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Broadband Disruption: How 5G Will Reshape the Competitive Landscape Plus Broadband Capacity and Performance: Wireless versus Wired

  • ID: 4666830
  • Report
  • November 2018
  • Region: Global
  • 100 pages
  • Datacomm Research Company
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Broadband Disruption: How 5G Will Reshape the Competitive Landscape report

Fifth-generation (5G) wireless networks could leapfrog the capacity of cable operators’ hybrid fiber-coax (HFC) networks - for both Internet access and television viewing - by leveraging millimeter wave spectrum, small cells, and higher spectral efficiency.  This report is an essential business planning tool, quantifying broadband demand today and tomorrow, and calculating the throughput per square kilometer for competing networks. The price includes a one-hour phone briefing with the authors.

The second edition is fully updated (November 2018) and adds sections on mid-band spectrum capacity and deployment; the cost of 5G infrastructure; and 5G business models. The second edition features 38 tables and figures.

Broadband Capacity and Performance: Wireless versus Wired

The Capacity and Performance report (available bundled with the Broadband Disruption report or separately) is a powerful business planning tool. It provides a model for calculating the capacity of wireless and wireline networks based on 4G and 5G (wireless), DOCSIS (cable), and fiber technologies. An Excel spreadsheet that performs the calculations is included. Buyers can plug in their own numbers for variables such as amount of spectrum and base station density to examine and compare different networks. The report also provides the latest performance details for the technologies–information essential to characterizing the user experience. Contains 27 tables and figures.

Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown
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Broadband Disruption: How 5G Will Reshape the Competitive Landscape report

Executive Summary 
Why Is 5G Wireless Likely To Be A Disruptive Technology? 
Why Is The Continued Evolution Of 4G Unlikely To Be Sufficient? 
Will Mobile Operators Be Able To Compete Successfully With Fixed Broadband Providers? 
Is 5G A Threat Or Opportunity To Cable Operators? 
Is 5G A Threat Or Opportunity To Fiber Network Operators? 
Can The Challenges Associated With Using Millimeter Wave Spectrum Be Surmounted? 
Can The Challenges Associated With Deploying Small Cells Be Overcome? 
What Are The 5G Strategies Of The Tier 1 Wireless Operators? 
What Are The Expected Bandwidth Requirements For Consumers Over Time?
What Network Capacity Is Required Today And In The Future On A Per Sq Km Basis? 
Does The Cable Industry Have An Effective HFC Network Roadmap To Compete With 5G? 
How Many Broadband Subscribers Might “Cut The Cord” Over Time? 
4G LTE Technology Capabilities 
How 5G Redefines The Broadband Landscape 
Broadband Technologies 
Overcoming Millimeter Wave Challenges And Opportunities 
Spectral Efficiency And 5G Throughput Rates 
4G Spectral Efficiency 
5G Spectral Efficiency 
5G Throughput Rates 
Historical Capacity Growth And 5G Disruption 
Broadband Demand Factors 
Internet Demand
TV Demand 
Current HFC Capacity And Capability 
5G Capacity Analysis And Comparison With HFC
Mid-Band 5G Deployment And Capacity 
HFC Networks Evolution And Capacity 
Siting Outdoor Small Cells 
Mmwave Small Cell Forecast And Subscribers Served 
Role Of Other Wireless Technologies 
The Cost Of 5G 
Capex 
Opex 
5G Business Models 
5G Strategies Of Key Industry Players 
Competitive Analysis 
Conclusions 

Table of Figures
Figure 1: Transformation of Broadband from the Current Decade to the Next 
Figure 2: 5G Schedule Showing Standardization and First Deployments 
Figure 3: Capacity of Wireless Versus Fiber 
Figure 4: Higher-Order MIMO Compensation for Poorer Propagation 
Figure 5: Comparison of 3G and 4G Downlink Spectral Efficiency 
Figure 6: The Three Items That Determine Capacity 
Figure 7: 5G Capacity Gains over Historical Gains 
Figure 8: Throughput Rates of High-Bandwidth Applications 
Figure 9: Monthly Internet Demand Per Household (Excludes TV Replacement) 
Figure 10: Household Average Internet and TV Demand Now and in Seven Years 
Figure 11: DOCSIS Raw Cable Capacity 
Figure 12: Small Cell Forecast at 33% Annual Growth 
 
