Kazakhstan Wind Power Market: Outlook 2016 - 2025

  • ID: 4316532
  • Report
  • Region: Kazakhstan
  • 137 pages
  • Inea Consulting Ltd
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FEATURED COMPANIES

  • ABB
  • GE Wind Energy
  • KEGOC
  • LukErg Renew
  • Samruk-Energy JSC
  • Siemens
  • MORE

This market report offers an incisive and reliable long-term overview of the wind power sector of the country for the period 2016 - 2025. In view of recent cuts in FIT’s and green certificates announced in Germany, Spain, France, UK, Czech Republic, Slovakia, Bulgaria, Romania Greece and Italy, the Republic of Kazakhstan represents a stable investment environment in CIS region with clear rules and feed-in tariff support scheme. Current cumulative installed wind capacity in the country is insignificant, but a number of fully permitted and ready to build projects will promptly increase in 2017 and next years.

First MW size wind power plants have been launched into commercial operation, whilst pipeline of over 1,300 MW (1.3 GW) wind projects pipeline are progressing in different stages of permitting process. Feed-in tariff for wind energy has been approved in Kazakhstan in June 2014, and combined with 15 years PPA period are expected to pave the way for fast further growth of wind power market in Kazakhstan. The report provides a complete picture of the market situation, dynamics, current issues and future prospects.

You will find more than 130 pages of valuable information in this unique in-depth analysis of the Kazakhstan wind power market. With comprehensive market data this report brings clear and concise insights, to help investors in their decision making process. As 2015 and 2016 were challenging years for world wind energy industry, the time for taking right decisions during 2017 and the next few years is limited. Fast changing market environment requires relevant and accurate information.

Reasons to buy this market report are, but not limited to:

  • Wind resource potential in Kazakhstan
  • Historical market data provided from 2000 to 2016 and forecasts until 2025
  • Financial Model and Analysis of 50 MW Wind Power Plant investment in Kazakhstan (IRR, WACC, Payback, NPV, Cash Flow, etc.)
  • Over 55 charts, tables and maps
  • Overview of Kazakhstan wind power market development 1990 - 2025
  • Development scenario of Kazakhstan wind power sector until 2025
  • Major active and upcoming wind power plants (wind farms) in Kazakhstan
  • Current market prices of fully permitted and operational wind power projects
  • Attractiveness indices for wind energy investments in Kazakhstan and CIS countries
  • SWOT Analysis (detailed in 5 pages)
  • Overview of Kazakhstan legal and regulatory framework for RES generation
  • Review of most relevant financing and supporting incentives
  • Project developers, EPC providers and Consultants in Kazakhstan
  • Key organizations and stakeholders affecting development of the wind power sector in Kazakhstan
  • Investment potential and opportunities
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Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown
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FEATURED COMPANIES

