France’s population reached 67.1m in 2017. The author expects the country’s population to increase to 68.3m by the end of 2022, driven by higher birth rates than deaths, an increase in average life expectancy and immigration.
France’s nominal GDP crossed US$2.5 trillion in 2017, which is the third-largest value for a country in Europe. The author expects the country’s nominal GDP to grow at a CAGR of over 4% over 2017-2022 to reach $3.1 trillion by year-end 2022.The purchasing power parity (PPP)-adjusted GDP per capita of France crossed $42,000 in 2017 and will grow to about $49,000 by the end of 2022 at a CAGR of 3.5% over 2017-2022.
Annual real GDP growth in France will increase from 1.6% in 2017 to 1.7% in 2018 and then average 1.8% over 2019-2022, driven by an ongoing cyclical upswing in the euro zone and continued domestic demand momentum, propelled by strong private consumption.
The total telecom and pay-TV services revenue in France will increase from €34.0bn ($38.4bn) in 2017 to €37.6bn ($44.2bn) by the end of 2022, at a CAGR of 2% in € (2.8% in $), mainly driven by the mobile data and fixed broadband segments.Mobile data revenue will increase from €8.6bn ($9.7bn) in 2017 to €12bn ($14.1bn) by the end of 2022 at a fast CAGR of 7.0% in € (7.9% in $).Fixed broadband revenue contributed to the largest share of total revenue registered in 2017 (29.8%). Fixed broadband revenue will grow at a CAGR of 5.4% in € (6.3% in $) over 2017-2022 to reach €13.2bn ($15.5bn) in 2022 driven by the rising adoption of, and migration to, higher-priced ultrafast VDSL2 and FTTx services, backed by fiber-optic network expansions by all operators.
France’s pay-TV market will decline at a CAGR of -1.4% in € (-0.6% in $) over 2017-2022 given the decline in DTH and cable subscriptions and discounts on convergent bundled offerings with pay-TV access.
The report "France: Country Intelligence Report", provides an executive-level overview of the telecommunications market in France today, with detailed forecasts of key indicators up to 2022. Published annually, the report provides detailed analysis of the near-term opportunities, competitive dynamics and evolution of demand by service type and technology/platform across the fixed telephony, broadband, mobile and pay-TV segments, as well as a review of key regulatory trends.
The report provides an in-depth analysis of the following:
- Demographic and macroeconomic context in France.
- The regulatory environment and trends: a review of the regulatory setting and agenda for the next 18-24 months as well as relevant developments pertaining to spectrum licensing, national broadband plans, tariff regulation and more.
- Telecom and pay-TV services market outlook: analysis as well as historical figures and forecasts of service revenue from the fixed telephony, broadband, mobile voice, mobile data and pay-TV markets.
- The competitive landscape: an examination of the positioning of leading players in the telecom and pay-TV services market as well as subscription market shares across segments.
- Company snapshots: analysis of the financial position of leading service providers in the telecommunications and pay-TV markets.
- Underlying assumptions behind our published base-case forecasts, as well as potential market developments that would alter, either positively or negatively, our base-case outlook.
- The overall telecom and pay-TV services revenue in France will grow at a CAGR of 2% in terms of € (2.8% in $) during 2017-2022.
- Mobile revenue will account for 54.1% of the total telecom and pay-TV services revenue in 2022, driven by increasing adoption of 4G services.
- Orange France leads France’s mobile market in terms of mobile subscriptions for 2017, followed by Numericable-SFR, Free, Bouygue Telecom and La Poste Mobile among others. To consolidate its position in the mobile market, Orange France plans to cover 99% of the population by the end of 2018 and also to focus on expanding its LTE-A network.
- This Country Intelligence Report offers a thorough, forward-looking analysis of France’s telecommunications markets, service providers and key opportunities in a concise format to help executives build proactive and profitable growth strategies.
- Accompanying the author’s Forecast products, the report examines the assumptions and drivers behind ongoing and upcoming trends in France’s mobile communications, fixed telephony, broadband markets, including the evolution of service provider market shares.
- With more than 20 charts and tables, the report is designed for an executive-level audience, boasting presentation quality.
- The report provides an easily digestible market assessment for decision-makers built around in-depth information gathered from local market players, which enables executives to quickly get up to speed with the current and emerging trends in France’s telecommunications markets.
- The broad perspective of the report coupled with comprehensive, actionable detail will help operators, equipment vendors and other telecom industry players succeed in the challenging telecommunications market in France.
- Market highlights
- Demographic, macroeconomic and regulatory context
- Demographic and macroeconomic context
- Regulatory context
- Telecom and pay-TV services market outlook
- Total telecom service revenue
- Mobile services market
- Fixed services market
- Pay-TV services market
- Competitive landscape and company snapshots
- Competitive landscape
- Orange France
- Bouygues Telecom
- Additional resources
- Baseline forecast assumptions
- Data tables
- Research methodology
- About the authors
- Country Intelligence Report coverage