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Saudi Arabia 2020: Outlook and Scenarios

  • ID: 4846296
  • Country Profile
  • Region: Saudi Arabia
  • 40 pages
  • DuckerFrontier
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Saudi Arabia is one of EMEA’s top emerging markets, but the country faces a tough road as it attempts to implement an extraordinarily ambitious economic transformation plan- With external macroeconomic headwinds and serious demographic pressures, there is no turning back-

Regardless of whether the authorities can achieve their 2030 goals, their attempts at reform will impact business performance in the kingdom- The author believes that Saudi Arabia will largely remain on track with its reform plans, but it will be an incremental process: we only expect average annual GDP growth of 2% YOY between 2017 and 2020-

In the context of such a dramatic economic transformation, businesses will need to significantly adjust expectations for the market- Companies that prioritize localization, market share gains, and operational excellence will be in a position to outmaneuver competitors.

What you will learn
  • What is the outlook for doing business in Saudi Arabia
  • How will the upcoming reforms impact the business environment
  • Learn about the key events that could disrupt Saudi Arabia's outlook
What you will receive
  • Immediate access to the 40-page PDF report
  • Exclusive email updates covering emerging markets business topics
  • Special discounts on future report purchases
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Executive Summary

Understanding Saudi Arabia’s Trajectory
  • Saudi Arabia Is a Top MENA Market for MNCs ...
  • ... But Its Oil Dependence Can’t Be Maintained
  • Demographic Pressures Create Urgency
  • External Headwinds Cannot Be Ignored
  • Regime Must Manage Numerous Risks
Preparing for Saudi Reforms
  • The Government is Committed to Reforms
  • Adapt Business to Changes in the Kingdom
  • Increasing Non-Oil Revenues
  • VAT Scenarios
  • Budget Reform: Subsidy Reductions
  • Rationalize Expenditures
  • Privatization
  • Targeting the Growth of Key New Sectors
  • Easing the Business Environment
  • Rising Localization Pressures
Saudi Arabia 2020: Scenarios Overview
  • Saudi Arabia 2020: Scenarios Overview
  • Base Case: Modest Growth
  • Downside: Economy Stalls
  • Upside: Outperforming Expectations
Key Events Could Disrupt Saudi Arabia’s Outlook
  • Key Disruptors to Saudi Arabia’s Outlook
  • Oil Stabilizes Below US$ 30/BBL.
  • Oil Price Increase Detracts Reform Agenda
  • Break of Royal-US Dollar Peg
  • Political Instability Disrupts Business
Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown
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