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EU - Smoked Pacific, Atlantic and Danube Salmon - Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends and Insights

  • ID: 4832725
  • Report
  • IndexBox Inc.
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until Dec 31st 2019
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Poland Ranks as the EU's Largest Exporter, Enjoying the Fastest Growth

The revenue of the smoked salmon market in the European Union amounted to $4.3B in 2018, approximately reflecting the previous year. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers' margins, which will be included in the final consumer price). The market value increased at an average annual rate of +2.9% from 2007 to 2018; the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2013 when the market value increased by 22% y-o-y. The level of smoked salmon consumption peaked in 2018 and is expected to retain its growth in the immediate term.

Consumption By Country in the EU

The countries with the highest volumes of smoked salmon consumption in 2018 were Germany (40K tonnes), France (24K tonnes) and the UK (24K tonnes), together accounting for 46% of total consumption.

From 2007 to 2018, the most notable rate of growth in terms of smoked salmon consumption, amongst the main consuming countries, was attained by the UK, while the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, France ($722M), Italy ($680M) and Germany ($652M) constituted the countries with the highest levels of market value in 2018, with a combined 48% share of total market. The UK, Belgium, Spain, Romania, Denmark, the Netherlands, Austria, Hungary and Poland lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 42%.

In 2018, the highest levels of smoked salmon per capita consumption was registered in Denmark (1,465 kg per 1000 persons), followed by Austria (646 kg per 1000 persons), Belgium (586 kg per 1000 persons) and Germany (487 kg per 1000 persons), while the world average per capita consumption of smoked salmon was estimated at 376 kg per 1000 persons.

From 2007 to 2018, the average annual growth rate of the smoked salmon per capita consumption in Denmark totaled +2.2%. In other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: Austria (+8.0% per year) and Belgium (-2.8% per year).

Market Forecast 2019-2025 in the EU

Driven by rising demand for smoked salmon in the European Union, the market is expected to start an upward consumption trend over the next seven years. The performance of the market is forecast to increase slightly, with an anticipated CAGR of +2.2% for the seven-year period from 2018 to 2025, which is projected to bring the market volume to 222K tonnes by the end of 2025.

Production in the EU

The smoked salmon production amounted to 209K tonnes in 2018, leveling off at the previous year. In general, smoked salmon production continues to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2013 when production volume increased by 7.6% against the previous year. The volume of smoked salmon production peaked at 232K tonnes in 2016; however, from 2017 to 2018, production failed to regain its momentum.

In value terms, smoked salmon production totaled $4.2B in 2018 estimated in export prices. The total output value increased at an average annual rate of +2.7% over the period from 2007 to 2018; the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2013 when production volume increased by 27% against the previous year. The level of smoked salmon production peaked in 2018 and is expected to retain its growth in the immediate term.

Production By Country in the EU

The countries with the highest volumes of smoked salmon production in 2018 were Poland (50K tonnes), the UK (26K tonnes) and France (19K tonnes), together comprising 45% of total production. These countries were followed by Lithuania, Germany, Denmark, Spain, the Netherlands, Romania, Greece, Hungary and Portugal, which together accounted for a further 45%.

From 2007 to 2018, the most notable rate of growth in terms of smoked salmon production, amongst the main producing countries, was attained by Lithuania, while the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Exports in the EU

In 2018, the amount of smoked pacific, atlantic and danube salmon exported in the European Union totaled 110K tonnes, going up by 4.9% against the previous year. The total exports indicated prominent growth from 2007 to 2018: its volume increased at an average annual rate of +5.6% over the last eleven-year period. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2018 figures, smoked salmon exports decreased by -1.1% against 2016 indices. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2012 with an increase of 15% year-to-year. Over the period under review, smoked salmon exports reached their peak figure at 112K tonnes in 2016; however, from 2017 to 2018, exports stood at a somewhat lower figure.

