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World Graphic Papers: 5 Year Market Outlook

  • ID: 4539835
  • Report
  • November 2019
  • Region: Global
  • 119 Pages
  • EMGE & Co.
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The World Graphic Papers reports (WGP) are published twice per annum (in Spring and Autumn).

The reports provide a unique and comprehensive database of world markets, assessing the current situation and the 5-year market outlook for the complete range of papers across all regions of the world.

The aim of the reports is to provide an objective outlook of the prospects for world paper markets - i.e. Coated Woodfree, Uncoated Woodfree, Coated Mechanical and Uncoated Mechanical. Detailed information on Newsprint markets is available separately, in our companion report; World Newsprint Markets.

The WGP report provides revised and updated forecasts of Demand, Trade, Output, Capacity, Operating Rates and Paper Prices for each grade. All countries and regions are covered to provide a comprehensive global and local demand-supply balance. The forecast timescale is five years from the base year.

Forecasts are grouped by region, as follows:

  • West Europe (EU, Norway and Switzerland)
  • North America (USA & Canada)
  • Japan
  • China/Hong Kong
  • Other Asia (All Asia and Oceania except Japan, China, Hong Kong & Middle East)
  • Other Europe (East Europe/Russia, Greece, Iceland, etc)
  • Latin America
  • Africa/ME (All Africa & Middle East including Turkey & Israel)

Individual country data are provided.

In order to assess the impact of increasing consolidation and changing industry structure, the report provides detailed rankings of Leading Suppliers, by grade, region and total. At the request of our clients, these tables have been extended to give regional, as well as grade summaries and we publish ad-hoc updates for subscribers.

We continually update our global databases and incorporate the latest market and economic statistics.

Additionally, we compile detailed analysis of capacity changes and investments, as well as M&A activity. As a result, each report contains the most up-to-date information available.

As well as a comprehensive collection of market data, great care has been taken to assess machine capacity in detail. The capacity data used only includes announced, financed and confirmed plans (i.e. numerous published plans which are unlikely to be commissioned are excluded from analysis), but the report provides additional information on all announced plans, so that readers can assess their own scenarios.

Furthermore, we have incorporated new research into the Herfindahl-Hirschman Index, which is an index based on market shares which is used by the Authorities to gauge the levels of concentration in an industry. We have applied this index to the Paper Industry and coined the term the Pi-HHi (pronounced “pie-high”).

Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown
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Introduction

Autumn 2019 - Recent Events

Headline Forecasts

Forecast Summary

1. Demand
1.1. Demand: Forecast Cycle
1.2. Demand: Regional Focus
1.3. Demand: Demand Drivers

2. Trade

3. Supply
3.1. Supply Data - Base Capacity
3.2. Supply Data - Forecast Capacity
3.3. Machine Closures (Base Capacity)
3.4. Machine Investments (Base Capacity)
3.5. Individual Machine Investment Plans

4. Supply-Demand Balance
4.1. Forecast Capacity Operating Ratios - Global Pr/Wr

5. Leading Suppliers - 2019
5.1. Leading Suppliers - Printing & Writing
5.2. Leading Suppliers - Coated Woodfree Papers
5.3. Leading Suppliers - Uncoated Woodfree Papers
5.4. Leading Suppliers - Coated Mechanical
5.5. Leading Suppliers - Uncoated Mechanical
5.6. Leading Suppliers - Coated Papers
5.7. Leading Suppliers - Woodfree Papers
5.8. Leading Suppliers - Magazine Paper Suppliers
5.9. Leading Suppliers - N.America
5.10. Leading Suppliers - Europe
5.11. Leading Suppliers - Rest of the World
5.12. Leading Suppliers - Total World
5.13. Notes on Leading Suppliers

6. Coated Woodfree - Forecasts
6.1. Demand - Coated Woodfree
6.2. Trade flows - Coated Woodfree
6.3. Output - Coated Woodfree
6.4. Capacity Assumptions - Coated Woodfree
6.5. Capacity and Operating Rates - Coated Woodfree

7. Uncoated Woodfree - Forecasts
7.1. Demand - Uncoated Woodfree
7.2. Trade flows - Uncoated Woodfree
7.3. Output - Uncoated Woodfree
7.4. Capacity Assumptions - Uncoated Woodfree
7.5. Capacity and Operating Rates - Uncoated Woodfree