  • ABB
  • GE Wind Energy
  • KEGOC
  • LukErg Renew
  • Samruk-Energy JSC
  • Siemens
  • MORE
"FOREWORD
1 METHODOLOGY AND LIMITATIONS
1.1 Research Methodology
1.2 Limitations
2 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
2.1 Historical and Current Development Overview of Wind Power Market in Kazakhstan
2.2 Kazakhstan Wind Resource Potential
2.3 Key Stakeholders Affecting Wind Power Market Development in Kazakhstan
2.4 Market Drivers and Constraints
2.5 Auction (Tender) Procedure for Wind Power Plants in Kazakhstan
2.6 Recent and Pending Changes in Renewable Energy Law in Kazakshtan
2.7 Market Forecast Summary
3 KAZAKHSTAN POLITICAL AND ECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT. PEST ANALYSIS
3.1 Basic Country Data
3.2 Political Climate and Ruling Party
3.3 GDP and Economic Growth
3.4 Taxes
3.4.1 VAT
3.4.2 Income and Corporate Taxes
4 COMMONWEALTH INDEPENDENT STATES (CIS) AND CENTRAL-EAST EUROPE (CEE) POWER MARKET
4.1 General Electricity Market information
4.2 Wind Power in Energy Sector
4.3 Single Electricity Market of European Union
4.4 CIS States Common Electricity Market (CIS CEM)
4.5 Electricity Market Concept of Eurasian Economic Union
5 COMMONWEALTH INDEPENDENT STATES (CIS) WIND POWER MARKET
5.1 Market Overview
5.2 Cumulative (CAGR) Installed Wind Power Capacity and Revenue
5.3 Annual Installed Wind Power Capacity and Revenue
5.4 Future Development Trends
6 KAZAKHSTAN POWER MARKET
6.1 Electricity Transmission and Distribution
6.2 Electricity Consumption and Generation
6.3 Electricity Imports and Exports
6.4 Electricity Prices for Business and Households
6.5 Renewable Energy Sources (RES) Targets
7 KAZAKHSTAN WIND POWER MARKET
7.1 Why Invest in Wind Power in Kazakhstan?
7.2 Kazakhstan Wind Resource Potential
7.3 Licensing Period Duration
7.4 Regional Substation Capacities for Wind Power Projects in Kazakhstan
7.5 Overview of Wind Power Market in Kazakhstan
7.6 Market Structure Analysis
7.7 Investment Trends and Development Roadmap
7.8 Competitive Environment in Wind Power Market
7.9 Profiles of Key Players and Investors in Wind Power Market
7.10 Cumulative (CAGR) Installed Wind Power Capacity and Revenue
7.11 Annual Installed Wind Power Capacity and Revenue
7.12 Market Prices for Wind Power Projects in Kazakhstan in Development, Ready to Build and Operational (Grid Connected) Condition
7.13 Key Cost Structure Elements of Wind Power Plant in Kazakhstan
7.14 Levelized Cost of Energy (LCOE) for Wind Power in Kazakhstan
7.15 Key Wind Power Projects in Kazakhstan Under Development
7.16 Mergers and Acquisitions
8 DRIVERS AND CONSTRAINTS OF WIND POWER MARKET IN KAZAKHSTAN. SWOT ANALYSIS
8.1 Market Drivers
8.2 Market Drivers Explained
8.3 Market Constraints
8.4 Market Constraints Explained
8.5 SWOT Analysis
9 FINANCIAL ANALYSIS OF WIND POWER MARKET IN KAZAKHSTAN
9.1 Financing Options of Wind Power Projects in Kazakhstan
9.2 Financial Model and Analysis of 5 MW Wind Power Plant investment in Kazakhstan (IRR, WACC, Payback, NPV, Cash Flow, ETC.)
10 TECHNOLOGY ANALYSIS
10.1 Wind Power Technology Overview
10.2 Technology Trends
11 CIS COUNTRIES RENEWABLE ENERGY POLICY LANDSCAPE
11.1 RES Regulations and Directives of European Union (EU) affecting CIS countries
11.1.1 Precedent Regulations
11.1.2 EU 2030 Framework for Climate and Energy Policies
11.1.3 EU Energy Roadmap 2050
11.2 Renewable Energy Sources (RES) Strategy for Commonwealth Independent states (CIS) Developed by UN ECE
11.2.1 Development of Educational Activity and Personnel Training
11.3 Renewable Energy Sources (RES) Mandatory Targets for CIS Countries
12 KAZAKHSTAN RENEWABLE ENERGY SOURCES (RES) LEGAL AND REGULATORY FRAMEWORK
12.1 Main Laws and Regulations
12.2 Support Schemes
12.3 Recent and Pending Changes in Renewable Energy Law in Kazakshtan
12.4 Auction (Tender) Procedure for Wind Power Plants
12.5 Zoning, Planning and Construction Related Authorizations
12.6 Environmental Related Authorizations
12.6.1 Environment Protected Areas
12.6.2 Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) and Joint Implementation (JI)
12.7 Energy Law Authorizations
12.7.1 Power Generation Licensing
12.7.2 Grid Interconnection and Quota Limitations by 2020
12.7.3 Power Off-Take
12.7.4 Feed-in tariff (FIT)
12.7.5 RES Certificates (Guarantees of Origin)
12.8 Additional Incentives for Wind Power Projects in Kazakhstan
12.9 Future Market Pricing Mechanisms
13 KEY STAKEHOLDERS AFFECTING WIND POWER MARKET DEVELOPMENT IN KAZAKHSTAN
13.1 Government Stakeholders
13.2 Non-Government Stakeholders
13.3 Electricity Generation, Transmission System Operator (TSO) and Distribution System Operators (DSO’s)
14 CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS
15 LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS
16 REFERENCES
17 DISCLAIMER
APPENDIX I. WIND RESOURCE MAPS OF CIS COUNTRIES AND KAZAKHSTAN