In value terms, smoked salmon exports totaled $1.9B in 2018. The total exports indicated a strong increase from 2007 to 2018: its value increased at an average annual rate of +5.6% over the last eleven years. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2018 figures, smoked salmon exports increased by +26.8% against 2015 indices. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2013 when Exports increased by 22% year-to-year. Over the period under review, smoked salmon exports reached their maximum in 2018 and are expected to retain its growth in the near future.

Exports by Country

Poland was the major exporter of smoked pacific, atlantic and danube salmon in the European Union, with the volume of exports reaching 46K tonnes, which was near 42% of total exports in 2018. It was distantly followed by Lithuania (17K tonnes), Germany (14K tonnes), Denmark (8.7K tonnes), the Netherlands (5.3K tonnes) and the UK (5.1K tonnes), together achieving a 45% share of total exports. France (4.2K tonnes) held a relatively small share of total exports.

Exports from Poland increased at an average annual rate of +6.5% from 2007 to 2018. At the same time, Lithuania (+10.2%), the Netherlands (+9.0%), Germany (+6.0%), the UK (+1.6%) and France (+1.4%) displayed positive paces of growth. Moreover, Lithuania emerged as the fastest growing exporter in the European Union, with a CAGR of +10.2% from 2007-2018. Denmark experienced a relatively flat trend pattern. From 2007 to 2018, the share of Poland, Lithuania, Germany and the Netherlands increased by +21%, +10%, +5.9% and +2.9% percentage points, while the shares of the other countries remained relatively stable throughout the analyzed period.

In value terms, Poland ($800M) remains the largest smoked salmon supplier in the European Union, comprising 41% of total smoked salmon exports. The second position in the ranking was occupied by Lithuania ($297M), with a 15% share of total exports. It was followed by Germany, with a 13% share.

In Poland, smoked salmon exports expanded at an average annual rate of +8.9% over the period from 2007-2018. The remaining exporting countries recorded the following average annual rates of exports growth: Lithuania (+12.8% per year) and Germany (+7.1% per year).

Export Prices by Country

The smoked salmon export price in the European Union stood at $18 per kg in 2018, declining by -1.9% against the previous year. Over the period from 2007 to 2018, it increased at an average annual rate of +1.4%. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2017 an increase of 16% against the previous year. In that year, the export prices for smoked pacific, atlantic and danube salmon reached their peak level of $18 per kg, and then declined slightly in the following year.

Average prices varied somewhat amongst the major exporting countries. In 2018, major exporting countries recorded the following prices: in the Netherlands ($20 per kg) and France ($18 per kg), while the UK ($13 per kg) and Denmark ($17 per kg) were amongst the lowest.

From 2007 to 2018, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by the Netherlands, while the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Imports in the EU

The imports stood at 93K tonnes in 2018, waning by -1.7% against the previous year. The total imports indicated a strong expansion from 2007 to 2018: its volume increased at an average annual rate of +7.0% over the last eleven-year period. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2018 figures, smoked salmon imports decreased by -6.1% against 2016 indices. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2009 with an increase of 22% against the previous year. The volume of imports peaked at 99K tonnes in 2016; however, from 2017 to 2018, imports failed to regain their momentum.

In value terms, smoked salmon imports amounted to $1.6B in 2018. Over the period under review, smoked salmon imports, however, continue to indicate strong growth. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2011 with an increase of 29% against the previous year. The level of imports peaked in 2018 and are likely to continue its growth in the immediate term.

Imports by Country

Germany represented the major importing country with an import of about 38K tonnes, which reached 41% of total imports. Italy (17K tonnes) took an 18% share (based on tonnes) of total imports, which put it in second place, followed by France (10%) and Belgium (7.4%). Denmark (3.4K tonnes), Austria (3.3K tonnes), the UK (3.3K tonnes), the Netherlands (2.4K tonnes), Spain (1.7K tonnes) and Sweden (1.7K tonnes) took a little share of total imports.

