+353-1-416-8900REST OF WORLD
+44-20-3973-8888REST OF WORLD
1-917-300-0470EAST COAST U.S
1-800-526-8630U.S. (TOLL FREE)

PRINTER FRIENDLY

IRKUT MC-21 The First Next Generation Narrow Body

  • ID: 4790734
  • Report
  • October 2018
  • Region: Global
  • 51 Pages
  • AirInsight Group LLC
1 of 3

FEATURED COMPANIES

  • Airbus
  • Boeing
  • IRKUT
  • Pratt & Whitney GTF
  • UAC
  • MORE

The IRKUT MC-21 is a clean-sheet design narrow-body aircraft family that seats between 132-175 passengers in two-class configurations. As an all-new design, the aircraft competes favorably in operating economics with the narrow-body models from Airbus and Boeing.

The MC-21-300 has superior seat-mile economics to the Boeing 737 MAX8 and Airbus A320neo. While the MC-21 does not match the range of its competitors from Airbus and Boeing, it offers full North American trans-continental range and well suited for short-to long-haul narrow-body operations.

The aircraft features advanced technology, including the latest generation engines, the latest generation of materials, including an all composite wing and aluminum-lithium fuselage, the latest in systems, including active side-stick controls, and advanced avionics. The MC-21 is the first of the next generation of narrow-body aircraft, competing primarily with re-engined models of aircraft that first entered service 51 and 29 years ago.

The MC-21 program has been delayed numerous times, and timing has slipped to the right with entry into service now planned for 2020. With both western and Russian built engines available to operators, the MC-21 will be geared towards both export and domestic markets. The Pratt & Whitney GTF engines, combined with new materials, advanced aerodynamics, and major systems supplied by western vendors make the MC-21-300 a strong potential competitor to Airbus and Boeing.

A key element to export sales will be overcoming a relatively poor reputation for Russian aircraft with respect to service and support, exacerbated by UAC’s Sukhoi Superjet 100. That aircraft has run into difficulties keeping international customers operating, and IRKUT will need a stronger service and support network to ensure the availability of spares and technical expertise. Geopolitics may also negatively impact sales of the MC-21 in western markets, and while we hope tensions ease, the current disputes over Ukraine and Syria continue without resolution.

The MC-21 will be a strong performer, and the authors independent economic analysis confirms that this aircraft will have compelling economics if the aircraft meets its projected performance. With flight tests underway and confirming fuel burn and other performance factors, the author expects the MC-21 to be the most competitive civil aircraft ever produced in Russia, with compelling economics and low capital costs. If the aircraft performs reliably and can be readily maintained, the author expects it to be a market success, projecting more than 1,000 deliveries over the next 20 years.

Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown
2 of 3

FEATURED COMPANIES

  • Airbus
  • Boeing
  • IRKUT
  • Pratt & Whitney GTF
  • UAC
  • MORE

1. Executive Summary

2. Background

3. The MC-21: Technology and Capabilities

4. Market Size and Drivers

5. Comparative Economics

6. Program Outlook and Conclusions

Table of Exhibits
Figure 1 MC-21 composite wing preparation
Figure 2 MC-21 composite wing panel 
Figure 3 MC-212 automated final assembly line
Figure 4 MC-21 final assembly facility 
Figure 5 MC-21 flight deck
Figure 6 MC-21 flight simulator 
Figure 7 Pratt & Whitney GTF 
Figure 8 MC-21 cabin interior
Figure 9 MC21-300 Seating 
Figure 10 MC-21-200 Seating 
Figure 11 Comparable aircraft data
Figure 12 MC-21 Operating Cost Chart
Figure 13 Aircraft capacity 
Figure 14 In Service Narrowbody Aircraft Market segmented by age 2Q18
Figure 15 Airbus and Boeing in-service fleets 
Figure 16 Competitive list price per seat
Figure 17 MC-21 Suppliers 
Figure 18 MC-21 Key Partners
Figure 19 Maximum Take-Off Weight per Seat
Figure 20 Fuel burn per seat - 1,000NM
Figure 21 Direct Operating Costs — 500NM
Figure 22 Direct Operating Costs - 1,000NM
Figure 23 Direct Operating Costs - 1,500NM
Figure 24 Direct Operating Costs - 2,500NM
Figure 25 Fuel Burn per Seat - various ranges
Figure 26 Crew cost per mission 
Figure 27 Landing fees 
Figure 28 Total direct operating costs by mission length
Figure 29 Total direct operating costs per aircraft mile
Figure 30 Total direct operating costs per seat mile
Figure 31: List prices of competing aircraft
Figure 32: Estimated monthly lease rates for competing aircraft
Figure 33: Estimated monthly insurance cost 
Figure 34: Total Monthly Capital Costs 
Figure 35: Capital Cost by Mission 
Figure 36: Total Operating and Capital Cost by Mission
Figure 37: Total Operating and Capital Cost per Aircraft Mile
Figure 38: Total Operating and Capital Cost per Seat-Mile 
Figure 39: Comparative Total Operating and Capital Costs — 500nm Mission
Figure 40: Comparative Total Operating and Capital Costs - 1,000nm Mission
Figure 41: Comparative Total Operating and Capital Costs - 1,500nm Mission
Figure 42: Comparative Total Operating and Capital Costs - 2,000nm Mission
Figure 43: Comparative Total Operating and Capital Costs - 2,500nm Mission
Figure 44: Direct Operating Costs - 1,000nm - Max Seating
Figure 45: Total Operating Costs - 1,000nm Max Seating

Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown
3 of 3

Loading
LOADING...

4 of 3
  • Airbus
  • Boeing
  • IRKUT
  • Pratt & Whitney GTF
  • UAC
Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown
Adroll
adroll