The Annual PVC Roofline Industry Market & Forecasts to 2020

  • ID: 4454864
  • Report
  • Region: Ireland, United Kingdom
  • 78 Pages
  • D&G Consulting
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It Is Not Good News for the Roofline Industry where Much of the Activity is Dependent Upon Housing Improvement - Both Private and Public

This edition substantially follows the format of previous years with the past year set out in detail from PVC profile throughput through to estimated volumes of roofline products. Outputs by companies producing cellular foam profile are set out in the report. Also set out are details of imports and exports.

Following on from the review of the past year are construction industry and economic forecasts that provide the basis for the three year forecasts for roofline products in total and by sector.

All our forecasts are detailed and use economic and other forecast information from reliable sources to put our report for the industry together.

The demand for quality market information and forecasts by systems companies, their suppliers and stockists is no less crucial now than in the depths of the recession. The consumer is changing - their expectations for quality, innovation and value are increasing.

Each year we state that understanding the full implications of changes imposed upon the industry is crucial. Reviewing strategy to take account of them is especially crucial. At the same time, although some trends are highly visible, others are like floating icebergs - difficult to see, yet potentially hazardous. Discussions with companies throughout the supply chain make it clear that an up to date understanding of the market and its behaviour, helps them forecast and prepare for change.

Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown
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Part 1: Introduction and Summary

1. Introduction & Summary
1.1 Introduction
1.2 Details of 2017 Edition
1.3 Research Method

2. Summary

Part 2: PVC-U Cellular Foam Profile

3. UK & ROI PVC Cellular Foam Profile Production
3.1 Total UK & ROI PVC Compound Input
3.2 Profile Throughput

4. Imports & Exports
4.1 UK Imports
4.2 UK Exports
4.3 ROI Imports
4.4 ROI Exports

5. UK & ROI Production & Demand
5.1 Introduction
5.2 UK Cellular Foam Profile Production
5.3 UK Cellular Foam Profile Demand
5.4 ROI Cellular Foam Profile Production
5.5 ROI Cellular foam Profile Demand
5.6 Summary UK & ROI Production, Demand & Export Volumes

6. Prices
6.1 Profile Prices - Cellular Foam Profile

7. Summary Balance of Supply & Demand

Part 3: PVC Twin Wall Hollow Soffit

8. PVC Twin Wall Hollow Soffit Profile
8.1 Total Volume
8.2 Product Prices
 
Part 4: PVC Rainwater Products

9. PVC Rainwater Products
9.1 Introduction
9.2 Total Volume
9.3 Volumes by Market Sector

10. Summary PVC Roofline Product Volumes

Part 5: Construction Industry & Economic Forecasts

11. Construction Forecasts
11.1 Construction Industry Outlook
11.2 House Building
11.3 Non Residential Construction
11.4 Housing Repair Maintenance & Improvement

12. Economic Outlook

Part 6: Roofline Products Forecasts to

13. Cellular Foam Profile Volume Forecasts UK & ROI
13.1 UK House Building Cellular Foam Profile Volumes
13.2 UK Housing improvement Cellular Foam Profile Volumes
13.3 UK Home Extension Cellular Foam Profile Volumes
13.4 UK Non Housing Construction Cellular Foam Profile Volumes
13.5 UK Window Related Cellular Foam Profile Volumes
13.6 Total UK Cellular Foam Profile Volumes
13.7 ROI Cellular Foam Profile Volume Forecasts
13.8 Combined UK & ROI Cellular foam Profile Forecasts

14. PVC Twin Wall Hollow Soffit Volume Forecast

15. PVC Rainwater Product Volume Forecast - UK & ROI
15.1 House Building PVC-U Rainwater Product Volumes
15.2 Housing Improvement PVC Rainwater Product Volumes
15.3 PVC Rainwater Product Volumes for Conservatories
15.4 Total PVC Rainwater Product Volumes
 
