Snapshot of the German Rail Market: Current Status, Market Players, Trends, Forecast 2025 - Third Extended Edition

  • ID: 4427706
  • Report
  • Region: Germany
  • 90 Pages
  • ASTRAN Business Consulting GmbH
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Provides a Comprehensive Insight Into the Rail Market in Germany Including All Relevant Key Performance Indicators (KPI) of the German Rail Industry Both for the Total Market As Well As for the Market-Specific Industry Segments.

The report Snapshot of the German rail market provides a comprehensive insight into the rail market in Germany including all relevant key performance indicators (KPI) of the German rail industry, both for the total market as well as for the market-specific segments. The KPI of the German rail industry are described in terms of market capacity and market development, employment, and the profit margins on the supply side.

The report further includes a forward look at the prospects for the domestic rail industry until 2025, in terms of market capacity and market attractiveness and describes the potential influence of digitisation on the competition in the German rail business.

“Snapshot of the German railway market” is aimed at current and potential market players. It offers strategic knowledge about the German rail industry which enables market players to assess market opportunities - now and in the future. Companies interested in this market are provided with guide-lines and support. Companies  already active in this market will find useful and additional  information enhancing their current market view. The described  analyses regarding market size, market growth and profit margins offer to the reader - together with a general, overall description of the market - the opportunity to assess the current and future market attractiveness. This is pivotal in order to evaluate future challenges  and to develop appropriate strategies

Despite some negative media coverage the average growth rate of the German rail market over the last years showed a very positive development, reaching 7.1% p. a. and the companies active in the market achieved an average profit return (EBIT) of 5.3% between 2010 and 2014. The strong development over this period was especially characterized by a high number of rolling stock deliveries by the big system houses, which, nevertheless, achieved relatively low profit returns. Sub suppliers, on the other hand, achieved relatively high profit returns.

The report forecasts a stable market growth for the German rail market in the future  with further increasing profit returns. Although, due to declining orders for manufacturers of the rolling  stock segment, the dynamics of the years 2010 to 2014 cannot be maintained. These and the future influence of digitisation on the competition in the German rail business are the results of the recent analysis  “Snapshot of the German Rail Market”.

The German Rail Industry: A Leading Industry Of The World Rail Market 

The German rail market was able to increase the domestic market volume over the period of 2010 to 2014 by 7.1% annually to 11.2 billion Euro. Thereby the German rail industry  represented about 7% of the worldwide market volume with railway-specific products and services in 2014. 

According to experts the report identifies long-term growth prospects for the market which will be considerably below the development of the previous years. Declining orders for the big system houses may have a growth-inhibiting impact on the entire industry. First signs of this development can already be seen in the market figures for 2015 and 2016, as forecasted by the publisher.  In the future the focus will be on the areas of maintenance and modernisation. This represents a great opportunity, because past experience has shown that these are the most profitable services in the engineering services segment. Moreover, how the industry will cope with digitisation will  play an important role for the future and global competitiveness of the German rail market. Accordingly, the report provides a detailed view of the possible impact of digitisation on the competition in the German rail business.

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1 Preface

2 Executive Summary

3 Objectives and Differentiations
3.1 Study Method
3.2 Definition and Differentiation

4 Introduction

5 Country Profile Germany

6 The Rail Market in Germany
6.1 Starting Point Railway Reform
6.2 Passenger and Freight Train Operators
6.3 Participants in the German Rail Market

7 The German Rail Industry until 2014
7.1 Performance of the German Rail Industry
7.2 Structure of the German Rail Industry

8 Evaluation of Market Attractiveness

9 Research Activities in the German Rail Industry
9.1 German University Landscape in Rail Technology
9.2 Current Research Projects of the German Rail Industry
9.3 Cluster Programs of the German Rail Industry

10 Forecast of the German Railway Market until 2025
10.1 Future Challenges and Market Drivers
10.2 How Does the Rail Industry Assess Digitisation?
10.3 The Influence of Digitisation on the Competition in the Railway Business
10.4 Development of Market Volume until 2025
10.5 Development of Market Attractiveness until 2025

11 Conclusion and Summary

Appendix: List of Relevant Companies
References
Disclaimer
 
List of Figures
Figure 1: Development of the domestic rail industry in Germany
Figure 2: Market share by segment in 2014 (% of market volume)
Figure 3: Key Performance Indicators of the German rail industry
Figure 4: Driver levels of the railway markets
Figure 5: Expected development of the German rail industry until 2025
Figure 6: Market attractiveness of the national rail market in 2014 and 2025
Figure 7: Structural diagram of the railway market
Figure 8: Products of the rail transport market
Figure 9: Value chain structure in the rail industry
Figure 10: Freight traffic and freight tonne-km in German rail traffic
Figure 11: Passenger journeys and passenger-km in German rail traffic
Figure 12: Mega trends and their impact on the rail industry in Germany and Europe
Figure 13: Development of the domestic sales volume in the German rail industry
Figure 14: Average profit return (EBIT)
Figure 15: Number of employees of the domestic rail industry in Germany
Figure 16: Segment oriented market share in 2014
Figure 17: Segment oriented Key Performance Indicators for manufacturers and sub-suppliers
Figure 18: Top 10 companies of the German rail industry
Figure 19: Distribution of companies by segments
Figure 20: Distribution of companies by size
Figure 21: Distribution of companies by segments depending on company size
Figure 22: Market attractiveness of the national rail market in 2013
Figure 23: Allocation of fields of study to segments
Figure 24: Systematic framework of the Big Data concept
Figure 25: Planning to invest in digital projects
Figure 26: Expected influence of digitisation on company success
Figure 27: Expected factors which may hamper investments in digitisation
Figure 28: Structure of a Technology Stack
Figure 29: Porters Five Forces of Competition
Figure 30: Expected development of the German rail industry until 2025
Figure 31: Market attractiveness of the national rail market in 2014 and 2025
 
List of Tables
Table 1: Products and services by segment in the rail industry market
Table 2: Criteria of different company sizes
Table 3: Country profile of Germany
Table 4: Key elements of the railway reform of 1994
Table 5: TOC in the long distance rail transport market in Germany 2012
Table 6: Transport authorities by federal state in Germany
Table 7: TOC in the regional transport market in Germany by transport performance
Table 8: TOC in the freight traffic market in Germany by transport performance in 2014
Table 9: Key figures of Deutsche Bahn AG 2010 to 2015
Table 10: Tasks in the area of infrastructure and rolling stock by the federal railway authority
Table 11: Criteria for measuring market attractiveness
Table 12: Research projects in railway technologies
Table 13: Cluster programs in the German rail market
Table 14: Predicted driver impacts on submarkets

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