Growth Opportunities in the Chinese Fuel Additives Market

  • ID: 4436861
  • Report
  • Region: China
  • 95 Pages
  • Frost & Sullivan
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Focus Products - Lubricity Improvers and Cold Flow Additives for Diesel

The Chinese diesel market is set to grow at a robust pace over the next 5 to 7 seven years as production of diesel vehicles increases and the introduction of China V specifications takes center stage. The implementation of China V regulations is key to the consumption of diesel, and in turn, lubricity improvers (LI) and cold flow (CF) additives. Lubricity improvers are estimated to grow at a strong CAGR of 11.9% between 2016 and 2022 while cold flow additives, which are predominantly used in winter diesel, will grow at a lower CAGR of 2.8%. Excess kerosene availability in China will also be a challenge for the growth of cold flow additives, as it is a cheap alternative. Local players in China currently dominate the supply of LI and CF additives to Sinopec and Petrochina.

The local players that dominate the market have excellent relationships with both Sinopec and Petrochina. These relationships are long-standing ones which gives them an edge over new entrants. New companies trying to tap opportunities in the LI and CF market in China are advised to partner with the domestic players, as it will enable them to get a ‘ foot in the door’ with the state-owned enterprises. Owing to these long-standing relationships, the technical specifications set by the refineries are published in such a way that most of these domestic players will qualify. International additive companies have superior technical specifications as compared to domestic players, but these improved specifications are often perceived as premium or expensive.

The procurement process for LI and CF is different between Sinopec and Petrochina. While Sinopec is predominantly a consumer of LI, Petrochina is a large consumer of CF, as Petrochina produces larger quantities of winter-grade diesel due to its locations in colder regions across China. While the procurement process for Sinopec is done completely at the headquarter level, the process for the procurement of CF is left to individual Petrochina refineries. This difference in the tender processes has made domestic additive manufacturers increase their sales and marketing staff in order to have a constant presence at the location of various refineries.

There are however interesting ways by which international LI and CF players can enter the China market and be successful. One of them is to partner with a strong domestic additive manufacturer. The other option is to provide value-added services such as refinery economics exercises, training workshops for refinery personnel on the advantages of using CF over kerosene as well as joint R&D exercises. These services will go a long way in building relationships with refineries, which is the cornerstone of success in the diesel additive market in China.

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1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

  • Key Findings
  • LI & CF Market Information Snapshot
  • Macroeconomic Outlook
  • Diesel and Kerosene Production and Consumption
  • LI Market Outlook
  • LI Value Chain Analysis
  • LI Typical Route to Market
  • Top LI Manufacturers in China
  • Refinery Procurement Practices
  • CF Market Outlook
  • CF Value Chain Analysis
  • CF Typical Route to Market
  • Top CF Manufacturers in China
  • CF Procurement Process

2. DIESEL REGULATIONS IN CHINA FOR CONVERSION FROM CHINA IV TO CHINA V AND CHINA VI

  • China V Implementation Impact
  • Emission Limits for China V
  • Incentives for Refineries to switch to China V
  • China Refining Capacity
  • Refinery Utilization Trends
  • China V Implementation Map

3. CHINA DIESEL AND KEROSENE OUTLOOK TO 2020

  • Diesel Outlook - Refining Capacity
  • Diesel Outlook - Backward Capacity Elimination
  • Winter Diesel Outlook
  • Other Demand Drivers for Diesel
  • Aviation Kerosene
  • PetroChina Diesel and Kerosene Outlook, 2016 to 2020
  • China Refinery Expansion Plans

4. LUBRICITY IMPROVERS - MARKET ASSESSMENT

  • LI Market in China
  • Key Drivers for the LI Market in China
  • Key Challenges for the LI Market in China
  • Market Outlook for LI - Conditions for Ester Adoption
  • Market Share Analysis per LI Type
  • Distributor Criteria for Selecting a LI Manufacturer

5. LUBRICITY IMPROVERS - VALUE CHAIN ASSESSMENT

  • Value Chain Analysis
  • Value Chain Analysis for LI Additives in China
  • Raw Material Analysis
  • Alternative Raw Materials for Lubricity Improvers
  • TOFA Imports into China
  • Typical Route to Market
  • Refinery Procurement Practices
  • Procurement Process Discussion
  • Supplier Selection Criteria - Refinery Viewpoint
  • Supplier Selection Criteria - Manufacturer Viewpoint
  • Acid vs. Ester Product Awareness - Refineries
  • Ester-based LI Adoption

6. LUBRICITY IMPROVERS - COMPETITOR ASSESSMENT

  • Top 5 LI Manufacturers
  • Local LI Manufacturer Capabilities

7. COLD FLOW ADDITIVES - MARKET ASSESSMENT

  • Market Outlook
  • Winter Diesel and Usage of Cold Flow Additives
  • Key Drivers for the CF Market in China
  • Key Challenges for the CF Market in China
  • Key Takeaways from China’s 13th Five-Year Plan
  • Refinery Configuration - Hydrocracking Capacities
  • Distributor Criteria for Selecting a Manufacturer of CF

8. COLD FLOW ADDITIVES - VALUE CHAIN ASSESSMENT

  • Value Chain Analysis
  • Import of Aviation Kerosene by Country
  • Cold Flow - Typical Route to Market
  • Cold Flow - Procurement Process
  • Procurement Process Discussion
  • Supplier Selection Criteria - Refinery Requirement
  • Product Awareness - Refineries

9. COLD FLOW ADDITIVES - COMPETITIVE ASSESSMENT

  • Top CF Manufacturers in China

10. CONCLUSION

  • Porter’s 5 Forces Analysis for the LI Market
  • Opportunity for Emerging Players and Industry Threat
  • Porter’s 5 Forces Analysis for the CF Market
  • Opportunity for Emerging Players and Threats

11. GROWTH OPPORTUNITIES AND COMPANIES TO ACTION

  • Growth Opportunity
  • Strategic Imperatives for Success and Growth

12. THE LAST WORD

  • The Last Word - 3 Key Takeaways
  • Legal Disclaimer

13. APPENDIX

  • Definitions and Abbreviations
  • Learn More - Next Steps
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  • Petrochina
  • Sinopec
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