Ukraine Wind Power Market: Outlook 2016 - 2025

  • ID: 4316542
  • Report
  • Region: Ukraine
  • 129 pages
  • Inea Consulting Ltd
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FEATURED COMPANIES

  • DTEK Group
  • Enercon
  • FWT Energy GmbH
  • GreenWorx Holding NV
  • Guris Holding AS
  • Krim-Irey-Project LLC
  • MORE

This market report offers an incisive and reliable overview of the wind sector of the country. By the end of 2009 cumulative installed wind capacity in the country was insignificant, but grew up to 551 MW in 2015. The report provides a complete picture of the market situation, dynamics, current issues and future prospects. You will find more than 125 pages of valuable information in this unique in-depth analysis of the Ukrainian wind market. With comprehensive market data this report brings clear and concise insights, to help investors in their decision making process.

As 2016 was challenging year for wind industry, the time for taking riisions during 2017/2018 is limited. Significant progress achieved in wind power sector development has made Ukraine an undoubted industry leader among the CIS countries by the end of February 2014. After that political turmoil in Ukraine changed the picture in CIS region and more complex overview of wind power sector in the country is necessary. Fast changing market environment, requires relevant and accurate information.

Reasons to buy this market report are, but not limited to:

  • Overview of the Ukrainian political and economic environment
  • Wind resource potential in Ukraine
  • Financial Model and Analysis of 50 MW Wind Power Plant investment in Ukraine (IRR, WACC, Payback, NPV, Cash Flow, etc.)
  • Over 55 charts, tables and maps
  • Overview of Ukrainian wind market development 2000 - 2025
  • Grid connected wind power installations for 2016
  • Future market trends and planned wind projects for 2016 - 2025
  • Market prices of fully permitted and operational wind projects
  • Ukrainian legal and energy regulatory framework for renewable projects
  • Key companies and competitive landscape in wind sector
  • Review of most relevant financing and supporting incentives
  • SWOT Analysis (detailed in 5 pages)
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Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown
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FEATURED COMPANIES