Map 1: Where is Kazakhstan on the CIS Countries Map
MAP 2: Major Transport Corridors Passing Through Kazakhstan
MAP 3: Kazakhstan Administrative Regions Map
MAP 4: The Synchronous Grids of Europe and CIS States
MAP 5: Interconnection Grid Map of Central-East Europe and CIS States, ENTSO-E
Map 6: Electricity Grid Map of Kazakhstan (1150-500-220-110 kV), KEGOC
Map 7: Wind Resource Map of Kazakhstan at 80 m.a.g.l.
MAP 8: Kazakhstan Wind Atlas, Parsons Brinckerhoff 2011
MAP 9: Environment Protected Areas in Kazakhstan
Map 10: Districts covered by East Kazakhstan Regional Energy Company JSC (EK REC)
MAP 11: Districts covered by PAVLODARENERGO/Central-Asian Electric Power Corporation (CAEPCO)
Map 12: Mean Wind Speed in CIS Countries at 80 m.a.g.l., 3TIER Inc., 2014
Map 13: Global Mean Wind Speed at 80 m.a.g.l., 3TIER Inc., 2011

Chart 1: Kazakhstan Real GDP Growth for the Period 2000 ÷ 2025 (including forecast)
Chart 2: Kazakhstan GDP Growth Compared to EU-27 for the Period 2000 ÷ 2025 (including forecast)
Chart 3: Corporate Tax Income in Selected Central-East Europe (CEE) and Commonwealth Independent States (CIS)
Chart 4: Physical Energy Flows Values in GW in Central-East Europe (CEE) and Commonwealth Independent States (CIS) in 2016
Chart 5: Share of Renewables in Electricity Generation in Selected Central-East Europe (CEE) Countries and Commonwealth Independent States (CIS), 2016 (in %), EuroStat
Chart 6: Average Base Load Electricity Price in Selected European Countries (EUR/MWh): 2008 - 2016
Chart 7: Forecast for RES Generation Capacity by Source Type in the EU to 2020 and 2030 (in GW), ENTSO-E
Chart 8: Net Power Generation Added Capacities in the EU 28 in 2016 (MW), WindEurope, SolarPower Europe
Chart 9: Age of Power Plants in Europe in 2016; SolarPower Europe
Chart 10: Share of New Power Generation Capacities Added in the EU 28 in 2016 (MW), WindEurope
Chart 11: Installed Power Generating Capacity per Year (MW) and Renewable Share (in %) 2000 – 2016, WindEurope
Chart 12: New Installed and Decommissioned Power Generation Capacity in the EU 27 for 2016 (GW), WindEurope
Chart 13: Cumulative (CAGR) Installed Capacity of Wind Power Plants (in MW) in Commonwealth Independent States (CIS) 2000 ÷ 2025, including forecast
Chart 14: Cumulative (CAGR) Revenue of Wind Power Plants (in Millions USD) in Commonwealth Independent States (CIS) 2000 ÷ 2025, including forecast
Chart 15: Annual Installed Capacity of Wind Power Plants (in MW) in Commonwealth Independent States (CIS) 2000 ÷ 2025, including forecast
Chart 16: Annual Revenue of Wind Power Plants (in Millions USD) Commonwealth Independent States (CIS) 2000 ÷ 2025, including forecast
Chart 17: Existing and Planned High Voltage Interconnection Power Lines of Kazakhstan with Neighbor Countries
Chart 18: Structure of the Existing Wholesale Electricity Power Market in Kazakhstan
Chart 19: Structure of Kazakhstan Power Market
