Aircraft Economic Life Summit 2018 (Dublin, Ireland - November 20, 2018)

  • ID: 4581993
  • Conference
  • Location: Dublin, Ireland
  • 1 Day
  • Everest Events
  • Conference Dates: November 20, 2018
OFF
until Oct 07th 2018
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This course will provide the latest findings for both aviation specialists and for new entrants to commercial aviation.

Highlights:

  • How have Fleet Dynamics changed in the last 5 years?
  • Why demand will continue to outstrip supply & uphold useful lives
  • The retirement cycle-the stats that matter
  • How is the increase in widebody lease return being managed
  • How to keep older aircraft flying - what are the issues?
  • Maintenance costs are becoming more critical in the ‘keep or part out’ decision - appraisers explain why
  • Which engine types are in demand and which are falling out of favour
  • Are import age restrictions changing? If so, how many aircraft are affected & what does this mean for economic lives and values
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08.00 Registration & Tea/Coffee

08.45 Chairman's Remarks - State of the Industry

09.00 Market Overview - Fleet Danamics in the last 5 years - how have views on economic life changed?

Moderator: Dick Forsberg, Head of Strategy, Avolon

Konrad Blocher, Goshawk

Bert Van Leeuwen. MD, DVB Bank SE

Speakers tba - Presentations

  • The Narrowbody Market - key events and influences
  • The Widebody Market - what events are shaping their future?
  • The regional Market - its all action at the jet end - but what about the turboprops?

10.00 the 'Peak Production' Debate - the impact on economic lives  

Moderator: Steven Van der Stichele, Model Ownership & Methodologies, Barclays

Shane Matthews, Head of Strategic & Market Analysis, SMBC Aviation Capital

Other speaker tba

  • Two experts provide argument and counter argument
  • Why current and anticipated production rates will reduce the economic lives of older aircraft
  • Why demand will continue to outstrip supply & uphold useful lives

10.45 Refreshment Break

11.15 The Aviation Cycles

Moderator tba

Rob Morris, Global Head of Consultancy, FlightAscend Consultancy

Ed Hansom, Chief Investment Officer, Sirius Aviation Capital

  • The retirement cycle - the states that matter
  • Oil price - where is the price likely to head next and what does this mean for economic lives?
  • The Conversion cycle the Freighter bounceback is underway. Which types will benefit and which ones will miss out?

12.00 The Secondary Market - Presentations

Moderator: Martin Browne, VP Commercial EMEA, Aergo Capital

Mark Lapidus, CEO, Amedeo

Stuart Flaye, Senior Consultant, Advisory, Ishka

Speakers tba

  • What do recent airline failures teach us? What happened to the fleets of Air Berlin, Monarch & others - a case study.
  • The increase in widebody lease returns - how are they being managed?
  • Recent portfolio trading activity has featured an increasing percentage of older equipment - how does this influence economic lives?

12.45 Luncheon

13.45 Keeping Older Aircraft Flying - What are the issues & Implications for the Secondary Market?

Moderator: tba

Bradley Gregory, Commercial Director, Air Salvage International

Speakers tba

  • What are the issues facing MRO facilities - capacity access to parts, type of work being required, rconfiguration issues.
  • What are the storage facilities seeing - more storage, more part out, or more returns to service?

14.20 Aircraft Values & Maintenance Costs - Panel Debate

Moderator: ASL Aviation Holdings

Olga Razzhivina, Senior ISTAT Appraiser, Oriel

Romain Chambard, Head of Marketing Rolls-Royce Plc

Mike Yeomans, Head of Valuations, IBA

Amit Kumar Tyagi, CIO, Acumen Aviation

  • Appraisers debate the recent movements in values of older aircraft - which are gaining and which are losing and why?
  • Maintenance costs are becoming more critical in the 'keep or part out' decsion - the appraisers explain why
  • Engine Care programmes and how they imapct on asset value - the OEM position

15.10 The Market for Engines and Spares - Panel Debate

Moderator: Bob James, MD & CEO, Aerfin Ltd

Richard Hough, EVP Technical, ELFC

David Rushe, Sales & Marketing Manager, Magellan Aviation Group

Speakers tba

  • Engine traders elaborate on the dynamics of the spare engine market
  • Which types are in demand and which are falling out of favour?
  • The spare parts market - what's hot and what's not?

16.00 Refreshment Break

16.20 Ageing Aircraft Policies - Presentations

Chris Seymour, Head of Market Analysis, Flight Ascend Consultancy

Speakers tba

  • How are various jurisdictions approaching the issue of ageing aircraft?
  • Are import age restrictions changing? How many aircraft are affected & what does this mean for economic lives and values?

16.50 The Lessor View - Panel Debate

Moderator Keith Wilson, Head of Aircraft Finance, CMS

Eamonn Cronin, Director & Chief Commercial Officer, Acumen Aviation

David Blakeney, VP Aircraft Trading, Apollo Aviation Mgmt Ltd

  • Leasing companies & Asset Managers outline their approach to managing issues surrounding aircarft economic lives and aging

17.30 Summary and Conclusion

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  • Shane Matthews Shane Matthews,
    Head of Strategic & Market Analysis ,
    SMBC Aviation Capital


  • Dick Forsberg Dick Forsberg,
    Head of Strategy ,
    Avolon


  • Bradley Gregory Bradley Gregory,
    Commercial Director ,
    Air Salvage International


  • Rob Morris Rob Morris,
    Global Head of Consultancy ,
    FlightAscend Consultancy


  • Romain Chambard Romain Chambard,
    Head of Marketing ,
    Rolls-Royce Plc


  • Bert Van Leeuwen Bert Van Leeuwen,
    MD ,
    DVB Bank SE


  • Mark Lapidus Mark Lapidus,
    CEO ,
    Amedeo


  • Stuart Flaye Stuart Flaye,
    Senior Consultant ,
    Ishka


  • Ed Hansom Ed Hansom,
    Chief Investment Officer ,
    Sirius Aviation Capital


  • Olga Razzhivina Olga Razzhivina,
    Senior ISTAT Appraiser ,
    Oriel


    Olga is one of the founders of Oriel - a ‘new’ appraisal company. Olga has over 15 years of aviation industry experience and holds a Senior ISTAT Appraiser qualification. She has been a regular speaker at the ISTAT conferences and other events. Her previous posts include Avmark where she started as an Aviation Analyst, specialising in aircraft valuations, and went on to become the editor of the Aviation Economist. At Airclaims and later Ascend Olga continued to work on aircraft and engine appraisals with emphasis on large portfolios and regional markets. Following her departure from Ascend Olga joined forces with Les Weal to establish Oriel where she carries on with appraisals and expert witness.

  • Eamonn Cronin Eamonn Cronin,
    Director & Chief Commercial Officer ,
    Acumen Aviation


  • David Rushe David Rushe,
    Magellan Aviation Group ,
    Sales & Marketing Manager


  • Chris Seymour Chris Seymour,
    Head of Market Analysis ,
    FlightAscend Consultancy


  • David Blakeney David Blakeney,
    VP Aircraft Trading ,
    Apollo Aviation Mgmt Ltd


  • Amit Kumar Tyagi Amit Kumar Tyagi,
    CIO ,
    Acumen Aviation


  • Bob James Bob James,
    MD & CEO ,
    Aerfin Ltd


  • Keith Wilson Keith Wilson,
    Head of Aircraft Finance ,
    CMS


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  • Investors
  • Operators
  • Owners
  • Financiers
  • Traders of Commercial Aircraft
  • Lawyers
  • Lessors
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ADDRESS

The Gibson Hotel
Point Village
Dublin
1
Ireland

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