  • DTEK Group
  • Enercon
  • FWT Energy GmbH
  • GreenWorx Holding NV
  • Guris Holding AS
  • Krim-Irey-Project LLC
  • MORE
"FOREWORD
1 METHODOLOGY AND LIMITATIONS
1.1 Research Methodology
1.2 Limitations
2 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
2.1 Historical and Current Development Overview of Wind Power Market in Ukraine
2.2 Ukraine Wind Resource Potential
2.3 Key Stakeholders Affecting Wind Power Market Development in Ukraine
2.4 Market Drivers and Constraints
2.5 Key Recent and Pending Changes in Renewable Energy Law in Ukraine
2.6 Market Forecast Summary
3 UKRAINE POLITICAL AND ECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT. PEST ANALYSIS
3.1 Basic Country Data
3.2 Political Climate and Ruling Party
3.3 GDP and Economic Growth
3.4 Taxes
3.4.1 VAT
3.4.2 Income and Corporate Taxes
4 COMMONWEALTH INDEPENDENT STATES (CIS) AND CENTRAL-EAST EUROPE (CEE) POWER MARKET
4.1 General Electricity Market Information
4.2 Wind Power in Energy Sector
4.3 Single Electricity Market of European Union
4.4 CIS States Common Electricity Market (CIS CEM)
4.5 Electricity Market Concept of Eurasian Economic Union
5 COMMONWEALTH INDEPENDENT STATES (CIS) WIND POWER MARKET
5.1 Market Overview
5.2 Cumulative (CAGR) Installed Wind Power Capacity and Revenue
5.3 Annual Installed Wind Power Capacity and Revenue
5.4 Future Development Trends
6 UKRAINE POWER MARKET
6.1 Electricity Transmission and Distribution
6.2 Electricity Consumption and Generation
6.3 Electricity Imports and Exports
6.4 Electricity Prices for Business and Households
6.5 Renewable Energy Sources (RES) Targets
7 UKRAINE WIND POWER MARKET
7.1 Why Invest in Wind Power in Ukraine?
7.2 Ukraine Wind Resource Potential
7.3 Licensing Period Duration
7.4 Regional Substation Capacities for Wind Power Projects in Ukraine
7.5 Overview of Wind Power Market in Ukraine
7.6 Market Structure Analysis
7.7 Investment Trends and Development Roadmap
7.8 Competitive Environment in Wind Power Market
7.9 Profiles of Key Players and Investors in Wind Power Market
7.10 Cumulative (CAGR) Installed Wind Power Capacity and Revenue
7.11 Annual Installed Wind Power Capacity and Revenue
7.12 Market Prices for Wind Power Projects in Ukraine in Development, Ready to Build and Operational (Grid Connected) Condition
7.13 Key Cost Structure Elements of Wind Power Plant in Ukraine
7.14 Levelized Cost of Energy (LCOE) for Wind Power in Ukraine
7.15 Key Wind Power Projects in Ukraine Under Development
7.16 Mergers and Acquisitions
8 DRIVERS AND CONSTRAINTS OF WIND POWER MARKET IN UKRAINE. SWOT ANALYSIS
8.1 Market Drivers
8.2 Market Drivers Explained
8.3 Market Constraints
8.4 Market Constraints Explained
8.5 SWOT Analysis
9 FINANCIAL ANALYSIS OF WIND POWER MARKET IN UKRAINE
9.1 Financing Options of Wind Power Projects in Ukraine
9.2 Financial Model and Analysis of 50 MW Wind Power Plant investment in Ukraine (IRR, WACC, Payback, NPV, Cash Flow, etc.)
10 TECHNOLOGY ANALYSIS
10.1 Wind Power Technology Overview
10.2 Technology Trends
11 CIS COUNTRIES RENEWABLE ENERGY POLICY LANDSCAPE
11.1 RES Regulations and Directives of European Union (EU) affecting CIS countries
11.1.1 Precedent Regulations
11.1.2 EU 2030 Framework for Climate and Energy Policies
11.1.3 EU Energy Roadmap 2050
11.2 Renewable Energy Sources (RES) Strategy for CIS Countries Developed by UN ECE
11.2.1 Development of Educational Activity and Personnel Training
11.3 Renewable Energy Sources (RES) Mandatory Targets for CIS Countries
12 UKRAINE RENEWABLE ENERGY SOURCES (RES) LEGAL AND REGULATORY FRAMEWORK
12.1 Main Laws and Regulations
12.2 Support Schemes
12.3 Key Recent and Pending Changes in Renewable Energy Law in Ukraine
12.4 Zoning, Planning and Construction Related Authorizations
12.5 Environmental Related Authorizations
12.5.1 Natura 2000 Network
12.5.2 Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) and Joint Implementation (JI)
12.6 Energy Law Authorizations
12.6.1 Power Generation Licensing
12.6.2 Grid Interconnection and Quota Limitations
12.6.3 Power Off-Take and Power Purchase Agreement (PPA)
12.6.4 Green Tariff (Feed-in Tariff)
12.6.5 Green Reneable Energy Sources (RES) Certificates (Guarantees of Origin)
12.7 Additional Incentives for Wind Power Projects in Ukraine
12.8 Future Market Pricing Mechanisms
13 KEY STAKEHOLDERS AFFECTING WIND POWER MARKET DEVELOPMENT IN UKRAINE
13.1 Government Stakeholders
13.2 Non-Government Stakeholders
13.3 Electricity Generation, Transmission System Operator (TSO) and Distribution System Operators (DSO’s)
14 CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS
15 LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS
16 REFERENCES
17 DISCLAIMER
APPENDIX I. WIND RESOURCE MAPS OF CIS COUNTRIES AND UKRAINE

Map 1: Where is Ukraine on the European Map
MAP 2: Ukraine Road Network
MAP 3: Ukraine Administrative Regions Map
MAP 4: Historical Regions of Ukraine
MAP 5: The Synchronous Grids of Europe and CIS States
MAP 6: Interconnection Grid Map of Central-East Europe and CIS States, ENTSO-E
MAP 7: Wind Resource Map of Ukraine at 80 m.a.g.l.
MAP 8: Environment Protected Areas in Ukraine
Map 9: Distribution System Operators (DSO) in Ukraine by Type of Ownership
Map 10: Districts covered by NPP AES Kievoblenergo
Map 11: Mean Wind Speed in CIS Countries at 80 m.a.g.l., 3TIER Inc.
Map 12: Global Mean Wind Speed at 80 m.a.g.l., 3TIER Inc.

