forecast by Generator Size
Revenue Forecast by Generator Size
Market Share Analysis

8. Botswana
Macro-economic and Market Overview
Unit Shipment and Revenue Forecast
Unit Shipment Forecast by Generator Size
Revenue Forecast by Generator Size
Market Share Analysis

9. Growth Opportunities
Strategic Conclusions and Recommendations
Strategic Conclusions and Recommendations-Mozambique
Strategic Conclusions and Recommendations-South Africa
Strategic Conclusions and Recommendation-Zimbabwe
Strategic Conclusions and Recommendations-Namibia & Botswana
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