8. Coated Mechanical - Forecasts
8.1. Demand - Coated Mechanical
8.2. Trade flows - Coated Mechanical
8.3. Output - Coated Mechanical
8.4. Capacity Assumptions - Coated Mechanical
8.5. Capacity and Operating Rates - Coated Mechanical

9. Unc. Mechanical - Forecasts
9.1. Demand - Uncoated Mechanical
9.2. Trade flows - Uncoated Mechanical
9.3. Output - Uncoated Mechanical
9.4. Capacity Assumptions - Uncoated Mechanical
9.5. Capacity and Operating Rates - Uncoated Mechanical

10. Newsprint - Forecasts

11. Country Data World-wide
11.1. Country Data Worldwide, Coated Woodfree
11.2. Country Data Worldwide, Uncoated Woodfree
11.3. Country Data Worldwide, Coated Mechanical
11.4. Country Data Worldwide, Uncoated Mechanical

12. Supply Outlook

Appendices - Pr&Wr Papers
A.1.1. Demand, Trade, Output and Capacity Forecasts, Pr/Wr 107
A.1.2. Capacity Assumptions - Pr/Wr Papers
A.1.3. Capacity and Operating Rates - Pr/&Wr Papers
A.1.4. Country Data Worldwide, Total Pr/Wr