Chart 1: Ukraine Real GDP Growth for the Period 2000 ÷ 2025 (including forecast)
Chart 2: Ukraine GDP Growth Compared to EU-27 for the Period 2000 ÷ 2025 (including forecast)
Chart 3: Corporate Tax Income in Selected Central-East Europe (CEE) and Commonwealth Independent States (CIS)
Chart 4: Physical Energy Flows Values in GW in Central-East Europe (CEE) and Commonwealth Independent States (CIS) in 2016
Chart 5: Share of Renewables in Electricity Generation in Selected Central-East Europe (CEE) Countries and Commonwealth Independent States (CIS), 2016 (in %), EuroStat
Chart 6: Average Base Load Electricity Price in Selected European Countries (EUR/MWh): 2008 - 2016
Chart 7: Forecast for RES Generation Capacity by Source Type in the EU to 2020 and 2030 (in GW), ENTSO-E
Chart 8: Net Power Generation Added Capacities in the EU 28 in 2016 (MW), WindEurope, SolarPower Europe
Chart 9: Age of Power Plants in Europe in 2016; SolarPower Europe
Chart 10: Share of New Power Generation Capacities Added in the EU 28 in 2016 (MW), WindEurope
Chart 11: Installed Power Generating Capacity per Year (MW) and Renewable Share (in %) 2000 – 2016, WindEurope
Chart 12: New Installed and Decommissioned Power Generation Capacity in the EU 27 for 2016 (GW), WindEurope
Chart 13: Cumulative (CAGR) Installed Capacity of Wind Power Plants (in MW) in Commonwealth Independent States (CIS) 2000 ÷ 2025, including forecast
Chart 14: Cumulative (CAGR) Revenue of Wind Power Plants (in Millions USD) in Commonwealth Independent States (CIS) 2000 ÷ 2025, including forecast
Chart 15: Annual Installed Capacity of Wind Power Plants (in MW) in Commonwealth Independent States (CIS) 2000 ÷ 2025, including forecast
Chart 16: Annual Revenue of Wind Power Plants (in Millions USD) Commonwealth Independent States (CIS) 2000 ÷ 2025, including forecast
Chart 17: Existing and Planned High Voltage Power Lines of Ukraine and Interconnection with Neighbor Countries
Chart 18: Electricity Purchase Market Shares at Wholesale Energy Market (WEM) in Ukraine in 2016
Chart 19: Structure of Ukraine Power Market
Chart 20: Share of RES electricity from Total Installed Power Capacity in Ukraine in 2016
Chart 21: Ukraine Total Annual Electricity Consumption (in TWh) 2000 ÷ 2016
Chart 22: Ukraine Power Generation Capacity Breakdown by Source (Fuel) Type in 2016
Chart 23: Ukraine Electricity Imports and Exports 2000 ÷ 2025 (in TWh) including forecast
Chart 24: Ukraine Targets for Renewable Energy Sources (RES) by 2030 (in %)
Chart 25: Cumulative (CAGR) Installed Capacity of Wind Power Plants in Ukraine (in MW) 2000 ÷ 2025, including forecast
Chart 26: Cumulative (CAGR) Revenue of Wind Power Plants in Ukraine (in Millions USD) 2000 ÷ 2025, including forecast
Chart 27: Annual Installed Capacity of Wind Power Plants in Ukraine (in MW) 2000 ÷ 2025, including forecast
Chart 28: Annual Revenue of Wind Power Plants in Ukraine (in Millions USD) 2000 ÷ 2025, including forecast
Chart 29: Levelized Cost of Energy (LCOE) for Wind Power in Ukraine
Chart 30: UKEEP Structure
Chart 31: Cumulative Cash Flows and Break-Even Point of 50 MW Wind Power Plant Investment in Ukraine
Chart 32: Wind Power System Price Evolution (€/MW) 1990 ÷ 2016
Chart 33: Market share of DTEK in electricity sales and distribution in 2016

Table 1: Ukraine Electricity Prices for Business and Households
Table 2: Support Schemes for Renewable Energy Sources (RES) Generation in the EU Countries and CIS Countries
Table 3: Market Prices for Wind Power Projects in Ukraine for 2016 ÷ 2025 in Development, Ready to Build and Operational (Grid Connected) Condition
Table 4: Key Cost Structure Elements of Wind Power Plant in Ukraine
Table 5: Database with Major Operational (Grid Connected), Under Construction and Planned Wind Power Projects in Ukraine
Table 6: Key Financial Parameters of 50 MW Wind Power Plant Investment in Ukraine
Table 7: Key Financial Viability Indicators of 50 MW Wind Power Plant Investment in Ukraine (IRR, NPV, Payback, Benefit-Cost)
Table 8: Project Costs and Savings (Income) Summary of 50 MW Wind Power Plant Investment in Ukraine
Table 9: Yearly Cash Flows of 50 MW Wind Power Plant Investment in Ukraine (Pre-tax, After-tax, Cumulative)
Table 10: Wind Turbine Prices in 2017
Table 11: Feed-in-tariffs for Electricity from Renewable Energy Sources (RES) in Ukraine
Table 12: Local Procurement Component Requirements for Wind Power Plants in Ukraine
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  • DTEK Group
  • Enercon
  • FWT Energy GmbH
  • GreenWorx Holding NV
  • Guris Holding AS
  • Krim-Irey-Project LLC
  • SCHNEIDER ELECTRIC
  • Siemens
  • TW Logisticts (Windstar)
  • Vestas
  • WKN Windkraft Nord AG
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