Imports into Germany increased at an average annual rate of +7.0% from 2007 to 2018. At the same time, the UK (+17.0%), Denmark (+9.2%), Sweden (+8.8%), France (+7.9%), Italy (+7.5%), Spain (+6.0%), Austria (+5.1%), the Netherlands (+3.6%) and Belgium (+3.5%) displayed positive paces of growth. Moreover, the UK emerged as the fastest growing importer in the European Union, with a CAGR of +17.0% from 2007-2018. While the share of Germany (+22 p.p.), Italy (+9.9 p.p.), France (+5.8 p.p.), the UK (+2.9 p.p.), Belgium (+2.3 p.p.), Denmark (+2.3 p.p.) and Austria (+1.5 p.p.) increased significantly, the shares of the other countries remained relatively stable throughout the analyzed period.

In value terms, Germany ($644M) constitutes the largest market for imported smoked pacific, atlantic and danube salmon in the European Union, comprising 40% of total smoked salmon imports. The second position in the ranking was occupied by Italy ($294M), with a 18% share of total imports. It was followed by France, with a 11% share.

In Germany, smoked salmon imports expanded at an average annual rate of +8.9% over the period from 2007-2018. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: Italy (+8.1% per year) and France (+11.2% per year).

Import Prices by Country

In 2018, the smoked salmon import price in the European Union amounted to $18 per kg, going up by 3.7% against the previous year. Over the last eleven years, it increased at an average annual rate of +1.8%. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2017 when the import price increased by 17% year-to-year. Over the period under review, the import prices for smoked pacific, atlantic and danube salmon reached their peak figure in 2018 and is likely to continue its growth in the near future.

Prices varied noticeably by the country of destination; the country with the highest price was Austria ($20 per kg), while Denmark ($13 per kg) was amongst the lowest.

From 2007 to 2018, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Austria, while the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

This report provides an in-depth analysis of the smoked salmon market in the EU. Within it, you will discover the latest data on market trends and opportunities by country, consumption, production and price developments, as well as the global trade (imports and exports). The forecast exhibits the market prospects through 2025.

Data coverage:

  • Market volume and value
  • Per Capita consumption
  • Forecast of the market dynamics in the medium term
  • Production in the EU, split by region and country
  • Trade (exports and imports) in the EU
  • Export and import prices
  • Market trends, drivers and restraints
  • Key market players and their profiles

Reasons to buy this report:

  • Take advantage of the latest data
  • Find deeper insights into current market developments
  • Discover vital success factors affecting the market

This report is designed for manufacturers, distributors, importers, and wholesalers, as well as for investors, consultants and advisors.

In this report, you can find information that helps you to make informed decisions on the following issues:

1. How to diversify your business and benefit from new market opportunities
2. How to load your idle production capacity
3. How to boost your sales on overseas markets
4. How to increase your profit margins
5. How to make your supply chain more sustainable
6. How to reduce your production and supply chain costs
7. How to outsource production to other countries
8. How to prepare your business for global expansion

Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown
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1. Introduction

Making Data-Driven Decisions to Grow Your Business

1.1 Report Description
1.2 Research Methodology and AI Platform
1.3 Data-Driven Decisions For Your Business
1.4 Glossary and Specific Terms

2. Executive Summary

A Quick Overview of Market Performance

2.1 Key Findings
2.2 Market Trends

3. Market Overview

Understanding the Current State of the Market and its Prospects

3.1 Market Size
3.2 Consumption By Country
3.3 Market Forecast to 2025

4. Most Promising Products

Finding New Products to Diversify Your Business

4.1 Top Products to Diversify Your Business
4.2 Best-Selling Products
4.3 Most Consumed Product
4.4 Most Traded Product
4.5 Most Profitable Product For Export

5. Most Promising Supplying Countries

Choosing the Best Countries to Establish Your Sustainable Supply Chain

5.1 Top Countries to Source Your Product
5.2 Top Producing Countries
5.3 Top Exporting Countries
5.4 Low-Cost Exporting Countries

6. Most Promising Overseas Markets

Choosing the Best Countries to Boost Your Exports

6.1 Top Overseas Markets For Exporting Your Product
6.2 Top Consuming Markets
6.3 Unsaturated Markets
6.4 Top Importing Markets
6.5 Most Profitable Markets

