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Saudi Arabia 2020 Outlook & Scenarios

  • ID: 4802034
  • Country Profile
  • Region: Middle East, North Africa, Saudi Arabia
  • 39 Pages
  • Frontier Strategy Group
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Use Reform Plans to Prepare for Changes In the Kingdom

Saudi Arabia is one of EMEA’s top emerging markets, but the country faces a tough road as it attempts to implement an extraordinarily ambitious economic transformation plan. With external macroeconomic headwinds and serious demographic pressures, there is no turning back.

Regardless of whether the authorities can achieve their 2030 goals, their attempts at reform will impact business performance in the kingdom. DuckerFrontier believes that Saudi Arabia will largely remain on track with its reform plans, but it will be an incremental process: we only expect average annual GDP growth of 2% YOY between 2017 and 2020.

In the context of such a dramatic economic transformation, businesses will need to significantly adjust expectations for the market. Companies that prioritize localization, market share gains, and operational excellence will be in a position to outmaneuver competitors.

What you will learn:

  • What is the outlook for doing business in Saudi Arabia
  • How will the upcoming reforms impact the business environment
  • Learn about the key events that could disrupt Saudi Arabia’s outlook

What you will receive:

  • Immediate access to the 39-page PDF report
  • Exclusive email updates covering emerging markets business topics
Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown
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1. Executive Summary

2. Understanding Saudi Arabia’s Trajectory

  • Saudi Arabia Is a Top MENA Market for MNCs
  • But Its Oil Dependence Can’t Be Maintained
  • Demographic Pressures Create Urgency
  • External Headwinds Cannot Be Ignored
  • Regime Must Manage Numerous Risks

3. Preparing for Saudi Reforms

  • The Government is Committed to Reforms
  • Adapt Business to Changes in the Kingdom
  • Increasing Non-Oil Revenues
  • VAT Scenarios
  • Budget Reform: Subsidy Reductions
  • Rationalize Expenditures
  • Privatization
  • Targeting the Growth of Key New Sectors
  • Easing the Business Environment
  • Rising Localization Pressures

4. Saudi Arabia 2020: Scenarios Overview

  • Saudi Arabia 2020: Scenarios Overview
  • Base Case: Modest Growth
  • Downside: Economy Stalls
  • Upside: Outperforming Expectations

5. Key Events Could Disrupt Saudi Arabia’s Outlook

  • Key Disruptors to Saudi Arabia’s Outlook
  • Oil Stabilizes Below US$ 30/BBL.
  • Oil Price Increase Detracts Reform Agenda
  • Break of Royal-US Dollar Peg
  • Political Instability Disrupts Business

6. About DuckerFrontier

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