16. Summary PVC Roofline Product Volumes

Part 7: Market Size & Values - Roofline Products

17. Market Size & Values - Roofline Products
17.1 Introduction
17.2 Market Size - tonnes
17.3 Market Value Ex Producer (Systems Company)
17.4 Average Producer Product Prices

Part 8: Industry Structures and Players

18. Industry Structure - History, Developments & Players
18.1 Industry Structure
18.3 Systems Companies Current & Past
18.4 Importers of Roofline Products
 
List of Tables:
1 Summary Cellular Foam Compound Input
2 Systems Companies Volume throughput
3 Systems Companies Share of Volume Throughput
4 Summary Cellular Foam Companies Year on Year Growth
5 UK Imports of Cellular Foam Profile
6 UK Exports of Cellular Foam Profile
7 ROI Imports of Cellular Foam Profile
8 ROI Exports of Cellular Foam Profile
9 UK Systems Companies Production Volumes & Variances
10 UK Systems Companies Demand Volumes
11 ROI Systems Companies Production Volumes
12 ROI Systems Companies Demand Volumes
13 Supply & Demand Balance for Cellular Foam Profile
14 Twin Wall Hollow Soffit Volumes
15 PVC Rainwater Product Volumes
16 Comparison of PVC Roofline Product Volumes
17 Housing Construction Output Value
18 Forecasts for Housing Construction
19 Non Residential, Industrial & Commercial Output
20 Housing Repair Maintenance & Improvement
21 Forecast Economic Indicators
22 Total UK Cellular Foam Profile Volumes
23 ROI Cellular Foam Profile Volumes
24 Combined UK & ROI Cellular Foam Profile Forecasts
25 Twin Wall Hollow Soffit Volumes
26 Total PVC Rainwater Product Volumes
27 Volumes of PVC Roofline Products
28 Value of PVC Roofline Products
29 Estimated Product Prices - £ per tonne

List of Charts:
ES1 Total PVC Roofline Volume Produced by Product Line
ES2 Annual Volume of Cellular Foam Profile Produced in the UK & ROI
ES3 Forecast PVC Roofline Products Consumption
ES4 PVC Roofline Product Volumes by Product Line
ES5 Market Value for Roofline Products
1 Summary Cellular Foam Compound Throughput
2 Cellular Foam Profile Output
3 Cellular Foam Compound Output by Systems Company
4 Summary UK & ROI Production, Consumption & Export Volumes
5 Prices per tonne for Cellular Foam Profile
6 Volume and Value Growth
7 Twin Wall Hollow Soffit Volumes
8 PVC Rainwater Product Volumes
9 Total PVC Rainwater Product Volumes by Sector
10 Total PVC Rainwater Product Volumes by Sector - 2016
11 Rainwater Routes to Market Summary
12 Summary Total PVC Roofline Product Volumes
13 Comparison of PVC Roofline Volumes
14 Comparison Private & Public Housing Construction Output
15 Forecast Housing Construction
16 Non-Residential, Industrial & Commercial Construction Output
17 Forecast Housing Repair Maintenance & Improvement
18 Comparison Key UK Economic Indicators
19 UK Volume Cellular Foam Profile for New House Building
20 UK Volume Cellular Foam Profile for Housing Improvement
21 Home Extension Cellular Foam Profile Volume
22 Non Residential Construction Cellular Foam Profile Volumes
23 Window Related Cellular Foam Volumes
24 Total UK Cellular Foam Profile
25 UK Cellular Foam Profile Volumes by Sector
26 ROI Cellular Foam Forecast Volume
27 UK & ROI Cellular Foam Profile Forecasts
28 Twin Wall Hollow Soffit Volumes
29 New House Build PVC Rainwater Product Volumes
30 Housing Improvement PVC Rainwater Product Volumes
31 PVC Rainwater Product Volumes in Conservatories
32 Total PVC Rainwater Product Volumes
33 Total PVC Rainwater Product Volumes
34 Summary Total PVC Roofline Product Volumes
35 Comparison of PVC Roofline Product volumes
36 Demand for PVC Roofline Products 2016
37 Volumes of PVC Roofline Products
38 Volumes of PVC Roofline Products
39 Value of PVC Roofline Products
40 Values of PVC Roofline Products
41 Comparison Volumes and Values of PVC Roofline Products

Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown
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This 2017 Annual PVC Roofline Industry Report and Forecast, published a year after the UK referendum that resulted in the decision to leave the EU and a few months after Article 50 of the Lisbon Treaty (the mechanism to start the process to terminate membership of the EU) was triggered by the UK government. Additionally the UK was subjected to a snap general election that unexpectedly resulted in a hung parliament.

It is fair to say the UK consumer by-and-large, so far, has ignored the immediate effects of the two events and continued to drive strong household expenditure. This was in the face of weaker rises in investment and government expenditure. This has resulted in some growth in the roofline industries

However more challenging times lie ahead for consumers, and it is consumer spending that the window and door industry largely depends upon for home improvement. Rising inflation is set to erode real disposable income leading to household spending retrenchment. Even the EY Item Club in their summer economic forecast say “the immediate outlook has darkened”. On the plus side the forecasters are bullish on house building over the forecast period in the light of the current drive to increase supply. But housing construction still lags behind the pent up demand for homes

Experian in their Summer Construction Forecast are projecting little growth over the forecast period. New housing construction growing between 3% and 5% per annum performing much better than RMI (repair, maintenance and improvement) where no growth is expected. There is no reason to believe the roofline industry will buck the trend of low growth. Our forecast for growth in demand is therefore essentially flat over the forecast period.

Immediately post the EU referendum there was downward pressure on sterling which has persisted. Sterling weakened against the US Dollar, Euro and other currencies that are important to the wider construction industry due to components and raw materials being imported. This has result in many important components including polymer increasing in cost as forward purchases of currency runs out. However, companies in the industry need to rebuild margins that have received a battering as a result of the fall in value of sterling post the Brexit referendum. There is some exports of roofline products to mainland Europe, although entry to new markets abroad are difficult to set up we do expect volumes to grow in the next few years.

The roofline industry is not insulated from the effects of the wider economy. The ITEM Club have forecast that consumer spending will go into reverse and fixed investment will also decline in 2017 - this despite interest rates at or close to 0%. However, there are headwinds facing the consumer - average earnings are expected to increase by 3.4% in 2017 but prices are forecast to rise by only 2.5%. Additionally inflation is on the increase. The result of which is to put the brakes on the wider construction industry and in turn the UK roofline industry. Post the long period of austerity in the Republic of Ireland (ROI) the economy is on the uplift, however, the Economic and Social Research Institute said “the Irish consumer sentiment is broadly positive but brittle”.

However, post the Brexit decision the slower economic growth over the forecast period will inevitably affect construction activity particularly on the private side, with demand now projected for the next three years to be essentially flat. These growth projections are so small in percentage terms that any hic-up with the value of sterling and/or acrimonious and drawn out Brexit negotiations could cause the industry to go into reverse.

The less buoyant economic outlook is likely to impact private housing Improvement (RMI) activity and activity in the sector in the UK could now largely stagnate over the forecast period. This is not good news for the roofline industry where much of the activity is dependent upon housing improvement - both private and public. However, the expectancy in the ROI is to experience some modest growth year on year.

Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown
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This report concentrates on the PVC cellular foam, twin wall hollow soffit and rainwater building products markets in the UK and the Republic of Ireland. It combines information from extensive personal meetings and telephone interviews with companies in the UK and Ireland. These were carried out during the first half of 2017. Additionally information has been obtained from published company reports, business journals, web sites, official Government statistics and a number of other surveys.

Much of the information has been provided to us in detail and on a confidential basis, such that we are able to use it to compile the trends and build up a model of the industry but without revealing the sources of data.

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Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown
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