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Mobile Services in Emerging Asia-Pacific: Trends and Forecasts 2018-2023

  • ID: 4622255
  • Report
  • September 2018
  • Region: Asia Pacific
  • 12 pages
  • Analysys Mason Group
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Emerging Asia-Pacific will Continue to be One of the Fastest Growing Regions in the World in Terms of Mobile Telecoms Revenue

This report examines the key trends and drivers, and provides telecoms market forecasts for mobile communication services in emerging Asia–Pacific (EMAP). It includes worldwide context and commentary on six key countries: China, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Vietnam.

This report and associated data annex provide:

  • a 5-year forecast of 156 mobile KPIs for emerging Asia–Pacific as a whole and for 12 key countries
  • an in-depth analysis of the trends, drivers and forecast assumptions for each type of mobile service, and for key countries
  • an overview of operator strategies and country-specific topics, which highlights similarities and differences by means of a cross-country comparison
  • a summary of results, key implications and recommendations for mobile operators.

Data coverage

Mobile connections

  • Handset, mobile broadband, IoT
  • Prepaid, contract
  • 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G
  • Smartphone, non-smartphone

Mobile revenue

  • Service, retail
  • Prepaid, contract
  • Handset, mobile broadband, IoT
  • Handset voice, messaging, data

Mobile ARPU

  • SIMS, handset
  • Prepaid, contract
  • Handset voice, data

Voice traffic

  • Outgoing minutes, MoU
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Chapter No. 

6. Executive summary
7. Worldwide trends
8. Worldwide: mobile handset data and next-generation access broadband services will drive telecoms retail revenue growth worldwide
9. Regional trends
10. Mobile: ARPU grew in 2016 due to increased data monetisation, but the decline seen in 2017 will continue over the forecast period
11. Mobile: penetration will continue to increase in most countries, and will only decline in Cambodia and Malaysia due to a fall in multi-SIM ownership
12. Mobile: the fall in ARPU in China caused by government guidelines on mobile data pricing will drive the fall in ARPU in the region
13. Mobile: increasing subscriber numbers and growing mobile data revenue will ensure that the overall mobile service revenue will continue to grow
14. Country-level trends
15. China: government initiatives and intervention have driven substantial growth in the market and will continue to shape growth
16. Indonesia: the competitive environment in the mobile market will become healthier due to a change in operator strategy
17. Malaysia: operator expansion into the fixed market should keep overall mobile revenue stable, despite a saturated and competitive market
18. Philippines: the end of the duopoly in the mobile segment will bring more competition to the market
19. Thailand: operators will continue to compete on network quality in the mobile market
20. Vietnam: operators continue to try to entice customers to migrate to 4G packages
21. Forecast methodology and assumptions
22. Our forecast model is supported by sound market knowledge
23. Examples of forecast input drivers
24. About the authors

List of figures
Figure 1: Telecoms and pay-TV retail revenue by type and total service revenue, emerging Asia-Pacific, 2013-2023
Figure 2: Mobile service revenue by location, emerging Asia-Pacific and worldwide, 2012-2022
Figure 3: Telecoms retail revenue by mobile service type, and mobile ARPU, emerging Asia-Pacific, 2013-2023
Figure 4: Telecoms retail revenue and growth rate by service type, emerging Asia-Pacific, 2013-2023
Figure 5: Mobile connections by type, emerging Asia-Pacific (million), 2013-2023
Figure 6a: Mobile penetration by country, emerging Asia-Pacific, 2013-2023
Figure 6b: Mobile penetration by country, emerging Asia-Pacific, 2013-2023
Figure 7a: Mobile ARPU by country, emerging Asia-Pacific, 2013-2023
Figure 7b: Mobile ARPU by country, emerging Asia-Pacific, 2013-2023
Figure 8: Mobile ARPU, China (CNY per month), 2013-2023
Figure 9: Mobile connections by type, China (billion), 2013-2023
Figure 10: Mobile ARPU, Indonesia (IDR thousand), 2013-2023
Figure 11: Mobile connections by type, Indonesia (million), 2013-2023
Figure 12: Mobile ARPU, Malaysia (MYR per month), 2013-2023
Figure 13: Mobile connections by type, Malaysia (million), 2013-2023
Figure 14: Mobile ARPU, Philippines (PHP per month), 2013-2023
Figure 15: Mobile connections by type, Philippines (million), 2013-2023
Figure 16: Mobile ARPU, Thailand (THB per month), 2013-2023
Figure 17: Mobile connections by type, Thailand (million), 2013-2023
Figure 18: Mobile ARPU, Vietnam (VND thousand per month), 2013-2023
Figure 19: Mobile connections by type, Vietnam (million), 2013-2023

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