7. Production

The Latest Trends and Insights Into the Industry

7.1 Production Volume and Value
7.2 Production By Country

8. Imports

The Largest Importers on the Market and How They Succeed

8.1 Imports from 2007–2018
8.2 Imports By Country
8.3 Import Prices By Country

9. Exports

The Largest Exporters on the Market and How They Succeed

9.1 Exports from 2007–2018
9.2 Exports By Country
9.3 Export Prices By Country

10. Profiles of Major Producers

The Largest Producers on the Market and Their Profiles

11. Country Profiles

The Largest Markets and Their Profiles

  • Austria
  • Belgium
  • Bulgaria
  • Croatia
  • Cyprus
  • Czech Republic
  • Denmark
  • Estonia
  • Finland
  • France
  • Germany
  • Greece
  • Hungary
  • Ireland
  • Italy
  • Latvia
  • Lithuania
  • Luxembourg
  • Malta
  • Netherlands
  • Poland
  • Portugal
  • Romania
  • Slovakia
  • Slovenia
  • Spain
  • Sweden
  • United Kingdom

List of Tables
Table 1: Key Findings in 2018
Table 2: Market Volume, in Physical Terms, 2007–2018
Table 3: Market Value, 2007–2018
Table 4: Per Capita Consumption, By Country, 2015–2018
Table 5: Production, in Physical Terms, By Country, 2007–2018
Table 6: Imports, in Physical Terms, By Country, 2007–2018
Table 7: Imports, in Value Terms, By Country, 2007–2018
Table 8: Import Prices, By Country of Destination, 2007–2018
Table 9: Exports, in Physical Terms, By Country, 2007–2018
Table 10: Exports, in Value Terms, By Country, 2007–2018
Table 11: Export Prices, By Country of Origin, 2007–2018

List of Figures
Figure 1: Market Volume, in Physical Terms, 2007–2018
Figure 2: Market Value, 2007–2018
Figure 3: Consumption, By Country, 2018
Figure 4: Market Forecast to 2025
Figure 5: Products: Market Size and Growth, By Type
Figure 6: Products: Average Per Capita Consumption, By Type
Figure 7: Products: Exports and Growth, By Type
Figure 8: Products: Export Prices and Growth, By Type
Figure 9: Production Volume and Growth
Figure 10: Exports and Growth
Figure 11: Export Prices and Growth
Figure 12: Market Size and Growth
Figure 13: Per Capita Consumption
Figure 14: Imports and Growth
Figure 15: Import Prices
Figure 16: Production, in Physical Terms, 2007–2018
Figure 17: Production, in Value Terms, 2007–2018
Figure 18: Production, By Country, 2018
Figure 19: Production, in Physical Terms, By Country, 2007–2018
Figure 20: Imports, in Physical Terms, 2007–2018
Figure 21: Imports, in Value Terms, 2007–2018
Figure 22: Imports, in Physical Terms, By Country, 2018
Figure 23: Imports, in Physical Terms, By Country, 2007–2018
Figure 24: Imports, in Value Terms, By Country, 2007–2018
Figure 25: Import Prices, By Country, 2007–2018
Figure 26: Exports, in Physical Terms, 2007–2018
Figure 27: Exports, in Value Terms, 2007–2018
Figure 28: Exports, in Physical Terms, By Country, 2018
Figure 29: Exports, in Physical Terms, By Country, 2007–2018
Figure 30: Exports, in Value Terms, By Country, 2007–2018
Figure 31: Export Prices, 2007–2018

Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown
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  • Austria
  • Belgium
  • Bulgaria
  • Croatia
  • Cyprus
  • Czech Republic
  • Denmark
  • Estonia
  • Finland
  • France
  • Germany
  • Greece
  • Hungary
  • Ireland
  • Italy
  • Latvia
  • Lithuania
  • Luxembourg
  • Malta
  • Netherlands
  • Poland
  • Portugal
  • Romania
  • Slovakia
  • Slovenia
  • Spain
  • Sweden
  • United Kingdom
Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown
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