List of Figures
1. World P&W Paper Demand vs.OECD Leading Indicators 1
2. Global Pr/Wr Paper Demand Growth
3. Global Paper Prices (2017-19)
4. Major Pr/Wr Paper Capacity Changes Since Last Report
5. Yield Curves (Annual) - USA
6. Yield Curves (Monthly) - Germany, UK & USA
7. Global GDP Forecast
8. North American PMI
9. Economic Sentiment
10. Global Paper Market Summary
11. Historical World Paper Demand
12. Global Pr/Wr Paper Demand Growth
13. Global Pr/Wr Paper Demand by Region
14. Demand Forecast, World by Region, Total Pr/Wr
15. Global Printer Shipments
16. Chinese Book Circulation
17. Trade - World Pr/Wr Net Exports by Region
18. Printing & Writing Paper Capacity Cuts
19. Capacity Growth Trends - Base Capacity
20. Base Capacity by Region
21. Capacity - Unspecified Changes (Pr/Wr Papers)
22. Capacity Forecast Changes, by Region - Pr/Wr Papers
23. Forecast Capacity Growth, World, by Grade
24. Global Pr/Wr Paper Machines Closures
25. Global Pr/Wr Paper Machines Investments
26. Investment Listing - Coated Woodfree
27. Investment Listing - Uncoated Woodfree
28. Investment Listing - Coated Mechanical
29. Investment Listing - Uncoated Mechanical
30. Operating Rates, Forecast vs. Base, Pr/Wr Papers
31. Forecast Operating Rates, World, by Grade
32. Forecast Operating Rates, by Region, Pr/Wr Papers
33. Top 5 Pr/Wr Paper Suppliers - 1990 vs. 2000 vs. 2019 33
34. Leading Suppliers - 2019 Capacity, Printing and Writing 34
35. Leading Pr/Wr Paper Suppliers - World and Regions
36. Leading Suppliers - 2019 Capacity, Coated Woodfree Papers 36
37. Leading Ctd W’dfree Paper Suppliers - World and Regions 37
38. Leading Suppliers - 2019 Capacity, Unc. Woodfree Papers 38
39. Leading Unc. W’dfree Suppliers - World and Regions
40. Leading Suppliers - 2019 Capacity, Coated Mech.
41. Leading Ctd Mechanical Suppliers - World and Regions 41
42. Leading Suppliers - 2019 Capacity, Unc. Mech.
43. Leading Unc. Mech. Suppliers - World and Regions
44. Leading Suppliers - 2019 Capacity, Total Coated
45. Leading Coated Paper Suppliers - World and Regions
46. Leading Suppliers - 2019 Capacity, Woodfree Papers
47. Leading Woodfree Paper Suppliers - World and Regions 47
48. Leading Suppliers - 2019 Capacity, Magazine Papers
49. Leading Magazine Paper Suppliers - World and Regions 49
50. Leading Paper Suppliers - N.America
51. Leading Paper Suppliers - Europe
52. Leading Paper Suppliers - Rest of the World
53. Leading Paper Suppliers - Total
54. Notes on Leading Suppliers
55. Demand Forecast, World by Region, Coated Woodfree
56. Trade Forecast, World by Region, Coated Woodfree
57. Output Forecast, World by Region, Coated Woodfree
58. World Demand-Supply, Coated Woodfree
59. Capacity Assumptions, Coated Woodfree
60. Operating Rates, Forecast vs. Base, Ctd. W’dfree
61. Base Capacity, by Region, Coated Woodfree
62. Base Operating Rates, by Region, Coated Woodfree
63. Forecast Capacity, by Region, Ctd Woodfree
64. Forecast Operating Rates, by Region, Ctd. W’dfree
65. Demand Forecast, World by Region, Unc. W’dfree
66. Trade Forecast, World by Region, Unc. W’dfree
67. Output Forecast, World by Region, Unc. W’dfree
68. World Demand-Supply, Uncoated Woodfree
69. Capacity Assumptions, Uncoated Woodfree
70. Operating Rates, Forecast vs. Base, Unc. W’dfree
71. Base Capacity, by Region, Unc. W’dfree
72. Base Operating Rates, by Region, Unc. W’dfree
73. Forecast Capacity, by Region, Unc. W’dfree
74. Forecast Operating Rates, by Region, Unc. W’dfree
75. Demand Forecast, World by Region, Ctd Mechanical
76. Trade Forecast, World by Region, Ctd Mechanical
77. Output Forecast, World by Region, Ctd Mechanical
78. World Demand-Supply, Coated Mechanical
79. Capacity Assumptions, Coated Mechanical
80. Operating Rates, Forecast vs. Base, Ctd Mech.
81. Base Capacity, by Region, Ctd Mechanical
82. Base Operating Rates, by Region, Ctd Mechanical
83. Forecast Capacity, by Region, Ctd Mech.
84. Forecast Operating Rates, by Region, Ctd Mech.
85. Demand Forecast, World by Region, Unc. Mech.
86. Trade Forecast, World by Region, Unc. Mech.
87. Output Forecast, World by Region, Unc. Mech.
88. World Demand-Supply, Uncoated Mechanical
89. Capacity Assumptions, Uncoated Mechanical
90. Operating Rates, Forecast vs. Base, Unc. Mech.
91. Base Capacity, by Region, Unc. Mech.
92. Base Operating Rates, by Region, Unc. Mech.
93. Forecast Capacity, by Region, Unc. Mech.
94. Forecast Operating Rates, by Region, Unc. Mech.
95. Demand, Trade, Output & Capacity by Country, CWF
96. Demand, Trade, Output & Capacity, Unc. Woodfree Papers 85
97. Demand, Trade, Output & Capacity, Coated Mech.
98. Demand, Trade, Output & Capacity, Uncoated Mech.
99. Capacity Changes by Country, Coated Woodfree Papers
100. Capacity Changes by Country, Unc. W’dfree Papers
101. Capacity Changes by Country, Coated Mech.
102. Capacity Changes by Country, Unc. Mech.
103. Capacity Forecast Changes, by Region - CWF
104. Capacity Forecast Changes, by Region - UWF
105. Capacity Forecast Changes, by Region - CM
106. Capacity Forecast Changes, by Region - UM
107. Capacity Forecast Changes, by Region - Coated
108. Capacity Forecast Changes, by Region - PW Papers
109. Demand Forecast, World by Region, Total Pr/Wr
110. Trade Forecast, World by Region, Total Pr/Wr
111. Output Forecast, World by Region, Total Pr/Wr
112. World Demand-Supply, Pr/Wr Papers
113. Capacity Assumptions, Pr/Wr Papers
114. Operating Rates, Forecast vs. Base, Pr/Wr Papers
115. Base Capacity, by Region, Pr/Wr Papers
116. Base Operating Rates, by Region, Pr/Wr Papers
117. Forecast Capacity, by Region, Pr/Wr Papers
118. Forecast Operating Rates, by Region, Pr/Wr Papers
119. Demand, Trade, Output & Capacity, Total Pr/Wr

Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown
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