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Managing the US-China Trade War

  • ID: 4846268
  • Report
  • 56 pages
  • DuckerFrontier
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Overview
Trade-driven conflict between the United States and China has escalated significantly over the last year as the Trump administration seeks a fundamental revision to trade relations and Chinese industrial policy- This has created an environment of mounting uncertainty for multinationals; prospects for tariff measures and commiserate tariff and non-tariff retaliatory measures endanger global supply chains and market access in China and beyond- This report will discuss the drivers underlying both US and Chinese actions in a global context, scenarios for future trade relations, key signposts to track, impact assessment for multinationals, and actions to take to protect global businesses in times of disruption and uncertainty.

What you will learn
  • Macroeconomic impact of a US-China trade war
  • US-China Trade War Scenarios
  • Actions for multinationals to take to stay ahead of trade volatility
What you will receive
  • Immediate access to the 56-page PDF report
  • Exclusive email updates covering emerging markets business topics
  • Special discounts on future report purchases
Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown
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Executive Summary

Fundamental Drivers of US-China Trade Tensions
  • Trade Measures Fit in Trump's Agenda
  • Trump Administration's Strategic Posture
  • US Trade Tensions Across the World
  • Trump Trade Tactics
  • US-China Trade in Context
  • Trade War: Tariff Measures to Date
  • Still Room for More Tariffs
  • Trade Demands are Difficult to Reconcile
  • US Domestic Political Dynamics
  • The Chinese Government's Strategic Vision
  • Chinese Domestic Political Dynamics
  • China's Response
Macroeconomic Impact of a US-China Trade War
  • US-China Trade War Won't Drive Recession
  • Macroeconomic Impact So Far
  • Global Spillover Effects Will Be Mixed
  • US-China Trade Wars Increase Global Risks
US-China Trade War Scenarios
  • Stop-Start Dynamic to Trade War
  • Scenarios for the US' Trade War Strategy
  • Scenarios for China's Response Strategy
  • US-China Conflict Scenarios
  • Tariff-Based Escalation
  • China Manages US Containment
  • China Manages Global Pressure
  • China Loses Patience
  • Scenario Cheat Sheet
  • Global Exposure to a Chinese Slowdown
  • Global Exposure to a US Slowdown
Best Practices for Multinational Executives
  • Planning for a Long-Term Standoff
  • MNCs Will Need to Respond Proactively
  • Business Impact of Trade Wars
  • How to Plan for a US-China Trade War
  • Consider Supply Chain Impact and Response
  • Develop a Localization Strategy
  • Review Future Localization Dynamics
  • Pressure-Test Your Market Portfolio
  • Improve Alignment and Resilience
  • Scenario Analysis Makes Sense of Many Risks
  • Leverage Contingency Planning
  • Contingency Planning Process
  • Review Your Customer Segmentation
  • Actively Explore Adjacent Market Spaces
  • Build More Flexibility Into Pricing
  • FX Management Should Be a 2019 Priority
  • Strengthen Government Engagement
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