Fixed Services in Emerging Asia-Pacific: Trends and Forecasts 2018-2023

  • ID: 4622982
  • Report
  • Region: Asia Pacific
  • 12 pages
  • Analysys Mason Group
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"As broadband penetration nears saturation point in China, the major growth in emerging Asia-Pacific will come from developing markets such as India."

Overall telecoms market revenue in emerging Asia–Pacific (EMAP) will grow at a CAGR of 1.2% over the next 5 years, from USD296 billion in 2018 to USD315 billion in 2023.

In this report, we examine key trends and drivers and provide a comprehensive fixed telecoms market forecast for the EMAP region and for six individually modelled countries.

This report provides:

  • a 5-year forecast of 72 fixed KPIs for the EMAP region and for six key countries
  • an in-depth analysis of the trends, drivers and forecast assumptions for each type of fixed service, and for key countries
  • an overview of operator strategies and country-specific topics, which highlights similarities and differences between countries
  • a summary of results, key implications and recommendations for fixed operators.

Data coverage

Fixed connections

  • Voice, broadband, IPTV, dial-up
  • Narrowband voice, VoBB
  • DSL, FTTP/B, cable, BFWA, other

Fixed revenue

  • Service, retail
  • Voice, broadband, IPTV, dial-up, BNS
  • DSL, FTTP/B, cable, BFWA, other

Fixed voice traffic

  • Outgoing minutes, MoU

Who Should Read this Report

  • Market intelligence, strategy and project managers at fixed operators in emerging Asia–Pacific.
  • Regulatory bodies in emerging Asia–Pacific.
  • Financial institutions that directly invest in the telecoms sector in the region, or advise others that do so.
  • Press and media bodies that need a foundation of knowledge of emerging Asia–Pacific fixed telecoms market.
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Chapter No. 

6. Executive summary
7. Worldwide trends
8. Worldwide: fixed revenue in emerging Asia-Pacific will grow at faster rate than the worldwide average during the forecast period
9. Regional trends
10. EMAP: increasing investment in fixed broadband and the turning off of DSL networks will mean FTTP/B makes up 88% of fixed broadband connections in 2023
11. Fixed: China will continue to lead the way in fixed broadband penetration, however, strong investment in other countries means the gap is narrowing
12. Fixed: government regulation and competition have resulted in China having the lowest broadband ASPU in the region
13. Fixed: government initiatives and increasing competition will increase affordability and penetration of fixed broadband access
14. Country-level trends
15. China: government initiatives and intervention have driven substantial growth in the market, and will continue to shape growth
16. Indonesia: FTTP/B will be the most-widespread technology in Indonesia and the number of DSL connections will drop to 0 by 2023
17. Malaysia: the number of fixed broadband connections will increase due to network investment and the renewed popularity of BFWA
18. Philippines: The two mobile operators are investing substantial amounts of capital to improve fixed network coverage and quality
19. Thailand: operators will continue to compete on network quality in the fixed market
20. Vietnam: the number of FBB connections will grow by a CAGR of 11% from 2017 to 2023, but mobile will still account for most of the overall revenue
21. Forecast methodology and assumptions
22. Our forecast model is supported by sound market knowledge
23. Examples of forecast input drivers
24. About the authors

List of figures
Figure 1: Telecoms and pay-TV retail revenue by type and total service revenue, emerging Asia-Pacific, 2013-2023
Figure 2: Fixed service revenue by location, emerging Asia-Pacific and worldwide, 2012-2022
Figure 3: Telecoms retail revenue by service type, fixed voice and fixed broadband ASPU, emerging Asia-Pacific, 2013-2023
Figure 4: Telecoms retail revenue and growth rate by service type, emerging Asia-Pacific, 2013-2023
Figure 5: Broadband connections by technology, emerging Asia-Pacific (million), 2013-2023
Figure 6a: Fixed broadband household penetration by country, emerging Asia-Pacific, 2013-2023
Figure 6b: Fixed broadband household penetration by country, emerging Asia-Pacific, 2013-2023
Figure 7a: Fixed broadband access ASPU by country, emerging Asia-Pacific, 2013-2023
Figure 7b: Fixed broadband access ASPU by country, emerging Asia-Pacific, 2013-2023
Figure 8: Broadband connections by technology, China (million), 2013-2023
Figure 9: Fixed voice ASPU and broadband ASPU, China (CNY per month), 2013-2023
Figure 10: Broadband connections by technology, Indonesia (million), 2013-2023
Figure 11: Fixed voice ASPU and broadband ASPU, Indonesia (IDR per month), 2013-2023
Figure 12: Broadband connections by technology, Malaysia (thousand), 2013-2023
Figure 13: Fixed voice ASPU and broadband ASPU, Malaysia (MYR per month), 2013-2023
Figure 14: Broadband connections by technology, Philippines (thousand), 2013-2023
Figure 15: Fixed voice ASPU and broadband ASPU, Philippines (PHP per month), 2013-2023
Figure 16: Broadband connections by technology, Thailand (million), 2013-2023
Figure 17: Fixed voice ASPU and broadband ASPU, Thailand (THB per month), 2013-2023
Figure 18: Broadband connections by technology, Vietnam (million), 2013-2023

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  • China
  • Indonesia
  • Malaysia
  • Philippines
  • Thailand
  • Vietnam
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