Mobile Services in Emerging Asia–Pacific: Trends and Forecasts 2017–2022

  • ID: 4438370
  • Report
  • Region: Asia Pacific
  • 15 pages
  • Analysys Mason Group
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The researcher expects mobile service revenue in emerging Asia–Pacific (EMAP) to grow rapidly, thanks to the migration to 4G and increasing mobile data usage. The report examines key trends and drivers and provide a comprehensive mobile telecoms market forecast for the EMAP region and for six individually modelled countries.

This report and associated data annex provide:

  • a 5-year forecast of 127 mobile KPIs for emerging Asia-Pacific and for six key countries
  • an in-depth analysis of the trends, drivers and forecast assumptions for each type of mobile service, and for key countries
  • an overview of operator strategies and country-specific topics, which highlights similarities and differences between countries
  • a summary of results, key implications and recommendations for mobile operators.

Data coverage

Mobile connections

  • Handset, mobile broadband, IoT
  • Prepaid, contract
  • 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G
  • Smartphone, non-smartphone

Mobile revenue

  • Service, retail
  • Prepaid, contract
  • Handset, mobile broadband, IoT
  • Handset voice, messaging, data

Mobile ARPU

  • SIMS, handset
  • Prepaid, contract
  • Handset voice, data

Voice traffic

  • Outgoing minutes, MoU

Who Should Read This Report

  •  Market intelligence, strategy and project managers at mobile operators in EMAP.
  •  Regulatory bodies in EMAP.
  •  Financial institutions that directly invest in the telecoms sector in the region, or advise others that do so.
  •  Press and media bodies that need a foundation of knowledge of EMAP’s mobile telecoms market.
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Chapter No.
5. Executive summary
6. Telecoms total retail revenue will increase over the forecast period, but the growth rate will slow down
7. Worldwide trends
8. Worldwide: Mobile service revenue will continue to increase during the forecast period, reaching USD857 billion in 2022
9. Regional trends
10. Revenue and ARPU: Increasing subscriber numbers will offset a slight decline in ARPU, leading to stable growth in retail revenue
11. Mobile penetration: Active mobile SIM penetration in EMAP will grow from 85% in 2016 to 99% in 2022
12. Mobile connections: 4G will be the leading technology over the forecast period, accounting for 64% of mobile connections in 2022
13. Smartphones and LTE: Smartphone penetration will grow from 52% in 2016 to 81% in 2022 due to technology improvements
14. Mobile broadband: Technology migration and improvements will drive the rapid growth of mobile broadband connections
15. Mobile ARPU: Overall ARPU will fall at a CAGR of -2.2% during the forecast period, stabilising around USD5 towards the end
16. Data and revenue by generation: Mobile network construction and upgrades will drive revenue growth and boost data traffic
17. Country-level trends
18. China: Fast 4G take-up and innovative products drive cellular data usage, and 5G is expected to launch around 2020
19. Indonesia: Intensified competition will lead to more innovative product offerings and result in 4G penetration growth
20. Malaysia: Intense competition limits data revenue growth -operators focus on postpaid offerings for higher margins
21. Philippines: Intensified competition will hamper operators' profitability, and revenue growth will be marginal
22. Thailand: Improved network speeds will drive growth in 4G mobile subscriber numbers and data revenue
23. Vietnam: The number of 4G subscribers will grow exponentially after the launch of the technology in 2017
24. About the authors

List of figures
Figure 1: Telecoms retail revenue by service type and total service revenue (retail and wholesale), emerging Asia-Pacific, 2012-2022
Figure 2: Mobile service revenue in emerging Asia-Pacific and worldwide, USD (2016) billion, 2012-2022
Figure 3: Mobile retail revenue by service type, and mobile ARPU, emerging Asia-Pacific, 2012-2022
Figure 4: Mobile retail revenue by service type, mobile service revenue and growth rates, emerging Asia-Pacific, 2016-2022
Figure 5: Connections by type, and growth rates, emerging Asia-Pacific, 2016-2022
Figure 6: Active mobile SIM penetration by country (excluding IoT), emerging Asia-Pacific, 2012-2022
Figure 7: Mobile connections by technology generation (excluding M2M), and 3G, 4G and 5G's share of connections, emerging Asia-Pacific, 2012-2022
Figure 8: Smartphones as a percentage of handsets, and LTE's share of total connections (excluding M2M), emerging Asia-Pacific, 2016 and 2022
Figure 9: Mobile broadband connections by screen size and technology, emerging Asia-Pacific, 2012-2022
Figure 10: Mobile ARPU by country, emerging Asia-Pacific, 2012-2022
Figure 11: Mobile service revenue and ARPU by technology, emerging Asia-Pacific, 2012-2022
Figure 12: Data traffic and revenue per megabyte, emerging Asia-Pacific, 2012-2022
Figure 13: Mobile, smartphone and 4G/5G penetration rates, China, 2012-2022
Figure 14: Mobile ARPU by type, and mobile ARPU, China, 2012-2022
Figure 15: Summary of key mobile market drivers and assumptions, China
Figure 16: Mobile, smartphone and 4G/5G penetration rates, Indonesia, 2012-2022
Figure 17: Mobile ARPU by type, and mobile ARPU, Indonesia, 2012-2022
Figure 18: Summary of key mobile market drivers and assumptions, Indonesia
Figure 19: Mobile, smartphone and 4G/5G penetration rates, Malaysia, 2012-2022
Figure 20: Mobile ARPU by type, and mobile ARPU, Malaysia, 2012-2022
Figure 21: Summary of key mobile market drivers and assumptions, Malaysia
Figure 22: Mobile, smartphone and 4G/5G penetration rates, Philippines, 2012-2022
Figure 23: Mobile ARPU by type, and mobile ARPU, Philippines, 2012-2022
Figure 24: Summary of key mobile market drivers and assumptions, Philippines
Figure 25: Mobile, smartphone and 4G/5G penetration rates, Thailand, 2012-2022
Figure 26: Mobile ARPU by type, and mobile ARPU, Thailand, 2012-2022
Figure 27: Summary of key mobile market drivers and assumptions, Thailand
Figure 28: Mobile, smartphone and 4G/5G penetration rates, Vietnam, 2012-2022
Figure 29: Mobile ARPU by type, and mobile ARPU, Vietnam, 2012-2022
Figure 30: Summary of key mobile market drivers and assumptions, Vietnam

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  •     China
  •     Indonesia
  •     Malaysia
  •     Philippines
  •     Thailand
  •     Vietnam
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