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2019 Global Outlook

  • ID: 4801599
  • Country Profile
  • Region: Global
  • 80 Pages
  • Frontier Strategy Group
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Capitalize on the Tail End of a Global Run

In 2019, the world economy will enter a third straight year of broad-based global growth. A combination of rising global interest rates and ongoing trade protectionism will continue to create unexpected turbulence, but is unlikely to derail the ongoing global expansion.

Developed markets will grow at a slower rate in 2019 as inflationary pressures lead to the first convergent monetary policy tightening in more than a decade.

Higher global interest rates will create new challenges for heavily indebted governments, firms, and households across the world. Emerging markets will provide opportunities for faster growth, but each market faces its own set of operational challenges.

Management priorities include adapting pricing strategies to fit local market conditions; building resilience into global operations to mitigate the impact of trade tensions, currency, and debt shocks; and preparing for the eventual end of the business cycle.

What you will learn

  • What is the global business outlook for 2019
  • Which regions will perform the best (Asia, North America, Latin America, Western Europe, Central Europe, Commonwealth of Independent States, Middle East, Africa)
  • How should executives prepare for likely scenarios and disruptors of global performance

What you will receive

  • Access to the 80-page PDF report
  • Exclusive email updates covering emerging markets business topics
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Executive Summary

Global Outlook for 2019

  • 2019: Third Straight Year of Global Growth
  • But 2019 is a Year of Economic Transition
  • US Recession not Expected in 2019
  • EM Growth Drivers are More Balanced
  • Commodity Prices Will Remain Stable
  • Oil Prices Will Remain Rangebound
  • Consumer Demand Remains Strong
  • The Inflation Picture Will be Healthier
  • Central Banks Will Tighten Liquidity
  • Gradual Interest Rate Tightening Continues
  • The US Dollar’s Strength Will Begin to Fade
  • Policy Shifts Could Disrupt 2019 Plans
  • Rising Rates Will Lead to Funding Concerns
  • Currency Shocks Will Continue in 2019
  • Higher Risk of FX Crisis in Certain Markets
  • US Trade Tensions Across the World
  • Trade Growth is Expected to Continue
  • “America First” Protectionist Approach
  • Chinese Policy Priorities
  • Macroeconomic Sensitivity to Trade Wars

Global and Regional Overview

  • View on the Global Economy in 2019
  • Global Growth Continues But Decelerates
  • Rich Markets Offer Most Market Opportunity
  • View on Asia Pacific
  • APAC: New Risks to Manage in 2019
  • View on North America
  • NAM: NAFTA Renegotiation Clouds Outlook
  • View on Latin America
  • LATAM: Converging Growth Rates
  • View on Western Europe
  • WEUR: Momentum Could Fade Further
  • View on Central Europe
  • Ce: Growth Continues Into 2019
  • View on CIS
  • CIS: The Region Continues to Recover
  • View on the Middle East and North Africa
  • MENA: Economies Adjust to the new Normal
  • View on Sub-Saharan Africa
  • SSA: demand will grow across the region

Strategic Priorities for 2019

  • Plans Require Alignment and Resilience
  • Strategic Priorities for 2019
  • Pressure-Test Your Market Portfolio
  • Localizing is a Strategic Imperative
  • Localization Pressures Will Increase
  • Develop a Localization Strategy
  • A Comprehensive Digitalization Strategy
  • Digital Customer Engagement is Vital
  • Digitization Disrupts Value Chains
  • Reassess Drivers of Competitive Advantage
  • A Digital Prioritization Framework
  • Multiple Factors are Driving the use of VAS
  • VAS Present Several Profit-Driving Levers
  • Future-Proof Your Value Proposition
  • Pricing has Become Exceptionally Complex
  • Internal Pricing Processes Fall Short
  • FX Management Should be 2019 Priority
  • Align FX Strategies With Overall Objectives
  • Market-Monitoring Processes
  • Design Forward-Looking Dashboards
  • Align Monitoring With Review Cadence
  • Document Assumptions and Risks to Plan
  • Scenario Analysis Makes Sense of Many Risks
  • Scenario-Planning Processes
  • The Business Case for Contingency Planning
  • Contingency-Planning Process

Scenarios and Disruptors of Global Performance

  • 2019 Offers a Diverse Range of Disruptors
  • Events to Watch Methodology
  • Assess Potential Impact on Business
  • Global Events to Watch For 2019
  • Global Events are Interconnected
  • 2019 Global and Regional Disruptive Events
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