Table of Tables
Table 1: Current United States Cellular Allocations 
Table 2: United States 5G Bands 
Table 3: Historical and Expected 5G Annualized Gains of Capacity Parameters 
Table 4: Data Consumption Based on Type of Application
Table 5: 5G Downlink Capacity (FWA) Per Sq Km, 200 MHz, Lower Spectral Efficiency 
Table 6: 5G Downlink Capacity (FWA) Per Sq Km, 400 MHz, Lower Spectral Efficiency 
Table 7: 5G Downlink Capacity (FWA) Per Sq Km, 400 MHz, Higher Spectral Efficiency 
Table 8: 5G Capacity Per Sq Km, Mid-band, Conservative Spectral Efficiency, 100 MHz 
Table 9: 5G Capacity Per Sq Km, Mid-band, Aggressive Spectral Efficiency, 100 MHz 
Table 10: DOCSIS 31, 1000 homes Per Sq Km, 860 MHz 
Table 11: DOCSIS 31, 1000 homes Per Sq Km, 1790 MHz 
Table 12: Extended Spectrum DOCSIS, 1000 homes Per Sq Km 
Table 13: Other Wireless Spectrum and Technologies That Will Disrupt Broadband 
Table 14: Adding 5G to Existing Macrocell at 700 MHz 
Table 15: New 35 GHz Small Cell (Carrier-Provided Backhaul) 
Table 16: New 35 GHz Small Cell (Backhaul Service) 
Table 17: New mmWave Small Cell (Carrier-Provided Backhaul) 
Table 18: Capex for Nationwide 5G Networks in the US 
Table 19: Net Income (in thousands) of Tier 1 Operators, 2014-2017 
Table 20: Annual Capex for mmWave Small Cell, 100% Financing, 10-Year Term, 5% Interest 
Table 21: Annual Capex for mmWave Small Cell, 50% Financing, 10-Year Term, 5% Interest 
Table 22: Available Market (Average Number of Homes per Base Station) Based on Home density and mmWave Cell Density 
Table 23: Projected Capex and Opex for mmWave Small Cells in Five Years 
Table 24: Annual Capex for mmWave Small Cell in 5 years, 50% Financing, 10-Year Term, 5% Interest 
Table 25: Annual Capex for Mid-Band Small Cell, 50% Financing, 10-Year Term, 5% Interest 
Table 26: Available Market (Average Number of Homes per Base Station) Based on Home Density and Mid-Band Cell Density

Broadband Capacity and Performance: Wireless versus Wired

Spectral Efficiency 
4G Spectral Efficiency 
5G Spectral Efficiency 
Broadband Performance 
Fiber Throughput 
Cable Throughput 
4G LTE Throughput 
5G Throughput 
Wireless Throughput Summary 
Latency Comparison 
Demand 
Internet Demand
Tv Demand 
Capacity Variables 
Current HFC Capacity And Capability 
5G Capacity Analysis And Comparison With HFC
Mid-Band 5G Deployment And Capacity 
HFC Networks Roadmap And Capacity 

Table of Figures
Figure 1: Comparison of 3G and 4G Downlink Spectral Efficiency 
Figure 2: Spectral Efficiency Values for Capacity Modeling 
Figure 3: Capacity of Wireless Versus Fiber 
Figure 4: Fiber Passive Optical Network Architecture 
Figure 5: Summary of Optical Fiber Throughput 
Figure 6: Summary of Cable Throughput 
Figure 7: Summary of 4G LTE Throughput
Figure 8: Summary of 5G Throughput 
Figure 9: Latency Comparison of Different Technologies 
Figure 10: Monthly Internet Demand Per Household (Excludes TV Replacement) 
Figure 11: Household Average Internet and TV Demand Now and in Seven Years 
Figure 12: Capacity Variables 
Figure 13: DOCSIS Cable Capacity 
Figure 14: Equation for Wireless Network Capacity 
Figure 15: 5G mmWave versus HFC DOCSIS 
Figure 16: Equation for DOCSIC Network Capacity 

Table of Tables
Table 1: Elements of LTE 1 Gbps Downlink Capability 
Table 2: Throughput Performance of Different Wireless Technologies 
Table 3: DOCSIS 31 Spectral Efficiency and Resulting Capacity 
Table 4: 5G Downlink Capacity (FWA) Per Sq Km, 200 MHz, Lower Spectral Efficiency 
Table 5: 5G Downlink Capacity (FWA) Per Sq Km, 400 MHz, Lower Spectral Efficiency 
Table 6: 5G Downlink Capacity (FWA) Per Sq Km, 400 MHz, Higher Spectral Efficiency 
Table 7: 5G Capacity Per Sq Km, Mid-band, Conservative Spectral Efficiency, 100 MHz 
Table 8: 5G Capacity Per Sq Km, Mid-band, Aggressive Spectral Efficiency, 100 MHz 
Table 9: DOCSIS 31, 1000 homes Per Sq Km, 860 MHz 
Table 10: DOCSIS 31, 1000 homes Per Sq Km, 1790 MHz 
Table 11: Extended Spectrum DOCSIS, 1000 homes Per Sq Km

Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown
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