Winter Loosens its Grip: North America Power and Renewables Short Term Outlook January 2018

  • ID: 4542541
  • Report
  • Region: America, North America, United States
  • Wood Mackenzie
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After the first two weeks of 2018 offered a stronger start for demand, it has proved more normal since then as temperatures improved the last several weeks in January. Gains in power demand the last part of January and into February have been more muted versus same time last year. Still, with any year on year demand losses limited mostly to the WECC, eastern markets have seen stronger year on year power demand growth overall. In ERCOT, it appears that the market is beginning to see increasing pricing behavior since the recent round of coal plant retirements began to be implemented, as prices spiked on a number of occasions last month. Elsewhere, prices began to ease corresponding to the lessening of winter conditions.
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  • Executive summary
  • Fundamentals
  • Northeast basis looks to normalize
  • Generation balances and prices
  • Demand
  • Supply
  • Prices
  • Demand
  • Supply
  • Prices
  • Scenario Overview
  • Figure 5: North American power generation balances and fuel prices
Tables and charts

Images
  • Figure 1: Changes in Eastern power market fundamentals (Relative to December 2017 STO)
  • Figure 2: Relative changes in Eastern markets’ power price metrics (Relative to December 2017 STO)
  • Figure 3: Changes in WECC power market fundamentals (Relative to December 2017 STO)
  • Figure 4: Relative changes in WECC markets’ power price metrics (Relative to December 2017 STO)
Tables
  • Scenario Overview: Table 1
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