Mobile Services in the Middle East and North Africa: Trends and Forecasts 2017-2022 Based on 2Q 2017 Data

  • ID: 4489583
  • Report
  • Region: Africa, Middle East, North Africa
  • 13 pages
  • Analysys Mason Group
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The total retail revenue will see a slight increase as mobile data growth offsets declining revenue from voice and messaging.

This report examines the key trends and drivers, and provides telecoms market forecasts for mobile communication services the Middle East and North Africa (MENA). It includes worldwide context and commentary on six key countries: Iran, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates (UAE).

This report provides:

  • a 5-year forecast of 127 mobile KPIs for the MENA region and for six key countries
  • an in-depth analysis of the trends, drivers and forecast assumptions for each type of mobile service, and for six key countries
  • an overview of operator strategies and country-specific topics, highlighting similarities and differences between countries
  • a summary of results, key implications and recommendations for mobile operators.

Data coverage

Mobile connections

  • Handset, mobile broadband,1 IoT2
  • Prepaid, contract
  • 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G
  • Smartphone, non-smartphone

Mobile revenue

  • Service, 3 retail
  • Prepaid, contract
  • Handset, mobile broadband,1 IoT2
  • Handset voice, messaging, data

Mobile ARPU

  • SIMs, handset
  • Prepaid, contract
  • Handset voice, data

Voice traffic

  • Outgoing minutes, MoU
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Chapter Number:
5. Executive summary
6. The telecoms service market in MENA will grow to USD72.1 billion in 2022, amidst increased competition and challenging operating conditions
7. Worldwide trends
8. Worldwide: mobile service revenue will continue to grow throughout the forecast period
9. Regional trends
10. The total retail revenue will increase slightly as mobile data growth offsets declining revenue from voice and messaging
11. Mobile: LTE take-up is accelerating in several markets; this is contributing to traffic growth, but also slowing down ARPU drop
12. Mobile: maturing markets and enforced SIM registration policies have led to a subscriber base contraction in some countries
13. Mobile: growth in demand for data services and migration to postpaid connections will help to reduce the rate of decline of ARPU
14. Mobile: data revenue will help to offset the slowdown in legacy services growth revenue and the plateauing of mobile penetration
15. Country-level trends
16. Iran: 4G services and the entry of MVNOs will underpin growth
17. Kuwait: mobile market growth will be hampered by market saturation
18. Oman: OTT substitution will continue to erode revenue for legacy services while driving rapid growth in data
19. Qatar: the market retains its potential for growth thanks to its strong economy which appears resilient to continued sanctions
20. Saudi Arabia: growing demand for data combined with improved coverage will partly offset the declining subscriber base
21. UAE: a strong economy will continue to drive growth in the mobile market despite diminishing returns from data services
22. About the authors

List of figures:
Figure 1: Telecoms retail revenue by service type and total service revenue, Middle East and North Africa, 2012–2022
Figure 2: Mobile service revenue by location, Middle East and North Africa and worldwide, 2012–2022
Figure 3: Telecoms retail revenue by mobile service type, and mobile ARPU, Middle East and North Africa, 2012–2022
Figure 4: Telecoms retail revenue and growth rates by mobile service type, Middle East and North Africa, 2016–2022
Figure 5: Connections and growth rates by type, Middle East and North Africa, 2016–2022
Figure 6: Mobile connections by generation, Middle East and North Africa (million), 2012–2022
Figure 7: Mobile ARPU by type, Middle East and North Africa (USD per month), 2012–2022
Figure 8: Contract share of mobile connections (excluding IoT), Middle East and North Africa, 2012–2022
Figure 9: Mobile data traffic per connection, Middle East and North Africa (MB per month), 2012–2022
Figure 10a: Mobile penetration by country, Middle East and North Africa, 2012–2022
Figure 10b: Mobile penetration by country, Middle East and North Africa, 2012–2022
Figure 11a: Mobile ARPU by country, Middle East and North Africa, 2012–2022
Figure 11b: Mobile ARPU by country, Middle East and North Africa, 2012–2022
Figure 12: Mobile ARPU, Iran (IRR thousand per month), 2012–2022
Figure 13: Mobile connections by type, Iran (million), 2012–2022
Figure 14: Mobile ARPU, Kuwait (KWD per month), 2012–2022
Figure 15: Mobile connections by type, Kuwait (million), 2012–2022
Figure 16: Mobile ARPU, Oman (OMR per month), 2012–2022
Figure 17: Mobile connections by type, Oman (million), 2012–2022
Figure 18: Mobile ARPU, Qatar (QAR per month), 2012–2022
Figure 19: Mobile connections by type, Qatar (million), 2012–2022
Figure 20: Mobile ARPU, Saudi Arabia (SAR per month), 2012–2022
Figure 21: Mobile connections by type, Saudi Arabia (million), 2012–2022
Figure 22: Mobile ARPU, UAE (AED per month), 2012–2022
Figure 23: Mobile connections by type, UAE (million), 2012–2022

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Countries modelled individually

  • Algeria
  • Egypt
  • Iran
  • Iraq
  • Israel
  • Kuwait
  • Morocco
  • Oman
  • Qatar
  • Saudi Arabia
  • Tunisia
  • United Arab Emirates (UAE)

Detailed country commentary

  • Iran
  • Kuwait
  • Oman
  • Qatar
  • Saudi Arabia
  • United Arab Emirates (UAE)
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