Chart 20: Share of RES electricity from Total Installed Power Capacity in Kazakhstan in 2016
Chart 21: Kazakhstan Total Annual Electricity Consumption (in TWh) 2000 ÷ 2016
Chart 22: Kazakhstan Power Generation Capacity Breakdown by Source (Fuel) Type in 2016
Chart 23: Electricity Imports and Exports in Kazakhstan 2000 ÷ 2025 (in TWh) including forecast
Chart 24: Kazakhstan Targets for Renewable Energy Sources (RES) by 2050 (in %)
Chart 25: Cumulative (CAGR) Installed Capacity of Wind Power Plants in Kazakhstan (in MW) 2000 ÷ 2025, including forecast
Chart 26: Cumulative (CAGR) Revenue of Wind Power Plants in Kazakhstan (in Millions USD) 2000 ÷ 2025, including forecast
Chart 27: Annual Installed Capacity of Wind Power Plants in Kazakhstan (in MW) 2000 ÷ 2025, including forecast
Chart 28: Annual Revenue of Wind Power Plants in Kazakhstan (in Millions USD) 2000 ÷ 2025, including forecast
Chart 29: Levelized Cost of Energy (LCOE) for Wind Power in Kazakhstan
Chart 30: KAZSEFF Structure
Chart 31: Cumulative Cash Flows and Break-Even Point of 50 MW Wind Power Plant Investment in Kazakhstan
Chart 32: Wind Power System Price Evolution (€/MW) 1990 ÷ 2016
Chart 33: Corporate Structure of KEGOC

Table 1: Electricity Prices for Business and Households
Table 2: Support Schemes for Renewable Energy Sources (RES) Generation in the EU Countries and CIS Countries
Table 3: Kazakhstan Wind Power Potential by Regions (in MW) and Electricity Generation (in GWh)
Table 4: Market Prices for Wind Power Projects in Kazakhstan for 2016 ÷ 2025 in Development, Ready to Build and Operational (Grid Connected) Condition
Table 5: Key Cost Structure Elements of Wind Power Plant in Kazakhstan
Table 6: Database with Major Operational (Grid Connected), Under Construction and Planned Wind Power Projects in Kazakhstan
Table 7: Key Financial Parameters of 50 MW Wind Power Plant Investment in Kazakhstan
Table 8: Key Financial Viability Indicators of 50 MW Wind Power Plant Investment in Kazakhstan (IRR, NPV, Payback, Benefit-Cost)
Table 9: Project Costs and Savings (Income) Summary of 50 MW Wind Power Plant Investment in Kazakhstan
Table 10: Yearly Cash Flows of 50 MW Wind Power Plant Investment in Kazakhstan (Pre-tax, After-tax, Cumulative)
Table 11: Wind Turbine Prices in 2017
Table 12: Feed-in-tariffs for Electricity from Renewable Energy Sources (RES) in Kazakhstan
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  • ABB
  • Central-Asian Electric Power Corporation (CAEPCO)
  • East Kazakhstan Regional Energy Company JSC (EK REC)
  • GE Wind Energy
  • Gazprom
  • JV KT Rear Metals Company
  • KEGOC
  • Krim-Irey-Project LLC
  • LukErg Renew
  • Mangistau Distribution Power Grid JSC
  • PavlodarEnergo JSC
  • Samruk-Energy JSC
  • Schneider Electric
  • Siemens
  • Sowitec
  • Sumitomo Corporation
  • Synergy Astana
  • Toshiba Corporation
  • Vestas
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